Right - the NHL API has been available since 2021 - meaning the fidelity of all advanced stats is from the NHL API and is the same.
I'm not really sure what your second point is - I already acknowledged the error due to rounding on that one graphic.
Aside from that, statistically from money pucks model - that shot from that location, with no change to the angle, with that level of defensive interference, with that speed of the play developing from the Florida own zone, with that amount of north south speed - goes in 1 time out of every 125 times. Natural Stat Tricks model puts the same shot at around 3/325, which is a slightly higher chance, but still only a goal approximately 1 out of every 108 times.
Again - Reinhart is statistically an average finisher who scores lots because he gets a large volume of chances - who has no history of scoring from that location - so this 1/125 to 3/325 chance of scoring is likely fairly accurate.
But I digress - clearly you disagree with that assessment, so let's agree to disagree.