RW Matthew Wood – Univ. of Minnesota, NCAA (2023, 15th, NSH)

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I think Wood has better puck skills and playmaking than Leonard, and if they both hit their ultimate upside, Wood would be a little better. But many of the things I love about Leonard are things that I actively dislike about Wood. I see Leonard as at the absolute worst a good middle-six winger who does everything well, especially forechecking and defensive play, and can pop 20 goals regularly because of his excellent shot. Wood’s worst case scenario is that he never makes the NHL, in my opinion.
What you're describing as Leonard's "absolute worst"... a third liner who scores 20 goals consistently, who is good at everything, and especially good at forechecking and playing defense... what you are describing is basically a first liner. And the fact that he could do that while only getting 3rd line minutes is even more impressive.

People vastly overate prospects consistently. Leonard is one of my favourite prospects in hockey. But like every other prospect, the worst case outcome is that they do not become consistent NHLers. Just like Yakupov, Griffin Reinhart, every single prospect.

On topic, I really like both players. Both very high potential. If Wood can increase his speed a bit - and It seems like he has a decent amount of room for improvement, considering he probably hasn't had the highest level of developmental coaching so far (BCHL), he could become a force. I prefer Leonard, because I love him as a prospect, but Wood could legit become elite if he can get his skating up a bit.
 
What you're describing as Leonard's "absolute worst"... a third liner who scores 20 goals consistently, who is good at everything, and especially good at forechecking and playing defense... what you are describing is basically a first liner. And the fact that he could do that while only getting 3rd line minutes is even more impressive.

People vastly overate prospects consistently. Leonard is one of my favourite prospects in hockey. But like every other prospect, the worst case outcome is that they do not become consistent NHLers. Just like Yakupov, Griffin Reinhart, every single prospect.

On topic, I really like both players. Both very high potential. If Wood can increase his speed a bit - and It seems like he has a decent amount of room for improvement, considering he probably hasn't had the highest level of developmental coaching so far (BCHL), he could become a force. I prefer Leonard, because I love him as a prospect, but Wood could legit become elite if he can get his skating up a bit.
A 40 point two-way winger is not a first liner. That’s a decent 2nd liner.
 
A 40 point two-way winger is not a first liner. That’s a decent 2nd liner.
You didn't say 40 points. You only said 20 goals consistently. I'm just going to check real quick because I'm curious where that would rank...

update:
There were 127 20 goal scoring forwards this year.
134 last year
86 in 2019-2020
121 in 2018-2019
118 in 2017-2018
95 in 2016-2017

That's around maybe 120 per year. Probably most of them are the same scorers each year, but not all of them. We could probably say 10-20 at least don't hit that 20 goal mark consistently. So it's probably around 100 at most per year that are consistently hitting 20 goals.

Assuming that there are 3 first line forward spots per team, 3x32= 96 first line goal scorers.

By my math, 20 goals consistently should put him at the bottom end of first line goal-scoring numbers. Add in his great defensive ability and good all-round game, and it looks like you have a first liner.

... If you add in that he only scores 40 points, obviously that changes things. But regardless, if that is truly his absolute worst outcome, that is a tremendous floor.
 
You didn't say 40 points. You only said 20 goals consistently. I'm just going to check real quick because I'm curious where that would rank...

update:
There were 127 20 goal scoring forwards this year.
134 last year
86 in 2019-2020
121 in 2018-2019
118 in 2017-2018
95 in 2016-2017

That's around maybe 120 per year. Probably most of them are the same scorers each year, but not all of them. We could probably say 10-20 at least don't hit that 20 goal mark consistently. So it's probably around 100 at most per year that are consistently hitting 20 goals.

Assuming that there are 3 first line forward spots per team, 3x32= 96 first line goal scorers.

By my math, 20 goals consistently should put him at the bottom end of first line goal-scoring numbers. Add in his great defensive ability and good all-round game, and it looks like you have a first liner.

... If you add in that he only scores 40 points, obviously that changes things. But regardless, if that is truly his absolute worst outcome, that is a tremendous floor.
Goal scoring numbers, sure, 20 goals might be in the top-90, but that not the end-all be-all for definitive scoring.

But yes, I do think Leonard has a tremendous floor. That’s why I have him ranked so highly despite lacking any elite offensive tool (though his shot is borderline elite). The only player I think has a higher floor in this draft than Leonard is Leo Carlsson (and I guess Bedard, but it’s hard to talk about him in the traditional sense of evaluating prospects).
 
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I think they are quite dissimilar. Carlsson's skating is coming along, I see it turning into a strength. With Wood we just want it to be less awful.

There is a gap between the two for me. But I am debating if maybe Wood is the guy to pick at #4.
This is where I've moved him up to after the u18. I had him in the 8-10 range before.
 
  • There was no shortage of people who think Matthew Wood could be a top 10 pick. “He’s got all the traits to be a big-time NHLer. A team is going to look so smart taking him early,” a scout from a team drafting later in the first round said.
 
What's your list these days, Whiskey?
Whiskey's list

Rk Player
1 Connor Bedard (C)
2 Leo Carlsson (C/W)
3 Matvei Michkov (RW)
4 Matthew Wood (F)
5 Adam Fantilli (C)
6 Will Smith (C)
7 Dalibor Dvorský (C)
8 Zach Benson (F)
9 Gracyn Sawchyn (C)
10 David Reinbacher (D)
11 Gavin Brindley (F)
12 Axel Sandin Pellikka (D)
13 Andrew Cristall (LW)
14 Oliver Moore (C)
15 Ryan Leonard (C)
16 Quentin Musty (F)
17 Gabe Perreault (F)
18 Eduard Sale (RW)
19 Otto Stenberg (C/RW)
20 Calum Ritchie (C)
21 Jayden Perron (F)
22 Mikhail Gulyayev (D)
23 Nick Lardis (F)
24 Riley Heidt (F)
25 Nate Danielson (C)
26 Colby Barlow (LW)
27 Brayden Yager (C)
28 Samuel Honzek (C)
29 Beau Akey (D)
30 Charlie Stramel (C)
31 William Whitelaw (F)
32 Trey Augustine (G)
 
Nah, you're insane for not recognizing him for having the highest IQ, best passing and soon to be best skating in the draft. This guy is gonna be the Yao Ming of hockey.
He's also has one of the best shots in the draft. Though I question if his skating will ever become anything better than above average.
 
The skating holds me back on him. The league isnt getting any slower and skating is one of the hardest things to improve. He can get around ok but his speed is well below average for this years draft class
 
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The skating holds me back on him. The league isnt getting any slower and skating is one of the hardest things to improve. He can get around ok but his speed is well below average for this years draft class
I actually think skating is one of the most easily improved aspects of the game, especially for younger, taller players who still have a lot of maturing to do.

Going from average to elite isn't really that easy, but going from below average to above average is definitely possible.
 
I actually think skating is one of the most easily improved aspects of the game, especially for younger, taller players who still have a lot of maturing to do.

Going from average to elite isn't really that easy, but going from below average to above average is definitely possible.
I think if all goes perfect he tops out as an average skater, he will never be above average. His stride is short and choppy. Skating stride, after hockey IQ, is the hardest aspect to improve in hockey. Theres been 10+ years of muscle memory up to this point that its next to impossible to change. Edgework, agility, explosiveness can be improved
 

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