Player Discussion The Slaf Thread - Parabolic Growth Edition

[Whitesnake]

A lot of 20 yo are having subpar years. Carlsson.....Mintyukov......Gauthier....Jiricek isn't where he's suppose to be.

Only Cooley right now is looking great.

 

[Jabba11]

A lot of 20 yo are having subpar years. Carlsson.....Mintyukov......Gauthier....Jiricek isn't where he's suppose to be.

Only Cooley right now is looking great.

Cooley is King! Jk Jk

Let's give Slaf time. But he better get it going because we need his contribution if we want to push for the playoffs

 

[Kennerback]

How long before Habs confess they actually hired « Dr. No Shot » by accident?

 

[Erika]

Because he's awful.

You guys need to stop the unrealistic expectations and calm down with those young players....all those supposed young superstars between 19 to 22 years old... None of them are prodigies. They will all be good players, but most of them will take a certain time to get there and Slafkovsky is no exception

 

[ReHabs]

Very strange to bench him midway through a season where he’s already been given a talking to. They’re not getting through to him?

Hughes and MSL could start having buyer’s remorse for the mega contract extension Slaf did nothing to earn.

Is he lazy, is he entitled, is he distracted, is he immature? I hate that we can’t evaluate him as a hockey player because his efforts are beneath that of a professional player.

Maybe he really does have a mysterious unannounced undisclosed injury that excuses everything but also isn’t a long-term issue.

Our team is winning games but a pillar of the Hughes rebuild is a ghost. What will the Habs do when mighty Joel Armia’s board battle skills move on? We’re winning against good opponents despite Slafkvosky’s best (lol) efforts. Shame.

 

[Victoire HuGo]

So lately with Slafkovsky going back to his bad ways, there have been some valid concerns but also some hot takes on whether the team made a terrible mistake committing that kind of money for 8 years. Reminder: this a big player who’s still 20 years old and they are even more inconsistent than other players. I’ll be tackling the question on whether or not we should be concerned on Slafkovsky’s upcoming contract and whether it will affect negatively the window of this team by the time they can compete.

Information that was used for this analysis was the salary cap year by year starting on 2007-2008 to determine the cap hit % of each deal. Slafkovsky will represent a cap hit of 8.2% for year one of his deal.

Season	2007-2008	2008-2009	2009-2010	2010-2011	2011-2012	2014-2015	2015-2016	2016-2017	2017-2018	2018-2019	2019-2020	2022-2023	2023-2024	2024-2025	2025-2026
Salary Cap	$ 50,300,000	$ 56,700,000	$ 56,800,000	$ 59,400,000	$ 64,300,000	$ 69,000,000	$ 71,400,000	$ 73,000,000	$ 75,000,000	$ 79,500,000	$ 81,500,000	$ 82,500,000	$ 83,500,000	$ 88,000,000	$ 92,400,000
Equivalence in salary based on cap hit %	$ 4,124,600	$ 4,649,400	$ 4,657,600	$ 4,870,800	$ 5,272,600	$ 5,658,000	$ 5,854,800	$ 5,986,000	$ 6,150,000	$ 6,519,000	$ 6,683,000	$ 6,765,000	$ 6,847,000	$ 7,216,000	$ 7,600,000

Part A:

Should Slaf have been signed to a bridge deal?

One idea that’s been thrown is that Slafkovsky should have been at a short deal. Cheap plug (HF Habs: - Analysis - The Inconsistency that come with Big Forwards) but after looking back at the comparables that there are for Slaf (forwards over 6 ft 2 that were picked in the top 15) and analyzing what contracts they were given, did management potentially make the right decision based on historical data. By narrowing down players who produced similar numbers during their ELC (0.65 to 0.72 PPG). I came up with a list of 11 players since 2003 draft.

Name

Notes

AAV

Years

Salary Cap

Cap Hit %

Best Season (pts)

Age

Contract Details

Cap Hit %

2nd Best Season

Age

Contract Details

3rd Best Season

Age

Contract Details

Assessment

Bridge was/would have been best move?

Horton

Bridge 1 year 1.1M after ELC

$ 4,000,000

6​

$ 50,300,000

8.0%​

57 (in 65 GP)

24​

$ 4,000,000

7.0%​

62​

21​

$ 1,100,000

62​

22​

$ 4,000,000

Bridge should have been skipped

No

Carter

Signed an 11 year deal after this one

$ 5,000,000

3​

$ 56,700,000

8.8%​

84​

24​

$ 5,000,000

8.8%​

66​

26​

$ 5,000,000

66​

32​

Signed a deal no longer allowed

N/A

Michalek

Signed 3 year 4M after this one

$ 4,333,333

6​

$ 56,700,000

7.6%​

66​

22​

ELC

60​

27​

$ 4,333,333

57​

24​

$ 4,333,333

Best year happened during ELC

Yes

E. Kane

Signed 7 year 7M deal after this one

$ 5,250,000

6​

$ 64,300,000

8.2%​

49 (in 56 GP)

29​

$ 7,000,000

8.6%​

57​

20​

ELC

56​

27​

$ 7,000,000

Kane's years were after his 2nd contract or ELC

Maybe?

Seguin

Signed 8 year 9.85M deal after this one

$ 5,750,000

6​

$ 64,300,000

8.9%​

84​

22​

$ 5,750,000

8.9%​

77 (in 71 GP)

23​

$ 5,750,000

80​

27​

$ 5,750,000

No

Wennberg

Bought out on that deal after year 3

$ 4,900,000

6​

$ 75,000,000

6.5%​

59​

22​

ELC

40 (in 69 GP)

21​

ELC

35 (in 66 GP)

23​

$ 4,900,000

Was bought out and best years during ELC

Yes

PLD

Signed 1 year deal at 6M then the 8 year 8.5M deal

$ 5,000,000

2​

$ 81,500,000

6.1%​

63 (in 73 GP)

24​

$ 6,000,000

7.3%​

61​

20​

ELC

60​

23​

$ 5,000,000

Would have saved on cap hit by committing earlier

No

Necas

Signed 2 years at 6.5M after this one

$ 3,000,000

2​

$ 82,500,000

3.6%​

71​

24​

$ 3,000,000

3.6%​

46 (in 38 GP)*

26​

$ 6,500,000

41 (in 53 GP)

22​

ELC

Might regret for next contract

No

B. Tkachuk

$ 8,205,714

7​

$ 81,500,000

10.1%​

83​

23​

$ 8,205,714

9.9%​

37 (in 37 GP)

25​

$ 8,205,714

74​

24​

$ 8,205,714

Yes

Byfield

$ 6,250,000

5​

$ 88,000,000

7.1%​

55​

21​

ELC

Not looking good right now

Maybe?

Voracek

Bridge 1 year 2.25M after ELC, then 8 years at 8.25M after this deal

$ 4,250,000

4​

$ 64,300,000

6.6%​

85​

28​

$ 8,250,000

11.0%​

81​

25​

$ 4,250,000

66​

29​

$ 8,250,000

Cap Hit could have been lower for big contract if committed earlier

No

AVG

7.4%​

73​

24​

8.2%​

I looked at the 3 best years of the players in this sample and noted the age it occurred, the contract details (was it during a bridge, ELC, etc) to determine if the teams ended up taking the right approach with their respective player and if they ended up rewarding a player for past performance or properly predicting the trajectory of their player and ending up with a semi bargain.

Would a bridge deal have been the best move for the organization? Based on historical data (5 no’s, 3 yes and 2 maybe’s), I would say no it wouldn’t have. Unless they simply went with shorter term but then you potentially run into the risk of not getting s much of a bargain. One can argue the teams who signed Kane, Seguin, Voracek, Horton and Tkachuk would have been better off adding 1-2 extra years.

Looking at the data for the best seasons of the players from this sample. The age is 24 years old where players produce their most productive year. Reminder: Slafkovsky is just 20 years old. The average cap hit % during those most productive years is in the 8.2% range (note ELCs were excluded here).

Part B

What kind of cap hit should be expected if Slafkovsky’s ceiling is a 67-70 points player in his best years and would it provide good value for the team?

The next concern of some folks is whether Slafkovsky will be overpaid for what he brings at his next deal. BY analyzing the cap increases every year from 2006-2007 all the way until the pandemic, there was an average cap increase of 2.4M every season. If we fast forward to Slafkovsky’s season where he’ll be 24 years old (2028-2029) and project the cap to go up by 7.2M, if so Slafkovsky’s cap hit would be 7.63% and would be the equivalent to 7.050M in next year’s cap if converted.

2026-2027	2027-2028	2028-2029	2029-2030	2030-2031	2031-2032
$ 94,800,000	$ 97,200,000	$ 99,600,000	$ 102,000,000	$ 104,400,000	$ 106,800,000
$ 7,600,000	$ 7,600,000	$ 7,600,000	$ 7,600,000	$ 7,600,000	$ 7,600,000
8.02%​	7.82%​	7.63%​	7.45%​	7.28%​	7.12%​

I think this barometer is a bit arbitrary but I could see Slafkovsky being a player that averages between 67-70 points during his prime. By splitting the last 14 seasons in different segments and adjusting for scoring surge I narrowed down the forwards from 2010-2015 who averaged 60-63 points during that time span. I did the same from 2015-2020 with forwards who averaged between 64 and 66 points during that period. Finally for the 2020-2024 stretched I looked at forwards who averaged between 67 and 70 points during that stretch. That offered me a sample of 45 players. I looked at their cap hit % during each season and excluded those on ELCs.

Name	2009-2010	Salary Cap	Cap Hit	2010-2011	Salary Cap	Cap Hit	2011-2012	Salary Cap	Cap Hit	2013-2014	Salary Cap	Cap Hit	2014-2015	Salary Cap 2	Cap Hit
Paul Stastny	$ 6,600,000	$ 56,800,000	11.6%​	$ 6,600,000	$ 59,400,000	11.1%​	$ 6,600,000	$ 64,300,000	10.3%​	$ 6,600,000	$ 64,300,000	10.3%​	$ 7,000,000	$ 69,000,000	10.1%​
Patrik Elias	$ 6,000,000	$ 56,800,000	10.6%​	$ 6,000,000	$ 59,400,000	10.1%​	$ 6,000,000	$ 64,300,000	9.3%​	$ 5,500,000	$ 64,300,000	8.6%​	$ 5,500,000	$ 69,000,000	8.0%​
Daniel Alfredsson	$ 5,400,000	$ 56,800,000	9.5%​	$ 5,400,000	$ 59,400,000	9.1%​	$ 5,400,000	$ 64,300,000	8.4%​	$ 5,500,000	$ 64,300,000	8.6%​
Jason Pominville	$ 5,300,000	$ 56,800,000	9.3%​	$ 5,300,000	$ 59,400,000	8.9%​	$ 5,300,000	$ 64,300,000	8.2%​	$ 5,300,000	$ 64,300,000	8.2%​	$ 5,600,000	$ 69,000,000	8.1%​
Jeff Carter	$ 5,000,000	$ 56,800,000	8.8%​	$ 5,000,000	$ 59,400,000	8.4%​	$ 5,272,727	$ 64,300,000	8.2%​	$ 5,272,727	$ 64,300,000	8.2%​	$ 5,272,727	$ 69,000,000	7.6%​
Patrice Bergeron	$ 4,750,000	$ 56,800,000	8.4%​	$ 4,750,000	$ 59,400,000	8.0%​	$ 5,000,000	$ 64,300,000	7.8%​	$ 5,000,000	$ 64,300,000	7.8%​	$ 6,875,000	$ 69,000,000	10.0%​
Andy McDonald	$ 4,700,000	$ 56,800,000	8.3%​	$ 4,700,000	$ 59,400,000	7.9%​	$ 4,700,000	$ 64,300,000	7.3%​
Johan Franzen	$ 3,954,545	$ 56,800,000	7.0%​	$ 3,954,545	$ 59,400,000	6.7%​	$ 3,954,545	$ 64,300,000	6.2%​	$ 3,954,545	$ 64,300,000	6.2%​	$ 3,954,545	$ 69,000,000	5.7%​
David Krejci	$ 3,750,000	$ 56,800,000	6.6%​	$ 3,750,000	$ 59,400,000	6.3%​	$ 3,750,000	$ 64,300,000	5.8%​	$ 5,250,000	$ 64,300,000	8.2%​	$ 5,250,000	$ 69,000,000	7.6%​
Chris Kunitz	$ 3,725,000	$ 56,800,000	6.6%​	$ 3,725,000	$ 59,400,000	6.3%​	$ 3,725,000	$ 64,300,000	5.8%​	$ 3,725,000	$ 64,300,000	5.8%​	$ 3,850,000	$ 69,000,000	5.6%​
Ray Whitney	$ 3,550,000	$ 56,800,000	6.3%​	$ 3,000,000	$ 59,400,000	5.1%​	$ 3,000,000	$ 64,300,000	4.7%​	$ 4,500,000	$ 64,300,000	7.0%​
Alex Steen	$ 1,700,000	$ 56,800,000	3.0%​	$ 3,362,500	$ 59,400,000	5.7%​	$ 3,362,500	$ 64,300,000	5.2%​	$ 3,362,500	$ 64,300,000	5.2%​	$ 5,800,000	$ 69,000,000	8.4%​
Loui Eriksson	$ 1,600,000	$ 56,800,000	2.8%​	$ 4,250,000	$ 59,400,000	7.2%​	$ 4,250,000	$ 64,300,000	6.6%​	$ 4,250,000	$ 64,300,000	6.6%​	$ 4,250,000	$ 69,000,000	6.2%​
Matt Duchene	ELC	$ 56,800,000		ELC	$ 59,400,000		ELC	$ 64,300,000		$ 3,500,000	$ 64,300,000	5.4%​	$ 6,000,000	$ 69,000,000	8.7%​
Jakub Voracek	ELC	$ 56,800,000		ELC	$ 59,400,000		$ 2,250,000	$ 64,300,000	3.5%​	$ 4,250,000	$ 64,300,000	6.6%​	$ 4,250,000	$ 69,000,000	6.2%​
Bobby Ryan	ELC	$ 56,800,000		$ 5,100,000	$ 59,400,000	8.6%​	$ 5,100,000	$ 64,300,000	7.9%​	$ 5,100,000	$ 64,300,000	7.9%​	$ 5,100,000	$ 69,000,000	7.4%​
Max Pacioretty	ELC	$ 56,800,000		ELC	$ 59,400,000		$ 1,625,000	$ 64,300,000	2.5%​	$ 4,500,000	$ 64,300,000	7.0%​	$ 4,500,000	$ 69,000,000	6.5%​
Logan Couture	ELC	$ 56,800,000		ELC	$ 59,400,000		ELC	$ 64,300,000		$ 2,875,000	$ 64,300,000	4.5%​	$ 6,000,000	$ 69,000,000	8.7%​
Jaromir Jagr	$ 56,800,000			$ 59,400,000		$ 3,300,000	$ 64,300,000	5.1%​	$ 4,000,000	$ 64,300,000	6.2%​	$ 5,500,000	$ 69,000,000	8.0%​
RNH		$ 56,800,000			$ 59,400,000		ELC	$ 64,300,000		ELC	$ 64,300,000		$ 6,000,000	$ 69,000,000	8.7%​
Vladimir Tarasenko	$ 56,800,000			$ 59,400,000			$ 64,300,000		ELC	$ 64,300,000		ELC	$ 69,000,000
AVG	$ 4,309,965		7.6%​	$ 4,635,146		7.8%​	$ 4,269,987		6.6%​	$ 4,579,987		7.1%​	$ 5,335,428		7.7%​
Name	2015-2016	Salary Cap	Cap Hit	2016-2017	Salary Cap	Cap Hit	2017-2018	Salary Cap	Cap Hit	2018-2019	Salary Cap	Cap Hit	2019-2020	Salary Cap	Cap Hit
David Krejci	$ 7,250,000	$ 71,400,000	10.2%​	$ 7,250,000	$ 73,000,000	9.9%​	$ 7,250,000	$ 75,000,000	9.7%​	$ 7,250,000	$ 79,500,000	9.1%​	$ 7,250,000	$ 81,500,000	8.9%​
Joe Pavelski	$ 6,000,000	$ 71,400,000	8.4%​	$ 6,000,000	$ 73,000,000	8.2%​	$ 6,000,000	$ 75,000,000	8.0%​	$ 6,000,000	$ 79,500,000	7.5%​	$ 7,000,000	$ 81,500,000	8.6%​
Brayden Schenn	$ 2,500,000	$ 71,400,000	3.5%​	$ 5,125,000	$ 73,000,000	7.0%​	$ 5,125,000	$ 75,000,000	6.8%​	$ 5,125,000	$ 79,500,000	6.4%​	$ 5,125,000	$ 81,500,000	6.3%​
Mike Hoffman	$ 2,000,000	$ 71,400,000	2.8%​	$ 5,187,500	$ 73,000,000	7.1%​	$ 5,187,500	$ 75,000,000	6.9%​	$ 5,187,500	$ 79,500,000	6.5%​	$ 5,187,500	$ 81,500,000	6.4%​
Sean Couturier	$ 1,750,000	$ 71,400,000	2.5%​	$ 4,333,333	$ 73,000,000	5.9%​	$ 4,333,333	$ 75,000,000	5.8%​	$ 4,333,333	$ 79,500,000	5.5%​	$ 4,333,333	$ 81,500,000	5.3%​
Filip Forsberg	ELC	$ 71,400,000		$ 6,000,000	$ 73,000,000	8.2%​	$ 6,000,000	$ 75,000,000	8.0%​	$ 6,000,000	$ 79,500,000	7.5%​	$ 6,000,000	$ 81,500,000	7.4%​
AVG	$ 3,900,000		5.5%​	$ 5,649,306		7.7%​	$ 5,649,306		7.5%​	$ 5,649,306		7.1%​	$ 5,815,972		7.1%​
Name	2020-2021	Salary Cap	Cap Hit	2021-2022	Salary Cap	Cap Hit	2022-2023	Salary Cap	Cap Hit	2023-2024	Salary Cap	Cap Hit
Duchene	$ 8,000,000	$ 81,500,000	9.8%​	$ 8,000,000	$ 81,500,000	9.8%​	$ 8,000,000	$ 82,500,000	9.7%​	$ 8,000,000	$ 83,500,000	9.6%​
Tarasenko	$ 7,500,000	$ 81,500,000	9.2%​	$ 7,500,000	$ 81,500,000	9.2%​	$ 7,500,000	$ 82,500,000	9.1%​	$ 5,000,000	$ 83,500,000	6.0%​
Pacioretty	$ 7,000,000	$ 81,500,000	8.6%​	$ 7,000,000	$ 81,500,000	8.6%​	$ 7,000,000	$ 82,500,000	8.5%​	$ 4,000,000	$ 83,500,000	4.8%​
Bergeron	$ 6,875,000	$ 81,500,000	8.4%​	$ 6,875,000	$ 81,500,000	8.4%​	$ 5,000,000	$ 82,500,000	6.1%​		$ 83,500,000
Laine	$ 6,750,000	$ 81,500,000	8.3%​	$ 7,500,000	$ 81,500,000	9.2%​	$ 8,700,000	$ 82,500,000	10.5%​	$ 8,700,000	$ 83,500,000	10.4%​
Kreider	$ 6,500,000	$ 81,500,000	8.0%​	$ 6,500,000	$ 81,500,000	8.0%​	$ 6,500,000	$ 82,500,000	7.9%​	$ 6,500,000	$ 83,500,000	7.8%​
Nelson	$ 6,000,000	$ 81,500,000	7.4%​	$ 6,000,000	$ 81,500,000	7.4%​	$ 6,000,000	$ 82,500,000	7.3%​	$ 6,000,000	$ 83,500,000	7.2%​
Meier	$ 6,000,000	$ 81,500,000	7.4%​	$ 6,000,000	$ 81,500,000	7.4%​	$ 6,000,000	$ 82,500,000	7.3%​	$ 8,800,000	$ 83,500,000	10.5%​
Ehlers	$ 6,000,000	$ 81,500,000	7.4%​	$ 6,000,000	$ 81,500,000	7.4%​	$ 6,000,000	$ 82,500,000	7.3%​	$ 6,000,000	$ 83,500,000	7.2%​
Schmaltz	$ 5,850,000	$ 81,500,000	7.2%​	$ 5,850,000	$ 81,500,000	7.2%​	$ 5,850,000	$ 82,500,000	7.1%​	$ 5,850,000	$ 83,500,000	7.0%​
Konecny	$ 5,500,000	$ 81,500,000	6.7%​	$ 5,500,000	$ 81,500,000	6.7%​	$ 5,500,000	$ 82,500,000	6.7%​	$ 5,500,000	$ 83,500,000	6.6%​
Marchessault	$ 5,000,000	$ 81,500,000	6.1%​	$ 5,000,000	$ 81,500,000	6.1%​	$ 5,000,000	$ 82,500,000	6.1%​	$ 5,000,000	$ 83,500,000	6.0%​
Lindholm	$ 4,850,000	$ 81,500,000	6.0%​	$ 4,850,000	$ 81,500,000	6.0%​	$ 4,850,000	$ 82,500,000	5.9%​	$ 4,850,000	$ 83,500,000	5.8%​
Tuch	$ 4,750,000	$ 81,500,000	5.8%​	$ 4,750,000	$ 81,500,000	5.8%​	$ 4,750,000	$ 82,500,000	5.8%​	$ 4,750,000	$ 83,500,000	5.7%​
Verhaeghe	$ 1,000,000	$ 81,500,000	1.2%​	$ 1,000,000	$ 81,500,000	1.2%​	$ 4,166,667	$ 82,500,000	5.1%​	$ 4,166,667	$ 83,500,000	5.0%​
Suzuki	ELC	$ 81,500,000		ELC	$ 81,500,000		$ 7,875,000	$ 82,500,000	9.5%​	$ 7,875,000	$ 83,500,000	9.4%​
Boldy	ELC	$ 81,500,000		ELC	$ 81,500,000		ELC	$ 82,500,000		$ 7,000,000	$ 83,500,000	8.4%​
Svechnikov	ELC	$ 81,500,000		$ 7,750,000	$ 81,500,000	9.5%​	$ 7,750,000	$ 82,500,000	9.4%​	$ 7,750,000	$ 83,500,000	9.3%​
AVG	$ 5,838,333		7.2%​	$ 6,004,688		7.4%​	$ 6,261,275		7.6%​	$ 6,220,098		7.4%​

For the most part, the players have a more favorable cap hit % than Slafkovsky’s projected 7.6% (keep in mind that number would keep going down as years go by; 3 seasons later we could be looking at 7.12%). The average during those 14 seasons was a cap hit of 7.2% for that kind of productivity. There were 3 seasons where 7.6% would have offered better value during that season, 1 where it was even and 10 where it would have been worse value.

Note: I used a very conservative approach for this, based on previous reports by Elliott Friedman, we could be looking a massive jump for salary cap in upcoming years with the expansions.

Part C

Will Slafkovsky’s cap hit be a nuisance to the team if he tops out as that kind of player?

I looked at the roster of the Stanley Cup winners since 2012 (that’s as far as the resource I used could go). Again I will be basing myself off Slafkovsky’s project 7.63% where he’ll be 24 years old which could be a realistic target for our stanley cup window to open up.

Season

2011-2012

Cap Hit

2012-2013

Cap Hit

2013-2014

Cap Hit

2014-2015

Cap Hit

2015-2016

Cap Hit

2016-2017

Cap Hit

2017-2018

Cap Hit

2018-2019

Cap Hit

2019-2020

Cap Hit

2020-2021

Cap Hit

2021-2022

Cap Hit

2022-2023

Cap Hit

2023-2024

Cap Hit

Winner

LAK

CHI

LAK

CHI

PIT

PIT

WSH

STL

TB

TB

COL

VGK

FLA

Highest paid players

Doughty

10.89%​

Kane

8.97%​

Gaborik

11.66%​

Kane

9.13%​

Malkin

13.31%​

Malkin

13.01%​

Ovechkin

12.72%​

Tarasenko

9.43%​

Kucherov

11.60%​

Vasilevskiy

11.60%​

Rantanen

11.30%​

Eichel

12.12%​

Bobrovsky

11.98%​

Kopitar

10.58%​

Toews

8.97%​

Doughty

10.89%​

Toews

9.13%​

Crosby

12.18%​

Crosby

11.92%​

Kuznetsov

10.40%​

ROR

9.43%​

Stamkos

10.40%​

Kucherov

11.60%​

Makar

11.04%​

Pietrangelo

10.67%​

Barkov

11.98%​

Slaf

Richards

8.94%​

Sharp

8.40%​

Kopitar

10.58%​

Crawford

8.70%​

Letang

10.15%​

Letang

9.93%​

Backstrom

8.93%​

Pietrangelo

8.18%​

Hedman

9.66%​

Stamkos

10.40%​

Landeskog

8.59%​

Tkachuk

11.38%​

7.63%​

Carter

8.20%​

Seabrook

8.26%​

Quick

9.02%​

Sharp

8.55%​

Kessel

9.52%​

Kessel

9.32%​

Holtby

8.13%​

McDonagh

8.28%​

Hedman

9.66%​

MacKinnon

7.73%​

Ekblad

8.98%​

Keith

7.89%​

Richards

8.94%​

Seabrook

8.41%​

Fleury

8.05%​

Fleury

7.88%​

Niskanen

7.67%​

Point

8.28%​

McDonagh

8.28%​

Reinhart

7.78%​

Hossa

7.70%

Carter

8.20%​

Keith

8.03%​

Oshie

7.67%​

Point

8.28%​

Hossa

7.64%​

Rank

5​

7​

7​

8​

6​

6​

7​

4​

6​

7​

4​

3​

6​

AVG

5.85​

On average, with that cap hit, Slafkovsky would be the 5.85th (round up to 6th) highest paid player on a SC winning team. That is very encouraging because in my opinion, I think the team won’t be in trouble if Slafkovsky is the team’s 4th or 5th best player on the team. The fact that the rest of the core is locked up at a bargain price is even more reason to be optimistic about the future of this team.


Hope you enjoyed this read!

 

[austin316]

Leave him in Denver. He’s cooked

 

[Non Player Canadiens]

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Wright is all neck in that headshot. pass. we all know how that goes

 

[ahmedou]

 

[waitin425]

I know you are a foremost wordsmith and poet....but I have to ask....did you write this immediately following the game?

Too early to tell with Slaf. I think he is 20 and has a ton of room to grow into his potential. I only declare definitives when it is for the better. Slaf has more in him. I think the contract will be fine, with less certainty than when he signed it.

 

[Hannibal]

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You guys need to stop the unrealistic expectations and calm down with those young players....all those supposed young superstars between 19 to 22 years old... None of them are prodigies. They will all be good players, but most of them will take a certain time to get there and Slafkovsky is no exception

QFT.

Patience.

 

[ReHabs]

but after looking back at the comparables that there are for Slaf (forwards over 6 ft 2 that were picked in the top 15)

As mentioned in that thread, draft position is an irrelevant factor to the analysis you’re attempting to perform.

 

[Naslund]

The anti St-Louis crowd now moving on to Slafkovsky. How predictable...

 

[Natey]

He's just fine. He's a fantastic little playmaker who wins the puck repeatedly. He's got game changing skill when he's on. I think he'll be worth this contract without a doubt, especially when we have more actual talent throughout the lineup.

 

[Skip Bayless]

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You guys need to stop the unrealistic expectations and calm down with those young players....all those supposed young superstars between 19 to 22 years old... None of them are prodigies. They will all be good players, but most of them will take a certain time to get there and Slafkovsky is no exception

I don't care about stats, I'm not 13 years old. I care about effort, I care about his play without the puck.

It is trash. even if he was PPG I would still cheer for his arrest if someone called the cops.

 

[Grate n Colorful Oz]

Slaf be like:

 

[Victoire HuGo]

As mentioned in that thread, draft position is an irrelevant factor to the analysis you’re attempting to perform.

I replied to your concern in that thread and you didn't reply back on the 2nd exchange feel free to bring that discussion to that thread

 

[Victoire HuGo]

The anti St-Louis now moving on to Slafkovsky. How predictable...

Am I supposed to be either of those things with the content of my thread..? Lol

 

[BLONG7]

Way too soon to be doing this guys.
The kid is 20 yrs old.

 

[Maitz]

I have no problem with negociating one year before if the player is already a core and steady player, I wanted them to wait this year to see if he would take the next step. I feel like young players don't put the same effort knowing they have 50M guarantee in the future

 

[Naslund]

Am I supposed to be either of those things with the content of my thread..? Lol

Sorry, I did not intend to point the finger at you. I just know that with the team winning and St-Louis out of the woods, the mob will move to another target. Based on what's I'm reading on the board, Slaf is going to get it, unfortunately.

I just felt your thread would bring munitions and cover for these folks.

Slaf is 20. He is not a finished product. His contract will be fine, as he will bring something unique to this team. A guy with size that can make plays.

 

[Victoire HuGo]

tldr

Even if Slaf's ceiling is a 67-70 guy, the team won't be doomed cap wise nor talent wise when window is opened. That's the summary.

 

[The Gr8 Dane]

Nothing wrong with calling out his bad play right now , he's shown he's better so this is on him , hope he steps up

 

[Estimated_Prophet]

The anti St-Louis now moving on to Slafkovsky. How predictable...

Slaf has been brutal all season long, he is playing lazy, dumb hockey and absolutely should sit in the press box for at least one game.

I was never on the MSL is a bad coach or Dach was a mistake train and I called these out as dumb hot takes. Slaf will very likely be fine but he clearly is refusing to do what is being asked of him and he very well may need some tough love to expedite his maturity level to where it needs to be.

 

[austin316]

Knies >>>>> Slaf