I'm sure you would!
Shattenkirk + ?
to NYR for
Kreider + ?
Shatts has 1 year remaining on his contract.
Kreider, I believe, is a RFA awaiting a new deal--arbitration?
Is it even value, 1 for 1?
If not, what would it take to make this a worthwhile hockey trade for both teams?
So we should un-make it.
Blow it up now. Trade every current roster player outside the younger guys (Hayes, Kreider, JT, Skjei, Buch, Rath). I'd even be OK losing some of these trades in the present if it meant a long term gain.
This roster as constructed ATM is very mediocre. We'll be decent enough to be a wild card team, maybe even win a round, but nowhere near good enough to make a serious run. And we certainly won't be bad enough to get those top 3 picks we desperately need. Nearly every legit contender's best players are players drafted in the top 3.
we had a good run. But we traded away a bunch of picks, prospects and as a playoff team every single year since the first lockout, we've never drafted inside the top 10.
Within 3 years we'll be the worst team in the Metro. And then we'll start the rebuild. But until then this will all be a huge waste of time.
Orrrr a less radical, much simpler solution would be to fire AV.
It's no coincidence nearly every player on our roster had the worst season of their careers, or regressed hard. The only player I show any signs of improvement was Miller. Oh, and we had our worst playoff showing since 2006.
All those things happening at the same time?
A drastic change is needed.
I mean did you guys see Glass out there with 5 minutes left down 2 goals in Pittsburgh for Game 1?!?!?
As a St. Louis fan, I covet Kreider--I think it's been far too long since we've had a power forward at LW, and Kreider would help soften the blow of losing both Backes and Brouwer. He'd be fantastic for us. Which is why I'd be willing to overpay a bit for him. Most Blues fans wouldn't, but I don't presume to speak for any of them, and I'm obviously not Doug Armstrong.
Shattenkirk absolutely would re-sign to play for NYR.
Whether you could negotiate a cap-friendly deal you would be happy with is another matter, but given the dearth of talented RHDs with Kevin's skill set, I imagine you'd not have trouble finding a way to make it happen.
I was just curious to see what you all would come up with in terms of what additions from each team would even up the value, from your perspective.
You've all been very civil, and I appreciate that.
A) Brooks only "leaks" what NYR tell him to. It's always misinformation / misdirection / intentionally attempting to publicly drive up or down a certain price.
B) I wouldn't trade Kreider straight up for Shattenkirk. Kreider is still controllable, and could still turn into a 30-30 guy. Shattenkirk, while certainly the better player right now, is older, didn't have the best playoffs, and most importantly here is only signed for one more year. There's no guarantee he re-signs and there's no guarantee the NYR would be able to re-sign him. Too many unknowns.
If Shatt was signed for 3-4 or more years, then the value would be close. One year away from hitting his first UFA, and a gigantic raise? No way; the cost is more like Rick Nash with 2M retained.
And if Stepan is traded, it's Shattenkirk+. Stepan is one of the top two-way centers in the game, the points per 60 are higher than some of the so-called "elite" young players that HF drools over. AND, he's locked up long-term on a great deal for a #1C, even if you think he's a 1B, which according to the numbers he isnt. He's top 20 for centers in PPG/60 over the last 3 years. There's 30 teams. You do the math. You'd be adding significantly to Shattenkirk who's 5 months away from being a rental.
#reality
I do not condemn OP for having good taste.
that said, Kreider is difficult to replace, and without him NYR = Canadiens
we do NOT move him unless
1) massive overpayment
2) part of package for an elite [like Doughty, not Shatty]
IF all other things were equal --- and they are not will explain 1 sec --- then we could certainly have interest in shattenkirk using other currency. However, unless he extends, which is not likely, we are looking at rental price for a rental.
there is another x factor: the expansion draft
if ny acquires Shattenkirk, they have to protect him.
However, if they hold out, and KS reads between the lines, he sees we sign him AFTER the draft so we had one more slot to protect one more asset. THAT is smartest way to deal w/draft, using his UFA status to work for us, not vs us.
Finally, rangers want to move more senior vet Fs - Stepan, Brass, Zuc, Nash - not guys like Kreider, Miller, etc.
Not sure such a scenario works whether for Shattenkirk of as a throw in on a bigger deal, but either way, most likely NYR will take chance on getting S'kirk on the cheap.
What about then.......
Shattenkirk
Schwartz
A draft pick or, a prospect
For
Stepan
Kreider?
Well if Larsson hauled in Hall, would asking for Fabbri be that far out of the question?
I think you're mistaken on which end of the value spectrum the Rangers lie. The Blues going after McDonagh would make them the Devils in the context of the Hall-Larsson deal, not the Oilers. The Blues would only target McDonagh as a value grab if the offer was too good to pass up. He would absolutely improve the team, but adding a LD is not a "need" for the Blues. Under the hypothetical we were discussing, the Rangers would be eager to re-make their team and perhaps their identity. They would be the ones overpaying.
So the Rangers take a lesser offer from the Blues? They would just take there business elsewhere.
If the Rangers make McDonagh available they would certainly return a young player in the ilk of Fabbri or Parayko.
Stepan, Brassard, Lundqvist, Nash we would probably have to take lesser pieces for and lose the trade in the present.
McDonagh, given his salary cap and the huge need for defense league wide, would probably be the only return we would feel happy with.
And even then, Fabbri for McDonagh we still lose in the present, and probably for the entirety of McDonagh's contract.
So the Rangers take a lesser offer from the Blues? They would just take there business elsewhere.
If the Rangers make McDonagh available they would certainly return a young player in the ilk of Fabbri or Parayko.
Stepan, Brassard, Lundqvist, Nash we would probably have to take lesser pieces for and lose the trade in the present.
McDonagh, given his salary cap and the huge need for defense league wide, would probably be the only return we would feel happy with.
And even then, Fabbri for McDonagh we still lose in the present, and probably for the entirety of McDonagh's contract.
You've kind of taken this discussion in a different direction than when it started. I stated from the start that I couldn't see why the Rangers would do it, was putting together a Rangers presumed desire to re-make the roster and presumed desire on the part of the Rangers to bring in Shattenkirk as part of that re-make. If those hypotheticals don't both exist IRL, then I absolutely agree on your point of what they would be after with McDonagh. My question was, if they were interested in a McDonagh for (an extended) Shattenkirk+ swap, what would the "+" need to be. You know Fabbri and Parayko are non-starters, so what would a realistic ask be?
I don't think that's a trade we would be making anyway. It's a sideways move, McDonagh and Shattenkirk are pretty similar in value. The only difference is that McDonagh is signed for 3 more years to a very team friendly cap hit, where as Shattenkirk is probably looking at getting at least $2 million more.
The add would be nothing significant, IMO, to make it worth it.
A good young player, or an almost NHL ready prospect.
HELL ! I just hope the Blues can sign the kid that reentered the draft that the Blues got in the 5th round, & he can make an Albert Pujols type of impact . Meaning, the way Pujols came to the Cardinals in his rookie season .
Sorry for not knowing the kids name right off of the top of my head guys .
If they get him and extend him what will they do in expansion draft when they have to protect Staal and Girardi, leave Mcdonaugh out?
You've kind of taken this discussion in a different direction than when it started. I stated from the start that I couldn't see why the Rangers would do it, was putting together a Rangers presumed desire to re-make the roster and presumed desire on the part of the Rangers to bring in Shattenkirk as part of that re-make. If those hypotheticals don't both exist IRL, then I absolutely agree on your point of what they would be after with McDonagh. My question was, if they were interested in a McDonagh for (an extended) Shattenkirk+ swap, what would the "+" need to be. You know Fabbri and Parayko are non-starters, so what would a realistic ask be?
I do not condemn OP for having good taste.
that said, Kreider is difficult to replace, and without him NYR = Canadiens
we do NOT move him unless
1) massive overpayment
2) part of package for an elite [like Doughty, not Shatty]
IF all other things were equal --- and they are not will explain 1 sec --- then we could certainly have interest in shattenkirk using other currency. However, unless he extends, which is not likely, we are looking at rental price for a rental.
there is another x factor: the expansion draft
if ny acquires Shattenkirk, they have to protect him.
However, if they hold out, and KS reads between the lines, he sees we sign him AFTER the draft so we had one more slot to protect one more asset. THAT is smartest way to deal w/draft, using his UFA status to work for us, not vs us.
Finally, rangers want to move more senior vet Fs - Stepan, Brass, Zuc, Nash - not guys like Kreider, Miller, etc.
Not sure such a scenario works whether for Shattenkirk of as a throw in on a bigger deal, but either way, most likely NYR will take chance on getting S'kirk on the cheap.