1. Caleb Malhotra - Not a franchise C, not even a surefire 1C. High-end potential is probably a lower-end 1C for now but if he continues his rapid improvement moving forward he could grow beyond that. Needs a year in the NCAA to bulk up, and maybe even an additional/partial year in the AHL before stepping into the NHL full-time.
2. Ivar Stenberg - Should immediately step into the NHL as a top 6 winger and succeed after doing pretty damn well in the SHL, WJC, and World Championship. Has the potential to become a play driving 1st line winger.
3. Chase Reid - Previously had him 1st after watching him in the WJC and OHL in December/January, but then I caught a couple of his playoff games and he didn't look nearly as good. Not sure if he just struggled to get back into a groove after being injured for a month and a half towards the end of the season. Still think he has #1 D potential from his play earlier in the season.
4. Gavin McKenna - Too many red flags. The elite offensive skill is there and he's pretty much guaranteed to be a top 6 forward and major powerplay threat, but a lot is missing as well. He may be an overall liability at even strength for a few years (if not more) and likely struggles to produce at even strength against good defensive teams, especially in the playoffs when every team tightens up defensively and plays more physical. Potential 90-ish point winger with heavy powerplay production.
5. Carson Carels - Good all-around D that has shown steady improvement throughout the season+playoffs. Not fully sold on him having 1D potential but still a high impact and physical potential top pairing D.
6. Daxton Rudolph - I have some concerns about his defensive and physical inconsistency, but the rest of what he brings makes up for it. Potential top pairing D that leans more on the offensive side.
7. Alberts Smits - Has all the tools to be a 1D but will be limited by what's going on between the ears. Might be able to step straight into the NHL next season. Potential 2/3 D
8. Malte Gustafsson - Big, mobile, physical, good at carrying and moving the puck, very good defensively. Won't be a liability in the offensive zone but not much of an asset either. Definitely the lowest offensive upside of all the top D but could see him being the best defensively of the bunch. Potential 2/3 shutdown D
9. Keaton Verhoeff - His skating and some of his defensive play give me pause, but still think he could top out as a #2 D if everything goes well. More likely he ends up a 2nd pair D though
10. Viggo Bjorck - Have some concerns about his lack of size and top speed at the NHL level and on non-international ice. But has obviously shown he can compete against men in the SHL and at the World Championship. Potential top 6 C/RW
-----Buckle up, the consensus goes out the window-----
11. Nikita Klepov - Have been thoroughly impressed in all my viewings. His IQ is what stands out most, but the complete package of what he brings to the table makes him so dangerous. More of a playmaker than a scorer. Has a pretty good motor and plays with a bit of an edge despite his average size. Late June birthday is a plus. Potential 1st line winger.
12. Ilia Morozov - Big two-way C that skates well and competes hard. Like Malhotra, has improved a ton in the past year. By all accounts he has an extremely good work ethic on and off the ice. Posted a bunch of top results at the combine too. Currently lacks the offensive skill to be more than a potential 2C but was driving the play on his line in the NCAA games I watched. August b-day to boot.
13. Simas Ignatavicius - Big, fast, physical, versatile (LW/RW with some C), defensively responsible, good motor, very good shot, pretty good offensive skills. Had some questions about his offensive upside while playing a bottom 6 role in the NL, but then he put up 7 goals and 4 assists in 8 SL games during the Olympic break. Potential top 6 forward
14. Oscar Hemming - The lack of offensive production, especially goalscoring (1 goal in 19 games), is a bit of a concern. But at the end of the day he was still a 17 year old (August b-day) in the NCAA and looked good overall despite all the drama that forced him to miss half the season. His size, skating, physical+defensive play, and playmaking ability could see him become top 6 complementary winger.
15. Alexander Command - Was fairly unimpressed after watching two of his U20 league games earlier in the year, he was playing laid back and without much intensity. Then caught a couple of his playoff games + the U18s and he looked far better. Much more engaged and active in the play at all times, more in line with what basically everyone else was saying about him. Potential 2C
-----Start of a sharp drop-off-----
16. Tomas Chrenko - Not completely sure if he'll be a C in the NHL, and even though he's undersized I think he's capable of doing it. Looked pretty good at the WJC and in the Slovakia men's league games I watched. Still needs to work on his defensive consistency and put on some muscle, but the offensive skill and drive is there. Potential 2C/RW
17. Jakub Vanecek - Despite the weird statline (14g, 21a, -21 in 59 games) on a bad team he impressed me. Good defensive play and positioning with a very active stick, smart offensive reads to jump up in the play/rush, pretty good skating and shot, solid size and puck moving ability. Potential #3 D
18. Wyatt Cullen - Interesting package of speed + skill especially with his recent growth spurt and his early September birthday (one week away from being in next year's draft). However I think people are putting too much stock into his U18 performance. He took advantage of the larger international ice and danced around weak competition. Potential play driving 2nd line winger
19. William Hakansson - Big physical shutdown D that played against men in the SHL and Allsvenskan all season. Needs to be paired with someone who can move the puck. Potential 2nd pairing D
20. Brooks Rogowski - Huge (6'7" 235lbs) two-way C that skates well with a late June birthday. 42 points in 46 games playing on the 2nd line. I've seen enough from him offensively that makes me think there's a chance he makes it as a 2nd liner, though maybe more in a complementary role. Potential middle 6 C/RW
21. Jack Hextall - Just a smart all-around two-way C with decent size (6'0.5" 195lbs) and a pretty good motor. Doesn't dazzle you with skill or speed but does the little things right, and doesn't shy away from physical play. Good playmaking ability, has a knack for finding passes to open areas that a teammate can skate into. Potential middle 6 C/RW
22. Beckett Hamilton - A one man offence generator on a team desperately lacking firepower. Good motor, underrated offensive skills, pretty good skating. On the lighter side (5'11" 174lbs) but willing to engage physically. Not a slouch defensively either. Potential middle 6 C/RW
23. Thomas Vandenberg - Good defensively, good speed+motor, pretty good shot, ok size (6'0" 180lbs), 56.5% on faceoffs, not afraid of going to the net. Put up 25g+25a in 59 OHL games and 4g+3a in 9 playoff games bouncing between the 2nd and 3rd lines all year. Much more of a scorer than a playmaker. One of the youngest players in the draft, early Sept birthday. Potential middle 6 C/LW
24. Adam Novotny - Scoring winger with pro size and speed + decent defensive play. Some concern about his offence falling off towards the end of the season + playoffs. Potential middle 6 winger
25. Ethan Belchetz - The more I watched Belchetz the more I saw things that concerned me. First it was his skating, then his defensive play, then it was his IQ/decision making. His offensive production wasn't too impressive considering his linemates and the ice time he was getting. Obviously his size is a huge plus, but I'm not sure if he'll be able to establish himself in a bottom 6 role if he can't make it as a top 6 winger. Also a little concerned he missed the playoffs the last two years due to injury.
26. Gleb Pugachyov - Big fast wrecking ball of a winger. The lack of MHL production is a red flag, but I've seen enough flashes of skill that makes me think he could be used in a top 6 role. Otherwise an exciting, powerful bottom 6 winger. Funny enough his MHL/VHL/KHL stats are similar to Podkolzin in his draft year.
27. Mathis Preston - Frustrating player. At times he looks like a potential 1st liner, at other times a future AHLer. His offensive production didn't improve much from the previous season. Very top 6 or bust prospect. I WANT TO BELIEVE
28. Tynan Lawrence - Massively disappointing season for a guy who was hyped as a top 5 pick to start the year. His limited offensive upside is very apparent, but there's still value in a 6'1" speedy tenacious centre that can shut down the opposition. Also on the younger side, August birthday having played the entire NCAA season as a 17 year old. Potential 3rd line centre...maybe a small chance he can figure some things out offensively and become a lower-end 2C?
29. Tommy Bleyl - Putting this undersized D (5'11" 170lbs) in the 1st round against my better judgment. Bleyl dominated the QMJHL including the playoffs although it is a weaker league. He needs to put on a lot of muscle, and even then it'll be a very uphill battle to beat the odds for a QMJHL D his size. Really not a fan that he's staying in the Q another year instead of going to the NCAA to bulk up and face tougher competition. Potential top 4 D
30. Brek Liske - After Tarin Smith got injured Liske was moved to the top pairing for most of Everett's failed Memorial Cup run. 24 points in 52 regular season games into 17 points in 18 playoff games. Definitely got a bump playing with Dupont, but Liske is no slouch offensively either (QB'd the 2nd PP unit). Good defensively, good puck moving ability, decent size (6'1" 190lbs), skating is ok but definitely needs to improve his speed + acceleration. Played LD all season + playoffs despite being a right shot so I'm going to assume he's comfortable on RD too. Potential 2nd pair D
31. Markus Ruck - By himself I think he can still become a middle 6 winger, but there are definitely weaknesses to his game that will stand out much more at the pro level (size/strength and to a lesser extent speed). If drafted with his brother he moves up to the early 20s. Unlikely he plays C in the NHL.
32. Liam Ruck - See above
Honourable Mentions
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Niklas Aaram-Olsen: Speedy scoring winger with a pretty good shot and motor
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Ryan Lin: It sucks because it's completely out of his control, but the lack of size is a concern
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Jonas Lagerberg Hoen: Huge wildcard. Missed almost the entire season. Likely 1st round pick had he not gotten injured. Fast scoring winger with size and a pretty good motor. *HOWEVER* it was a knee injury that required surgery, so not sure how much that will impact his speed moving forward. Also his overall skating is clunky.
Before you ask...
Suvanto - Just does not have the offensive ability to be anything remotely close to a top 6 forward. His skating is a major concern for me as well. Don't think he's close to being a lock for a 3rd liner either.
Nordmark - Might be on my DND after his pathetic U18 showing and finding out he's had issues with multiple coaches over the past couple of years. Plenty of talent but probably not worth the headache even with an early 2nd. Also in multiple games he had the puck on an odd man rush, had a clear passing lane to create a high danger scoring chance, and instead threw it on net shortside for an easy save. This happened enough times for me to mention it
Hermansson - Thought he looked pretty bad in the Allsvenskan game I watched, and was very Jekyll and Hyde at the U18s. Have serious doubts about his game working at the NHL level.
Sokolovskii - He's got the size, skating, and snarl, but he left me questioning his defensive IQ/decision making at times. Useless in the offensive zone and mediocre at best at moving the puck. Just don't see top 4 potential from him. Not worth a 1st or early 2nd
Shilov - Zero hustle/motor and defensive issues
Dagenais - Defensive issues. Effort issues. IQ issues. Has all the tools but no toolbox. Doubt he plays C at the pro level.
Villeneuve - Very small and just wasn't that impressed with his play in the weaker QMJHL. Have a very hard time seeing him make it in the NHL.
Hurlbert - A lot of junior hockey points and cherry picking/leaving D zone early that won't fly at the pro level. Defensive effort was bad too.