Ack.
Good things happen? ALL CREDIT TO ORR!! Bad things happen? Must be someone else. That Orr fellow is unimpeachable, even if he walks around with crab apples in his cheeks.
So previously we established that Boston posted the same ES ratio 2 years after Orr left as when he won the Ross. That was a place I looked at for Orr, because I had looked there for Gretzky in August (Oilers lose 50 ESGF/ Kings gain 50 ESGF).
Now I am taking a quick look at Orr's 1973 season because I want to post on Phil Esposito. Not in a way that QPQ will hunt me down for, but in regards to Orr-sanity. The powerhouse nature of Gretzky and Howe's teams have been mentioned, but I get the feeling that a lot of people are of the belief that the Bruins lived in an Orr-centric universe, where all things grow from a star in the shape of the number 4.
It's the usual stuff about Phil being a 126 point man before Orr made the Big 4 leap, so maybe the relationship wasn't just Phil being a leech. Perhaps he was a contributing partner in some way that Orr very significantly benefits from. Given that he had more points most of the time he must have been doing something right. He did well for Canada in 1972. He more or less had the same point totals in 1973 as in 1972, and Orr was hurt. So I looked at how Boston did in those 15 games.
And this is the part I wanted to ask a stats guy.
Here's Boston in 1973:
73 Bruins | ESGF | ESGA | ESGF/G | ESGA/G | Ratio |
Total | 248 | 187 | 3.18 | 2.40 | 1.326 |
w/ Orr | 188 | 142 | 2.98 | 2.25 | 1.324 |
no Orr | 60 | 45 | 4.00 | 3.00 | 1.333 |
[TBODY]
[/TBODY]
These are the 15 non-Orr games:
DATE | OPP | W | L | T | ESGF | ESGA |
08-Oct | LAK | | 1 | | 2 | 3 |
11-Oct | @DET | | 1 | | 3 | 3 |
14-Oct | @NYI | 1 | | | 6 | 3 |
15-Oct | PIT | 1 | | | 5 | 4 |
18-Oct | @NYR | | 1 | | 1 | 5 |
26-Oct | CHI | | 1 | | 3 | 6 |
28-Oct | @TOR | 1 | | | 2 | 2 |
29-Oct | NYI | 1 | | | 9 | 1 |
02-Nov | @LAK | | 1 | | 2 | 3 |
03-Nov | @CGS | | | 1 | 6 | 5 |
05-Nov | @Van | 1 | | | 4 | 2 |
09-Nov | DET | 1 | | | 7 | 3 |
12-Nov | MTL | | 1 | | 3 | 5 |
16-Nov | STL | 1 | | | 4 | 0 |
04-Mar | CHI | 1 | | | 3 | 0 |
| | 8 | 6 | 1 | 60 | 45 |
[TBODY]
[/TBODY]
First double-check that I don't have them scoring 10 instead of 1 some place.
Second, what does this mean for Orr, if the Bruins not only replicate the ratio 2 years after he's gone, but while he's there?
Third (perhaps this is for later) what does this mean about ratios?
I know, sample size of 15 games, but all we need is Ray Bourque to be gone for 20 to see this:
1988-89 | GP | EVGF | EVGA | ESGF/G | ESGA/G | Ratio |
Boston | 80 | 194 | 185 | 2.43 | 2.31 | 1.05 |
Bourque plays | 60 | 150 | 130 | 2.50 | 2.17 | 1.15 |
Bourque is out | 20 | 44 | 55 | 2.20 | 2.75 | 0.80 |
[TBODY]
[/TBODY]
I think people know I have a quibble or two about ratios, even if I like the constituent parts of it. (Yes
@seventieslord, Gretzky's off-ice comparables aren't JUST Messier. But if Gretzky's playoff R-off is 1.4-something, and Messier's R-on is around 1.5, he's probably doing a lot to set the goalposts and the guy's got more Hart
Trophies than Vadnais/Smith/Sims/Awrey combined ever got Norris
votes.)
But the idea that Orr is (I'm willing to bet) posting a crushing R-on/off, yet the team r-on/off remains the same when he misses time is curious. Also the idea that the Bruins replicate the same ratio without Orr 2 years later. How would these things happen? Does Boston play differently with Orr? Almost assuredly yes, but is this in a way that negatively affects their ratio (Orr's r-off when he plays?) And since I assume that the division is made to account for team strength, is that accurate?