They downgraded the offense, and added one non-star level defensive defenseman to arguably the worst defense in the NHL(the absolute worst playmaking/passing defense in the NHL at the very least, which they made no effort to address). Not sure why anyone would want to fall into the trap(yet again) of believing they'll be a playoff contender after a decade of watching the team fly way under even the most conservative predictions year after year.
A little pessimism in August makes for a lot less anguish in November when the team goes into it's inevitable funk on it's first extended road trip.
Hall to Lucic isn't a downgrade, it's just different. Add an older more confident and hopefully healthy McDavid (and Drai) plus a full year of net presence and size from lucic and maroon. Puljujarvi may or may not make a difference (I think he will), and Nuge and Ebs should both do better for different reasons. The size difference from the start of last year will help us get/keep possession and will make everyone else better and net presence will add to the score sheet. Meanwhile adding Larsson and no Schultz will get the puck out of our end and into theirs faster and for longer. GF will go up.
Adding Larsson brings a top level defenseman who pushes everyone else down a spot and compared to the start of last year we'll have him eating big minutes instead of schultz. The younger guys also have more experience and hopefully we'll continue to see improvements there. GA will go down.
Overall I think we'll see more of a team game this year that will get better over time instead of falling apart with adversity. There will be a lot less Chinese fire drill in our end replaced with sustained pressure in theirs and a lot of those 1 goal losses will turn into 1 goal wins. I think the corner has been turned.
Having said all that, I get the pessimism... we've watched the same old thing for a while now and been let down over and over and nothing is a sure thing. A couple key injuries early in the year and the whole thing will implode as we fall into the usual negative feedback cycle of " we lost, therefore we suck, so we'll lose again, which means we really suck..." etc etc. A good start to the season is always important but this year more than ever.
My key worries to start this year are:
- a bad start right out of the gate either do to injuries or confused clusterfudge due to line juggling. I really hope we come out of camp healthy with guys already settled in with each other and systems.
- injuries.... we lost so many key guys for long periods last year
- Klefbom... How much of a setback will all that lost time be? Or will he pick up where he left off? This applies to Davidson as well.
- Talbot.. we need him to have a good start
- Larsson needs to start well, we can't afford to have him take a month to settle in to the new team. He doesn't have to be amazing but we need solid right off the bat.
The past few years I've approached the new season hopeful, but with very low expectations. This year I'm actually optimistic, we're not the same team we were last year.