Smith was average, at best, in drafting, and never assembled the best Jets 1.0 teams. Their best years were in the mid 80s.
He was very good/excellent at drafting from 1989-93, and 2002-03 with Chicago (7 drafts total).
The team that drafted the best while Smith was the GM with the Jets, was unquestionably the Detroit Red Wings. Their excellence at drafting over that period, is only matched by Glen Sather's Oilers' teams from 1979-83 (with only the '82 draft being a dud).
The best GM's over the years, based on reputation/legacy, that overlap Smith's years with the Jets and Blackhawks, could be:
- Glen Sather (Edmonton/New York Rangers)
- David Poile (Washington/Nashville)
- Lou Lamoriello (New Jersey)
- Jim Devellano/Bryan Murray/Ken Holland (Detroit)
All three above - excluding the GMs in Detroit because I'm counting them as one for this exercise - have far greater reputations as GMs than Mike Smith. Let's look at the 1989, 1990, 1991, 1992, and 1993 drafts - then 2002 & 2003 - to see how Detroit, Edmonton, Washington, New Jersey, and the Winnipeg Jets drafted.
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
Smith with Chicago in 2002
Smith with Chicago in 2003
Detroit 2002
Detroit 2003
Nashville 2002
Nashville 2003
New Jersey 2002
New Jersey 2003
New York Rangers 2002
New York Rangers 2003
Now going through all of this, I excluded anyone who didn't play at least 100 GP.
Glen Sather (Edmonton/New York Rangers)
- Jason Arnott - 106.6
- Miroslav Satan - 82.3
- Martin Rucinsky - 57.3
- David Vyborny - 28.9
- Josef Beranek - 17.8
- Petr Prucha - 15.2
- Kirk Maltby - 14.5
- Anatoli Semenov - 12.1
- Nigel Dawes - 8.6
- David Oliver - 7.7
- Nate Guenin - 6.7
- Corey Potter - 5.9
- Tyler Wright - 5.8
- Joey Crabb - 3.7
- Peter White - 2.7
- Brad Norton - 2.3
Total Point Shares:
378.1
David Poile (Washington/Nashville)
- Sergie Gonchar - 141.9
- Ryan Suter - 129.4
- Olaf Kolzig - 122.2
- Shea Weber - 118.9
- Peter Bondra - 104.3
- Andrew Brunette - 73.4
- Byron Dafoe - 62.1
- Jason Allison - 49.5
- Steve Konowalchuk - 36.8
- Ken Klee - 33.9
- Kevin Klein - 33.4
- Trent Klatt - 29.6
- Scottie Upshall - 29.4
- Jason Woolley - 26.3
- Jim Carey - 20.5
- John Slaney - 14.8
- Alexander Sulzer - 6.2
- Pat Peake - 5.1
- Brandon Segal - 2.1
Total Point Shares:
1,039.8
Lou Lamoriello (New Jersey)
- Martin Brodeur - 207.0
- Scott Niedermayer - 141.0
- Zach Parise - 108.2
- Bill Guerin - 94.3
- Brian Rolston - 80.4
- Mike Dunham - 65.4
- Brendan Morrison - 58.7
- Jason Smith - 48.3
- Jaroslav Modry - 45.9
- Sergie Brylin - 28.0
- Valeri Zelepukin - 22.7
- Cale Hulse - 21.3
- Corey Schwab - 16.5
- Brad Bombardir - 16.1
- Scott Pellerin - 14.3
- Stephane Yelle - 12.2
- Jay Pandolfo - 11.8
- Chris McAlpine - 10.0
- Denis Pederson - 8.3
- Todd Reirden - 8.1
- Jeff Toms - 2.1
- David Harlock - 1.8
- Dean Malkoc - 1.3
- Jarrod Skalde - 0.8
- Krzysztof Oliwa - 0.7
- Cam Janssen - (-1.4)
Total Point Shares:
1,023.8
Detroit
- Nicklas Lidstrom - 211.8
- Sergei Fedorov - 125.6
- Chris Osgood - 108.3
- Jimmy Howard - 90.4
- Vyacheslav Kozlov - 88.4
- Keith Primeau - 63.4
- Mike Knuble - 60.4
- Jason York - 48.8
- Dan McGillis - 48.7
- Jiri Hudler - 47.7
- Valtteri Filppula - 47.7
- Vladimir Konstantinov - 42.6
- Mike Sillinger - 40.9
- Dallas Drake - 38.7
- Anders Eriksson - 36.6
- Kyle Quincey - 34.2
- Tomas Fleischmann - 32.1
- Martin Lapointe - 29.5
- Jonathan Ericsson - 27.3
- Darren McCarty - 24.5
- Bob Boughner - 22.7
- Jamie Pushor - 17.4
- Stewart Malgunas - 2.6
- John Jakopin - 1.7
- Derek Meech - 1.6
Total Point Shares:
1,293.6
Mike Smith (Winnipeg/Chicago)
- Nikolai Khabibulin - 132.4
- Keith Tkachuk - 125.1
- Duncan Keith - 117.0
- Corey Crawford - 90.0
- Brent Seabrook - 88.5
- Dustin Byfuglien - 85.6
- Alex Zhamnov - 68.0
- Stu Barnes - 53.7
- Boris Mironov - 50.7
- James Wisniewski - 44.8
- Igor Ulanov - 37.3
- Aaron Ward - 34.0
- Kris Draper - 26.3
- Anton Babchuk - 21.1
- Michal Grosek - 19.7
- Mats Lindgren - 9.7
- Lasse Kukkonen - 5.7
- Evgeny Davydov - 5.4
- Sergei Bautin - 5.1
- Juha Ylonen - 4.7
- Mike Alatalo - 3.2
- Jeremy Stevenson - 2.2
- Chris Porter - 1.1
- Adam Burish - 0.9
- Scott Levins - 0.4
- Dan Bylsma - (-0.7)
Total Point Shares:
1,031.9
If you include Teemu Selanne, since Smith was the one influential in getting him drafted by the Jets, the total would jump to
1,204.2. I'm not counting that of course, and for reference Selanne had 172.3 PS.
Now, I don't think Point Shares is perfect, I just don't want to use up too much time adding up GP, PTS, and such.
I'd also add, that Mike Smith had a very difficult time being the GM in Chicago.
Compared to the other GMs, who already had the benefit of drafting years before 1989, Smith only drafted for 7 years, and I think he was on a short leash compared to say, whatever the hell Sather was doing in Edmonton/New York after 1983 going forward. It's not like Mike Smith had been drafting in Winnipeg for a decade and kept bombing away each draft.
Another thing to consider, since Mike Smith had gone behind John Ferguson's back in Winnipeg (and with the Rangers many years prior!), why are we overlooking Barry Shenkarow's part in all of this? He's not exactly discouraging Mike Smith to come to him before Ferguson got the boot, why are we to assume that John Paddock wasn't doing the same thing to Smith in and around 1993 leading up to that draft?
The 1992 draft year isn't a strong class (IMO), and was it Mike Smith making the final decision in all of those picks by the 1993 draft? I'm skeptical that Paddock didn't have more than enough input in the decision making by that point in time.
Smith only drafted two players in the Top 10, Stu Barnes at #4, and Aaron Ward at #5 in both stops as GM. The Jets also didn't have the infrastructure that the Red Wings had (and superior development in Adirondack vs Moncton IMO). I also wonder how many scouts the Jets employed at that time (any?), compared to teams like New Jersey, Washington, Detroit, etc.