The dust has begun to settle since Brendan Shanahan called a Friday afternoon press conference ahead of a long weekend and announced that Kyle Dubas will not be returning as General Manager of the Toronto Maple Leafs. The fallout has been fascinating to follow. Fans and media alike have bounced...
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On the note about talent, it is important to point out that there are good candidates available, and Kyle Dubas is not coming off of some sort of infallible tenure in Toronto. He oversaw the age-20-to-25 years of Matthews’ and age-21-to-26 years of Marner’s careers, and they won one playoff series in that time. Yes, he had good moments and trade deadlines, and the team was generally successful in the regular season, but he would – and did – tell us that the goal was to win the Cup. They never came close at playoff time.
This could be an offseason that calls for a big trade, and that is not an area where Kyle Dubas has exactly thrived, particularly in the offseason. Last summer, his trade of note was acquiring Matt Murray (which so far has worked out as many critics predicted). The last time he traded a player of significance in the offseason it was Nazem Kadri (a clear miss). His other offseason trades were largely cap dumps where he paid up to move on from Petr Mrazek, Nikita Zaitsev, Patrick Marleau, Matt Martin, and Kasperi Kapanen.
We’ve said this before, but his best trade (made midseason) was probably acquiring Jake Muzzin, who was great when healthy, but he paid a big price and it’s a trade LA probably does over again (which doesn’t make it a poor move; it just makes it a trade where he paid a premium to acquire a good player, which is different than winning a trade based on the exchange of value).
There is very little in Dubas’ trade history to suggest he’s the absolute best person to make a move of significance this offseason. Outside of the deals mentioned, once John Tavares signed to start his tenure, his offseason work largely consisted of bargain-bin signings in free agency and TJ Brodie.
The rumoured trade that he vetoed – Petr Mrazek and Matthew Knies for Brandon Hagel and Marc Andre Fleury – is certainly not a slam dunk either way. Hagel was really good this season and helped push Tampa over the
Leafs last spring. Perhaps that would have been enough to swing the 2022 playoff series in favour of the
Leafs. Perhaps Knies becomes a star for years to come. Time will tell, but if we believe that trade framework to be true, Shanahan vetoing it doesn’t exactly come across as out of touch or as the work of someone we wouldn’t want involved in the decision-making process. It is also completely normal for a GM to run trades by the President, and part of that process could involve convincing the person above them to sign off on the deal. This is not an abnormal reporting structure.