Quote:
Originally Posted by MayDay
I think the fact that this has come down to the last couple days of the season, where a couple stray bounces could change the result, has proved the "Chicken Littles" to be completely right and justified in their concern.
Whereas the confident crowd was proclaiming back in the fall that this was one of the worst teams of all time, cited Corsi and Fenwick, and confidently asserted that all the wins in November wouldn't matter and that the Sabres would be in last place by a huge margin by the end of the season. I think they have clearly been proven wrong.
And rebuttal by Zip15:
I said we'd finish double-digits behind Edmonton when we were 10 pts up on them. And I'm pretty close to being correct. Isn't being right on the Internet fun?
The Chicken Littles also said on about four different occasions that the Coyotes wouldn't win another game or earn another point. They have been proven wrong. Again and again.
Our odds are over 90%. We're playing a road game against a team that is 9-0-1 in their last 10. I'm perfectly justified in my confidence, and I won't let woe-is-me, this-is-Buffalo gloom and doom convince me otherwise.
At the end of the day, we'll finish 30th. Which is what I, and many others have said, for the last five months while people around us were losing their minds. I said let's count them up after 82 as person after person said we were better than Edmonton, Carolina, Arizona, etc.
And I'll be right. Meanwhile, you and others like you have said for weeks that we'll finish 29th. You will be proven wrong. Again.
I'll join Zip's voice of truth, logic, and sanity.
On simple "coin flip" random probability:
1.
BUF still has a 95% chance of 30th place.
2. Of the 25 possible point distribution scenarios between ARI and BUF in the remaining 4 games, only 3 of those scenarios result in ARI finishing 30th, and the combined probabilities of those 3 point scenarios is 5%.
3. Since these games are not random coin-flips, I must again point out:
BUF still has 100% control of finishing 30th.
4. All you "chicken littles" - do you read the warning labels on medications then freak out and not take it when you read the possible side effects?
5. Do the verbal warnings, cautions, and admonitions on TV when certain medications are hawked make you cringe in fear and want to call your parent / grandparent who's taking a blood pressure medication and tell them to stop?
6. I'd hate to hear how some of you people react when given medical diagnoses with potential adverse outcomes. No offense intended to anyone who is dealing with that, but I couldn't think of another example.
I'm >>95% confident Buffalo will clinch 30th for two reasons: The simple odds favor it, AND (more importantly) they control their own destiny.
(of course, the majority of that timeframe was the offseason and there weren't any games to discuss)
