Confirmed with Link: The Jakob Chychrun Thread (update: 3/25/25 | signs 8-year, $72M extension)

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Happy about this deal and that he’s locked up, but you have to wonder what the pathway for Hutson looks like. The easiest solution would be to ditch Sandin in a couple years but who knows.

This is a very good problem to have. They'll sort it out without a doubt. Players will need to constantly earn their spot. Nothing is handed out because there isn't any options.
 
Just for the sake of comparison, with the expected cap of 95.5M next year this contract comes in at 9.4% of the cap. Carlson's deal was 9.1% of the cap when he signed it in the summer of 2018, so they're pretty close. John's got a 15/10 team no trade list too.

Based on some quick excel work, Chychrun comes in as the 25th defenseman in terms of cap hit percentage, right between Owen Power and Jared Spurgeon. Most of the defensemen just below him on the list either signed their deals as RFAs or have some form of trade protection as well.
 
Caps don't have a history of trading top players against their will, and we're not going to be doing any fire sale rebuild anytime soon where every valuable asset gets moved for picks. Guys we've traded in the last 10 years have been expiring UFAs, 3rd/4th liners, 5/6 Dmen. We really never trade core players, because our overall team and management have been so stable over a 20 year span. The last big purge we had was when the Jagr experiment bombed out. Orlov is maybe the next top player we moved but there just wasn't a deal in place for him as a UFA. Kuzy loafed his was out of town, as did Vrana.

Cheech is safe here for most all of his contract regardless of the clauses.
 
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So this probably means Sandin is dealt at the end of next season, if we assume Hutson is That Dude? It surely wouldn't be Fehervary, who fills a completely different role.
As a former Sandin doubter, that would be a big mistake. Protas was mentioned on the trade board but if anything it’s Sandin’s deal that levels out the slight overpayment here. He’s been crushing it.

Unfortunately they’ve got 4 really good LDs into the future and only one RD post-Carlson.
 
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Funny how the "microstats" on the second image love him but the WAR stats hate him. How can a guy be 100th percentile in goals, 86th percentile in chances, 82nd percentile in entries, and 92nd percentile in exits... but only 42nd percentile for EV offense overall? There's been a weird disconnect all year where advanced stats say he's bad but the results have consistently been great and the team clearly doesn't see an issue.
 
Lane was 1 year away at a comparable point in time. I expect Cole is on a similar timeline, maybe adding a few months in Hershey. But he is not 3 years away.
Caps are in a totally different competitive situation than the Habs were/are, and the Caps love to slow cook prospects in Hershey.
 
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Funny how the "microstats" on the second image love him but the WAR stats hate him. How can a guy be 100th percentile in goals, 86th percentile in chances, 82nd percentile in entries, and 92nd percentile in exits... but only 42nd percentile for EV offense overall? There's been a weird disconnect all year where advanced stats say he's bad but the results have consistently been great and the team clearly doesn't see an issue.
Agreed, Eye test says he's excellent at a number things that very few people are good at. He takes some risks and is prone to the occasional gaffe with the puck(Carlson is too), but the good heavily outweighs the bad, and he shoots like forward(which he played as a youth).
 
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Just for the sake of comparison, with the expected cap of 95.5M next year this contract comes in at 9.4% of the cap. Carlson's deal was 9.1% of the cap when he signed it in the summer of 2018, so they're pretty close. John's got a 15/10 team no trade list too.
Carlson was just coming off a year where he was 5th in Norris voting and was about to be the runner up the year after (and should have won ...). I don't think Chychrun is at those heights.

Overall I think it's fine and certainly preferable to the option B of "not signing Chychrun" but at the same time this is about $.5M-$1M too much AAV for me, even with the cap increase factored in
 

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