The Playoff Push, Tanking and Scoreboard Watching Thread

TeamMagic Number to clinch PlayoffsCurrent PointsGames RemainingPossible PointsRWROWCommon Games
Blues49341013139vs U
Wild6914993439vs C, vs V
Flames.856972732vs W
Canucks.835932732vs W
Utah.825922734vs B

Vancouver and Utah are eliminated every way except officially. I also don’t see the Kings catching Vegas. It’s starting to look like maybe the matchups will be set before the last game or two.

The Blues could officially clinch tomorrow with a RW and a regulation loss by Calgary.
What the heck happened to VAN this season? 109 point juggernaut last year and this year looking like 85+point team that misses the playoffs. Which season is the anomaly? And if I’m a betting man, Tocchet finishes out this year on his contract and signs with Philly.
 
What the heck happened to VAN this season? 109 point juggernaut last year and this year looking like 85+point team that misses the playoffs. Which season is the anomaly? And if I’m a betting man, Tocchet finishes out this year on his contract and signs with Philly.
Last year was the anomaly. They shot 12% as a team and got .928 goaltending at 5-on-5. Maybe they’re not as bad as they’ve shown this year and the dysfunction in the locker room didn’t help, but last year was kind of a best case scenario for them.
 
What the heck happened to VAN this season? 109 point juggernaut last year and this year looking like 85+point team that misses the playoffs. Which season is the anomaly? And if I’m a betting man, Tocchet finishes out this year on his contract and signs with Philly.
Coming into the season it looked like they had elite top 6 centers, a Norris D-man, and reliable goaltending. Now it looks like Hughes is the only one of those pieces a contender should build around and he was injured at a critical time for the team.
 
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What the heck happened to VAN this season? 109 point juggernaut last year and this year looking like 85+point team that misses the playoffs. Which season is the anomaly? And if I’m a betting man, Tocchet finishes out this year on his contract and signs with Philly.
Paying $11.6mil for a center who is pacing for a 67-point season (over 82 games) can throw a wrench in things.
 
We’ve got one more win in us.

The rest can begin after the clinching.

Sorry jets, take your L and good luck in the playoffs.
 
What the heck happened to VAN this season? 109 point juggernaut last year and this year looking like 85+point team that misses the playoffs. Which season is the anomaly? And if I’m a betting man, Tocchet finishes out this year on his contract and signs with Philly.
Petterson is garbage is a big part of it. They got rid of the wrong guy.
 
Doesn’t sound good for Holloway. I just hope it nothing serious, like major surgery.
 
Boston would have been a perfect example of a quick reboot if they had nailed their 2015 draft.
They are already great example of it despite that draft.

They won the President's Trophy in 2013/14 and then barely missed the playoffs in 2014/15. So 2014/15 was clearly year 1 of the reboot. They missed the playoffs again in year 2 and made the playoffs year 3.

Then from years 4-10 they were one of the league's best teams. In this 7 year window they won 2 President's Trophies, set the single-season win record, and made it to game 7 of a Cup Final. They finished with 107+ points (or paced for 107+ points) in all 7 seasons. No team in the NHL earned more standings points than the Bruins from 2017/18 through 2023/24. They lost to the eventual Cup champs in the playoffs in 3 of the 7 seasons, so it isn't like they were just playoff chokers.

I'm not going to say that their reboot wasn't a success because we were the team that managed to win a series that genuinely could have gone either way.
 
Is it crazy to feel more comfortable against Vegas than it is LA? The Kings home record is just insanity.
And despite that insanity we snagged 3 of 4 possible points against them in LA. 60 minutes wasn't enough to decide the winner in either game. I'll take my chances against their home record vs taking my chances against teams that I believe are better constructed overall.

FWIW, one of my biggest concerns about the 1st round opponent is special teams. More specifically, it is our PK allowing our 1st round opponent to win the series by dominating on the PP. The refs don't start really putting the whistles away right when playoffs start and you can absolutely lose an opening round series on special teams alone. Our 28th-in-the-league PK is a large liability, especially early in the playoffs when the officiating standard hasn't quite caught up to the increase in violence.

Vegas has the best PP in the league. Winnipeg is 2nd. Both of them are above 29%. There is a real concern that either of those teams goes 8 for 19 on the PP against us in a series and that hole is just too big to overcome.

LA's PP is 28th at just 16%.

If we're talking about cherry picking "when" we have to play certain teams, avoiding elite PPs in round 1 would be a break. I think that any 'formula' for a deep Blues playoff run is to play really well at 5 on 5, be 'good enough' on special teams, and rely on Binner to shut the door in critical situations more often than the other team's goalie does. We're going to be playing with fire every time we go shorthanded in the playoffs, especially against teams with good PPs. Vegas, Winnipeg, Edmonton, and Colorado are all top 8 PPs in the league. Dallas is 16th at 22%. Opening up against the clear worst PP of the group when the refs are still calling (closer) to everything helps that formula.
 
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Dang! Pretty impressive when you lay all of that out. Even crazier to think what could have become if they had cleaned up at that draft. 5/6 years as THE Cup favorite.

Anyway, thanks for 1776 Boston but everyone hates you now.
Btw, I cannot take credit for that last sentence. One of you fine folks here said that on the night of June 12th 2019. One of many things I recall from that all glorious of evenings.
 
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TeamMagic Number to clinch PlayoffsCurrent PointsGames RemainingPossible PointsRWROWCommon Games
Blues49341013139vs U
Wild6914993439vs C, vs V
Flames.856972732vs W
Canucks.835932732vs W
Utah.825922734vs B

Vancouver and Utah are eliminated every way except officially. I also don’t see the Kings catching Vegas. It’s starting to look like maybe the matchups will be set before the last game or two.

The Blues could officially clinch tomorrow with a RW and a regulation loss by Calgary.
Agree on LA not likely to catch Vegas with a 5 point lead.

Vegas is at Colorado, home vs. Seattle, home vs. Nashville, at Calgary and at Vancouver. Even if Vegas finishes 3-2, LA would have to go 6-0 against Seattle x2, Anaheim, Colorado, Edmonton, and Calgary to finish ahead of them.
 
TeamMagic Number to clinch PlayoffsCurrent PointsGames RemainingPossible PointsRWROWCommon Games
Blues4933993139vs U
Wild6914993439vs C, vs V
Flames.875972833vs W
Canucks.835932732vs W
Utah.825922734vs B

The Blues are actually in WC2 at the moment. The Flames had to have that win to give themselves a chance.
 
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TeamMagic Number to clinch PlayoffsCurrent PointsGames RemainingPossible PointsRWROWCommon Games
Blues4933993139vs U
Wild6914993439vs C, vs V
Flames.875972833vs W
Canucks.835932732vs W
Utah.825922734vs B

The Blues are actually in WC2 at the moment. The Flames had to have that win to give themselves a chance.
We are ahead of Minnesota by points and points percentage. I get that we are in WC2 if you go by 'possible points' but I don't consider Minnesota already ahead of us until they actually win that game in hand. I know their schedule has been hard lately and has now flipped to easy, but they have failed to get 2 points in 6 of their last 8 games, which includes two losses to the Devils, 1 loss to the Isles, and 1 loss to the Rangers. They have played 11 games against teams below them in the standings since the start of March and have won just 4 of those games.

Do I think they will win their game in hand? Yeah, it's probably more likely than not. But it is far enough away from being a slam dunk win that I'm not saying that they are currently higher than us on the assumption that they win it.
 

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