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The Race for the Calder Trophy

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WhiskeyYerTheDevils said:
My current favorites for the Calder, with projections (assuming ~82gp unless stated otherwise).

Let the hater comments begin:

Forwards
  1. Bedard 32g 71p
  2. Cooley 19g 64p
  3. Carlsson 20g 52p (60gp)
  4. Fantilli 23g 47p
  5. Reichel 19g 44p
  6. Knies 21g 42p
  7. Poitras 13g 41p
  8. Greig 16g 38p
  9. Evangelista 14g 38p
  10. Laferierre 18g 36p
Defenseman
  1. Hughes 12g 48p
  2. Faber 9g 33p
  3. Mintyukov 7g 39p
  4. Korchinski 4g 31p
  5. Jiricek 9g 25p (65gp)
  6. Lacombe 3g 24p
With Bedard off to a slower start, the race feels pretty wide open. He's had some pretty poor puck luck, so I still expect him to break 30g and 70p. Unfortunately, Leo Carlsson probably isn't going to get a chance to play enough games to compete for the Calder, even though I think he might be the best overall rookie this year. Cooley will probably be the top challenger among forwards, but he'll need to start generating at 5v5 and shooting the puck more to keep up.

Among defensemen, I think Luke Hughes has a pretty good shot to win it. He's been the devils best overall defenseman through our first 6 games, despite having to carry around Brendan Smith (though to be fair, pretty much all of our defenseman have been terrible except for Hughes and maybe Bahl).

I've also been really impressed by Faber, who is likewise already his team's best defenseman. Mintyukov has also been stellar. But I don't know if either of them will get enough opportunities to pile up points over the course of the season to beat Luke in a vote, who will likely land in the 40-50+ point range if he continues to QB our top PP unit. He's been a huge part our early PP success despite not yet piling up the points - his ability to consistently setup controlled zone entries is like nothing we've ever had from a defenseman.


He's a good young player but I wouldn't count on him to continue scoring at anywhere near the clip he's been on. He's currently sporting a 24% on ice shooting percentage at 5v5, where he's scored all his points. The Sens have scored 9 goals vs 3.3 expected GF while he's been on the ice at 5v5. I think he'll probably have a Pinto-like rookie season, which would obviously be a great start to his career, but I wouldn't expect him to be a serious contender for the Calder.
Click to expand...
Why would you assume that Leo Carlsson is going to miss 22 games this season because he was injured during the first couple of games? Why not predict injuries to other players as well then? With Jiricek I kind of get it because there is decent player eating popcorns on CBJ defense every night when they're all healthy.
 
Miro4Norris said:
Why would you assume that Leo Carlsson is going to miss 22 games this season because he was injured during the first couple of games?
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I'm not assuming he's going to miss games because he was injured the first few games.
Miro4Norris said:
Why not predict injuries to other players as well then? With Jiricek I kind of get it because there is decent player eating popcorns on CBJ defense every night when they're all healthy.
Click to expand...
I'm not predicting injuries.
 
Miro4Norris said:
Why would you assume that Leo Carlsson is going to miss 22 games this season because he was injured during the first couple of games? Why not predict injuries to other players as well then? With Jiricek I kind of get it because there is decent player eating popcorns on CBJ defense every night when they're all healthy.
Click to expand...
The Ducks have a plan in place to healthy scratch Leo at times.

Carlsson, agent on board with Ducks' plan to have rookie sit out games | NHL.com
 
I remember reading an article not too long ago that suggested STL goalie Hofer being an underdog candidate... A nice little shutout for him last night too
 
Miro4Norris said:
Why would you assume that Leo Carlsson is going to miss 22 games this season because he was injured during the first couple of games? Why not predict injuries to other players as well then? With Jiricek I kind of get it because there is decent player eating popcorns on CBJ defense every night when they're all healthy.
Click to expand...
www.nhl.com

Carlsson, agent on board with Ducks' plan to have rookie sit out games | NHL.com

No. 2 pick in 2023 NHL Draft says he believes in Anaheim's progressive strength, development program
www.nhl.com www.nhl.com
 
As of 11AM(CST) 10/27

#1 Ridley Greig - 7GP 1G 4A 5P 15:22 TOI

#2 Matthew Poitras - 7GP 3G 2A 5P 14:35 TOI

#3 Logan Cooley - 6GP 0G 5A 5P 17:39 TOI

#4 Adam Fantilli - 7GP 2G 2A 4P 16:29 TOI

#5 Matthew Knies - 7GP 2G 2A 4P 12:56 TOI

#6 Connor Bedard - 7GP 2G 2A 4P 20:00 TOI

#7 Bobby Brink - 6GP 2G 2A 4P 16:15 TOI

#8 Pavel Mintyukov - 7GP 1G 3A 19:40 TOI

#9 Kaedan Korczak - 4GP - 1G 3A 16:54 TOI

#10 Leo Carlsson - 3GP 2G 1A 21:03 TOI

Leafidelity said:
Might want to keep an eye on Joseph Woll if he keeps playing at this level. He looks like he may have stolen the Leafs starter role already
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Wall is definitely worth mentioning

It looks like he should have had a shutout but didn't play a full game so he doesn't technically get credit for it.

Goalies:
Joseph Woll - 4GP 3W 1L 1.33 GAA .961 SV%

Lukas Dolstal - 3GP 2W 1L 2.34 GAA .929 SV%

Arvid Soderblom - 3GP 1W 2L 2.68 GAA .913 SV%

Joel Hofer - 2GP 1W 1L 1SO 3.01 GAA .913 SV%

Devon Levi - 4GP 1W 3L 3.26 GAA .892 SV%
 
Last edited:
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Deadly Dogma said:
Knies will be up in there as well, he keeps getting bumped up our roster.
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I really don't think so, while Knies is a nice player to watch, he doesn't compare to the top candidates. He gets bumped up in the conversation because of the Leafs factor. I would say Woll has a better chance than Knies.
 
Craig Ludwig said:
I really don't think so, while Knies is a nice player to watch, he doesn't compare to the top candidates. He gets bumped up in the conversation because of the Leafs factor. I would say Woll has a better chance than Knies.
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IMO its just a matter of 2 more games till Knies is up with Matthews and Marner and playing with those 2 should put Knies somwhere in the top 5 point wise by the end of the season.
 
If Bedard is even close to the top of the scoring race for rookies...the media will easily vote for him claiming that his points were harder to come by being on a "bottomed out" Chicago team.
 
CBJx614 said:
As of 11AM(CST) 10/27

#1 Ridley Greig - 7GP 1G 4A 5P 15:22 TOI

#2 Matthew Poitras - 7GP 3G 2A 5P 14:35 TOI

#3 Logan Cooley - 6GP 0G 5A 5P 17:39 TOI

#4 Adam Fantilli - 7GP 2G 2A 4P 16:29 TOI

#5 Matthew Knies - 7GP 2G 2A 4P 12:56 TOI

#6 Connor Bedard - 7GP 2G 2A 4P 20:00 TOI

#7 Bobby Brink - 6GP 2G 2A 4P 16:15 TOI

#8 Pavel Mintyukov - 7GP 1G 3A 19:40 TOI

#9 Kaedan Korczak - 4GP - 1G 3A 16:54 TOI

#10 Leo Carlsson - 3GP 2G 1A 21:03 TOI


Wall is definitely worth mentioning

It looks like he should have had a shutout but didn't play a full game so he doesn't technically get credit for it.

Goalies:
Joseph Woll - 4GP 3W 1L 1.33 GAA .961 SV%

Lukas Dolstal - 3GP 2W 1L 2.34 GAA .929 SV%

Arvid Soderblom - 3GP 1W 2L 2.68 GAA .913 SV%

Joel Hofer - 2GP 1W 1L 1SO 3.01 GAA .913 SV%

Devon Levi - 4GP 1W 3L 3.26 GAA .892 SV%
Click to expand...

Matthew Poitras should be #1 on the scoring list as he has more goals than Grieg and same # of games played. Goals take precedent over assists.
 
Carlsson-Bedard-Knies
Cooley-Fantilli-Rossi
Benson-Poitras-Brink
Foerster-Greig-Coronato

Mintyukov-Faber
L.Hughes-Jiricek
Lacombe-Kocrzak

Levi
Woll

Is that team making the playoffs?
 
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MNRube said:
Carlsson-Bedard-Knies
Cooley-Fantilli-Rossi
Benson-Poitras-Brink
Foerster-Greig-Coronato

Mintyukov-Faber
L.Hughes-Jiricek
Lacombe-Kocrzak

Levi
Woll

Is that team making the playoffs?
Click to expand...
Holy depth, depends on division but I think they could crack the west WC
 
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