So the league officially confirmed that no minor league players with NHL contracts can go.
I mean, players on the NHL roster at a certain cutoff date (Feb 1?), I understand, even if I don't like it, but players with NHL contracts not in the NHL on that date? I don't know why the NHL doesn't leave it up to the team for those guys like they do with U20s. I legitimately can't think of one good reason.
It'll be interesting to see if any players under contract to AHL teams will make it. Also wonder if any currently unsigned prospects/RFAs who are likely to play in the AHL most of the season might take a 1-year AHL contract this year for the chance at the Olympics (would that even be allowed?). Currently, names I'd think of like this would be:
Ty Wotherspoon
Frank Corrado
Tye McGinn
Anthony Duclair
Duclair would be an extreme example, as a lot of things would have to work perfectly for both player and team, since he's much more likely to play the whole 2017-18 season in the NHL than the others. All would also probably only sign if they can be invited to NHL camp and play preseason games with the possibility of signing for the season if they perform well enough. This happens in baseball all the time, but I don't think I can think of an example of a player signed to an AHL-affiliate who was invited to the NHL team's camp, so I'm not sure if it's something that can be done without resorting to PTOs.
Considering that Hockey Canada has insinuated that a large percentage of the roster is going to come from the two squads named for the summer tournaments they've been invited to (Sochi Open and Puchkov Tournament), here's my guess for their Olympic roster right now:
[table=head]L| C| R
Mason Raymond| Derek Roy| Devin Setoguchi
Wojtek Wolski| Gilbert Brule| Brandon Kozun
Daniel Paille| Eric O'Dell| Marc-Antoine Pouliot
Ryan Garbutt| Ben Maxwell| Max Talbot
| Brandon McMillan|
[/table]
[table=head]D| D
Carlo Colaiacovo| Cam Barker
Marc-Andre Gragnani| Jesse Blacker
Karl Stollery| Stefan Elliot
Chris Lee|
[/table]
[table=head]G
Ben Scrivens
Justin Peters
[/table]
There's also definitely UFAs for whom it wouldn't absurd if they signed overseas that would definitely get long looks for the roster, such as Michael Kostka, Jay McClement, Cody Goloubef, John Mitchell, Mark Fraser, Ryan White, Bobby Farnham, Tanner Glass, Chris Kelly, Boyd Gordon and Scottie Upshall. All of those names would at least be viewed equally to most players in the above rosters. There's also a few others (Nick Schultz, Vernon Fiddler, PA Parenteau, Teddy Purcell, Alex Chiasson, Dennis Wideman, Cody Franson and, of course, Shane Doan and Jerome Iginla) that will probably get NHL contracts or retire, but still have slim chances of signing in Europe next year and would probably all be locks for the team if they do.
With that in mind, I'd assume this is the best-case scenario for Canada:
[table=head]L| C| R
PA Parenteau| Derek Roy| Alex Chiasson
Mason Raymond| Gilbert Brule| Jerome Iginla
Daniel Paille| Chris Kelly| Shane Doan
Tanner Glass| Jay McClement| Max Talbot
| Vernon Fiddler|
[/table]
[table=head]D| D
Nick Schultz| Cody Franson
Carlo Colaiacovo| Dennis Wideman
Cam Barker| Cody Goloubef
| Michael Kostka
[/table]
[table=head]G
Ben Scrivens
Justin Peters
[/table]
Defense would see a huge improvement (3 of the top-4 are different, and only 2 of the 7 in the first projection remain), but not so much up front, though the bottom 6 does improve somewhat. I'd imagine most likely we'd see some combination of these two lineups in Pyongyang. Don't think there's any good potential options in goal outside of Scrivens and Peters anywhere.