Is it crazy to feel more comfortable against Vegas than it is LA? The Kings home record is just insanity.
And despite that insanity we snagged 3 of 4 possible points against them in LA. 60 minutes wasn't enough to decide the winner in either game. I'll take my chances against their home record vs taking my chances against teams that I believe are better constructed overall.
FWIW, one of my biggest concerns about the 1st round opponent is special teams. More specifically, it is our PK allowing our 1st round opponent to win the series by dominating on the PP. The refs don't start really putting the whistles away right when playoffs start and you can absolutely lose an opening round series on special teams alone. Our 28th-in-the-league PK is a large liability, especially early in the playoffs when the officiating standard hasn't quite caught up to the increase in violence.
Vegas has the best PP in the league. Winnipeg is 2nd. Both of them are above 29%. There is a real concern that either of those teams goes 8 for 19 on the PP against us in a series and that hole is just too big to overcome.
LA's PP is 28th at just 16%.
If we're talking about cherry picking "when" we have to play certain teams, avoiding elite PPs in round 1 would be a break. I think that any 'formula' for a deep Blues playoff run is to play
really well at 5 on 5, be 'good enough' on special teams, and rely on Binner to shut the door in critical situations more often than the other team's goalie does. We're going to be playing with fire every time we go shorthanded in the playoffs, especially against teams with good PPs. Vegas, Winnipeg, Edmonton, and Colorado are all top 8 PPs in the league. Dallas is 16th at 22%. Opening up against the clear worst PP of the group when the refs are still calling (closer) to everything helps that formula.