I don't understand the lack of love for Hagel in this thread, honestly. 90-point, 2-way winger, and one of the top ES scorers in the league...and plays the left wing naturally, which is probably our weakest position (relatively speaking). I see him as being as much of a lock for 2026 as Reinhart.
I think its more likely than not that Cirelli will be on the 2026 team too. I'm less confident in Cirelli's ability to perform at this level than Hagel, but I do think he'll make the team and I have no real issue with it. Going back to the championship game of the 4 Nations Cup, and both Cirelli and Hagel were playing critical minutes well into the late stages of that game. The same management team and coaching staff will be in place for 2026, and they basically told us who they trust in key situations so I'll take them for their word. I don't see how any of that changes between now and next February.
I still find Bennett's inclusion on the 4 Nations Cup team odd, but he proved himself to be a valuable contributor at this level. Provided he continues his current level of play into the first half of next season, I think he makes the team again.
I'm less sure on Konecny or Jarvis. Jarvis seems to be a young guy they want to have as a foundational piece going forward, so I'll give him the benefit of the doubt. I like Konecny as a player but I thought he looked a little out of his depth at the 4 Nations, maybe trying to do too much to establish himself physically, and ultimately he was scratched for the championship game. I think its unlikely he's back.
Marchand is obviously still a strong player and steps up in big games, Stone as well, but I think management has to force some turnover for 2026 even if those two players are still playing at a high enough level. I thought Marchand looked fairly slow at the 4 Nations, and I don't think Stone ever really found the right role for his skillset on the team. I'd move on from them, and Konecny.
I do think Celebrini will get the nod for the 2026 team, even if its in a 13/14th forward type of role.
Johnston will make his way onto the team I think, provided he has a better start to the season than he did last fall. I like his ability to play up and down the lineup, in a variety of scoring or defensive roles, at C or RW. I see him as a fairly versatile player, with lots of experience for a 21-year old.
The safe choices for the two remaining forward spots are Thomas and Suzuki. Not sure if Suzuki ultimately makes it due to his lack of appearances at the World Championships, but I have no doubt he'd be a safe pick if the management team looked past that. Otherwise, perhaps Scheifele gets the nod, Wilson, or they go with a younger player like Byfield, Fantilli, Bedard or Guenther if any of them get off to a good start next season.
Overall, it will be interesting to see who they invite to camp this summer and get a sense for the current line of thinking with these veteran players, and the youngsters.
OUT: Konecny, Marchand, Stone
IN: Johnston, Celebrini, Thomas, Suzuki (?)
For lines, I'd go with something like this:
Point - McDavid - Marner
Crosby - MacKinnon - Reinhart
Hagel - Cirelli - Johnston
Bennett - Thomas - Suzuki
Celebrini
Jarvis
I think Marner and McDavid is a suboptimal pairing in theory, but they did play well together when lined up on the same line at the 4 Nations, and Point has the speed and pace of play to match McDavid and drive the defense back, opening up space for Marner's playmaking abilities.
The MacKinnon line is a carryover from the 4 Nations, and while I found Reinhart's performance at that tournament a little lacking, he's a good complementary piece on a scoring line with his finishing ability and strong defensive play.
Johnston will (hopefully) provide more scoring oomph to the Cirelli/Hagel pairing, who were strong enough possession players at the 4 Nations but obviously lacked finishing ability. Johnston should be able to help address that.
The 4th line is really the remaining players, but would really be more of a 3B to the Cirelli line's 3A. I think that line has a little bit of everything and could play in any situation, provided Suzuki (or Thomas) can make the switch to RW.
Celebrini is positioned in the same role as Toews in 2010, as someone who can do basically everything well and could easily rise up the lineup and take on a more significant role with strong play. Jarvis is a 200-foot winger who can slot in anywhere in the lineup in case of injury/poor performance.