The Case for Tyler Bozak: All Tyler Bozak Discussion Here

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Durrr

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Sep 11, 2012
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As much as I agree with you guys that Kadri is likely the better offensive option in all situations, at the same time I don't think you guys realize how impressive Bozak's offense has actually been this year and last.

Bozak has in fact closed any gap in production between the two of them (even though yes he has had the massive advantage of playing with Kessel), and Kadri is no longer outperforming him like he used to. But yes, again, playing with Kessel and on the top unit does give him a big advantage that Kadri would likely exploit better.


But let's give credit to Bozak for what he's done offensive this year and last - in fact, Bozak has been one of the most productive players in hockey over this year and last.


14-15 ES:

Bozak: 164:50min, 1gls/6pts (60min, 0.3gls/2.2pts)
Kadri: 151:15min, 4gls/5pts (60min, 1.6gls/2.0pts)

14-15 PP:

Bozak: 36:12min, 3gls/4pts (60min, 5.0gls/6.6pts)
Kadri: 28:47min, 0gls/0pts (60min, 0.0gls/0.0pts)


13-14 ES:

Bozak: 989:48min, 14gls/40pts (60min, 0.9gls/2.4pts)
Kadri: 1159:16min, 13gls/32pts (60min, 0.7gls/1.7pts)

13-14 PP:

Bozak: 156:24min, 5gls/8pts (60min, 1.9gls/3.1pts)
Kadri: 185:33min, 7gls/18pts (60min, 2.3gls/5.8pts)


12-13 ES

Bozak: 721:59min, 7gls/18pts (60min, 0.6gls/1.5pts)
Kadri: 655:47min, 13gls/36pts (60min, 1.2gls/3.3pts)

12-13 PP

Bozak: 136:47min, 4gls/9pts (60min, 1.8gls/4.0pts)
Kadri: 106:11min, 5gls/8pts (60min, 2.8gls/4.5pts)



Last 2yrs ES

Bozak: 1154:38min, 15gls/46pts (60min, 0.8gls/2.4pts)
Kadri: 1350:31min, 17gls/37pts (60min, 0.8gls/1.6pts)

Last 2yrs PP

Bozak: 192:36min, 8gls/12pts (60min, 2.5gls/3.7pts)
Kadri: 214:20min, 7gls/18pts (60min, 2.0gls/5.0pts)


Last 3yrs ES

Bozak: 1876:37min, 22gls/64pts (60min, 0.7gls/2.1pts)
Kadri: 2006:18min, 30gls/73pts (60min, 0.9gls/2.2pts)

Last 3yrs PP

Bozak: 329:23min, 12gls/21pts (60min, 2.2gls/3.8pts)
Kadri: 320:31min, 12gls/26pts (60min, 2.3gls/4.9pts)




And here's the top-30 ppg players in hockey over this year and last (games played in brackets):

1. Crosby 1.36 (90)
2. Malkin 1.24 (70)
3. Getzlaf 1.12 (90)
4. Tavares 1.11 (70)
5. Zetterberg 1.11 (56)
6. Seguin 1.09 (91)
7. Stamkos 1.08 (49)
8. Giroux 1.06 (93)
9. Hall 1.05 (86)
10. Perry 1.03 (94)
11. Kessel 1.01 (93)
12. Ovechkin 1.01 (89)
13. Neal 1.00 (70)
14. Okposo 0.99 (82)
15. Benn 0.98 (92)
16. Backstrom 0.97 (93)
17. Kane 0.95 (81)
18. Pavelski 0.95 (95)
19. Duchene 0.94 (84)
20. Datsyuk 0.92 (51)
21. Kunitz 0.92 (88)
22. Thornton 0.92 (95)
23. Sharp 0.91 (94)
24. Spezza 0.91 (86)
25. Krejci 0.88 (89)
26. Steen 0.87 (79)
27. Bozak 0.86 (69)
28. Marleau 0.86 (95)
29. Parise 0.86 (77)
30. Toews 0.86 (88)


Now we might say this is just a fluke small sample size, but we can't use excuses like "he plays with Kessel" since there are a whole bunch of teammates on this list who get to play with each other too, or like "he's in an easy situation" since he gets tough zone starts and quality of competition, too.

And we can't know for sure whether it's just a fluke small sample size, because a) it's not that small and b) maybe he just figured it out a bit late. It'll be very interesting to see whether he produces without Kessel, because then we'll be forced to give him some credit - especially if the team maintains their improved possession numbers.

early returns are good - Bozak has already produced without Kessel in the first few games, and has been in on a whole bunch of other quality scoring chances too.

Zeke I'm not trying to overlook the strides Bozak has made offensively since last season. Everyone should be able to admit that he's really improved offensively and put up respectable numbers ( playing on one of the best offensive lines in the league). All I was pointing to was that Kadri has age on his side, and he still is our best offensive center, and that ES and PP numbers prove this.
 

AD1066

Registered User
Sep 30, 2011
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sure they do. whether you think it's informative or fair or whatever else doesn't change the fact that corsi numbers can be measured for individual players. just like every player has an 'individual' +/- number. you used to use a certain player's +/- number from the lockout year as a replacement for his name. it was meant to prove that this player was a bad player, because he had a bad +/- that season.

Bring up the blatant hypocrisy and you'll be accused of going "off topic".
 

Purity*

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Jan 29, 2010
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In what ****ing universe is having top-line minutes and top-line PP DETRIMENTAL to a player's production?

Did I seriously just read a 3 page argument saying Bozak hasn't matched Kadri's 5v5 production because because "ZOMG QOC!" Ever heard of adding context to the argument? Because his teammates are mostly JVR/Kessel/Phaneuf...
 

HonestHockey*

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Who cares? He also gets lower caliber teammates, in the end it's a wash.

I'm not the one saying he should be on the first PP based on numbers. He produces the numbers against 2nd PK. Period. You have nothing to tell you he can produce against 1st PK's.
 

HonestHockey*

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In what ****ing universe is having top-line minutes and top-line PP DETRIMENTAL to a player's production?

Did I seriously just read a 3 page argument saying Bozak hasn't matched Kadri's 5v5 production because because "ZOMG QOC!" Ever heard of adding context to the argument? Because his teammates are mostly JVR/Kessel/Phaneuf...

Who said it was? This was all in comparison. Something that you can't do because they don't play the same QoC.
 

Durrr

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Sep 11, 2012
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I'm not the one saying he should be on the first PP based on numbers. He produces the numbers against 2nd PK. Period. You have nothing to tell you he can produce against 1st PK's.

:facepalm:

Like the poster said above, post some meaningful statistics to differentiate between 1st and 2nd PK units and maybe we can have a real discussion. Right now this is ad nauseam at it's finest, because there is absolutely nothing that points against 1st PP minutes NOT increasing players production. Like seriously, can't even believe were having this debate right now. Never seen someone argue that 1st pp time doesn't increase production.
 

Hockey Talker29

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Oct 10, 2003
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I'm not the one saying he should be on the first PP based on numbers. He produces the numbers against 2nd PK. Period. You have nothing to tell you he can produce against 1st PK's.

You actually have no evidence whatsoever to assert that the 2nd PK unit is materially worse than the 1st unit. If you do, I'd love to see it.

You also have no evidence that he faces 2nd PK units. Lines are not matched on the PK, mainly because playing the PK is much more tiring than playing the PP. The average PK shift will be shorter than the average PP shift unless the PK team gets hemmed in.

The 1st PP unit will receive considerably more ice-time over the course of a season, not to mention the fact that it will consist of the highest Pt/G players on a specific team.
 

Purity*

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Jan 29, 2010
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I don't see it as being addressed anywhere. It's a fact.

So Joakim Lindstrom and Justin Adbelkader are clearly better than Tarasenko and Nyqvist, I mean that's obviously why the former is on the top line and not the latter, they have shown nothing that they can handle their level of QoC.

Why is it that Deharnais/Patches line for montreal is considered the top-line? It's plekanec who takes the hard match-ups, DD has shown nothing that he can produce against the hard matchups Plekanec takes.

Verified facts.

I also read you earlier saying "Possession stats without context is like ordering a hamburger without a bun."

And yet here we see you hurling around these QoC numbers backed up by zero context at all. Hypocritical much?
 

HonestHockey*

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:facepalm:

Like the poster said above, post some meaningful statistics to differentiate between 1st and 2nd PK units and maybe we can have a real discussion. Right now this is ad nauseam at it's finest, because there is absolutely nothing that points against 1st PP minutes NOT increasing players production. Like seriously, can't even believe were having this debate right now. Never seen someone argue that 1st pp time doesn't increase production.

Where did I say it didn't? I'm saying that you can't compare the two.
 

HonestHockey*

Guest
So Joakim Lindstrom and Justin Adbelkader are clearly better than Tarasenko and Nyqvist, I mean that's obviously why the former is on the top line and not the latter, they have shown nothing that they can handle their level of QoC.

Why is it that Deharnais/Patches line for montreal is considered the top-line? It's plekanec who takes the hard match-ups, DD has shown nothing that he can produce against the hard matchups Plekanec takes.

Verified facts.

I also read you earlier saying "Possession stats without context is like ordering a hamburger without a bun."

And yet here we see you hurling around these QoC numbers backed up by zero context at all. Hypocritical much?

Who's hurling around QoC numbers? Show me one posting where I have. The Hamburger comment is still valid. Possession numbers without context is just that hamburger.

What youre saying in the first part I haven't a clue but it sounds like you are saying exactly what I have been saying.

Kadri should be on first PK. Based on what? He's never been on it to say that he can produce anything anything better. You'd be the same group saying Gardiner should be on the first PP. How's that looking?
 

Durrr

Registered User
Sep 11, 2012
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Where did I say it didn't? I'm saying that you can't compare the two.

If you're not saying that it doesn't, then you can easily compare the two by saying that 1st pp > 2nd pp interms of production.
 

Einzakin

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Jan 20, 2011
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I think Holland should be put with Bozak and JVR. Get Clarkson back with Komarov and Santorelli. That would be ideal with me as I find Clarkson was better on that line. Thats not to say he's been terrible with JVR/Bozak
 

HonestHockey*

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If you're not saying that it doesn't, then you can easily compare the two by saying that 1st pp > 2nd pp interms of production.

I have no idea what you're talking about. Has zero to do with the discussion. You can't compare the two because one hasn't played and the 1st PP and one hasn't played on the second. Apples and oranges.
 

Durrr

Registered User
Sep 11, 2012
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I have no idea what you're talking about. Has zero to do with the discussion. You can't compare the two because one hasn't played and the 1st PP and one hasn't played on the second. Apples and oranges.

You keep repeating this, but it really doesn't make you any more right. If you accept the fact that 1st pp units produce more then 2nd pp units, then it's only logical to assume a players production will go up when he is shifted from the 2nd to the 1st pp unit. Theoretically of course.
 

HonestHockey*

Guest
You keep repeating this, but it really doesn't make you any more right. If you accept the fact that 1st pp units produce more then 2nd pp units, then it's only logical to assume a players production will go up when he is shifted from the 2nd to the 1st pp unit. Theoretically of course.

Bam. There you have it. Just saying its so doesn't make it true.
 
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