Here are some situational and adjusted stats for the post-expansion centres up for voting.
Since a standard of seven years has been set for looking at a player's prime, I have run the numbers for the best seven consecutive seasons for each player. In addition, I have run a second seven season period for Brind'Amour, Nieuwendyk, and Roenick, as they each had many significant seasons outside of their seven season prime.
Adjusted and Situational Stats - Even Strength
Years | Player | GP | Seasons | EV% | TmEV+ | $ESGF/S | $ESGA/S | R-ON | R-OFF | $AEV+/-/S | $ESP/S
72-78 | Jacques Lemaire | 511 | 6.5 | 33% | 1.74 | 83 | 43 | 1.94 | 1.64 | 20 | 57
79-85 | Bernie Federko | 535 | 6.7 | 35% | 0.94 | 64 | 63 | 1.02 | 0.90 | 6 | 54
85-91 | Guy Carbonneau | 543 | 6.8 | 28% | 1.23 | 55 | 42 | 1.29 | 1.20 | 6 | 40
87-93 | Pat Lafontaine | 524 | 6.5 | 38% | 0.98 | 69 | 63 | 1.09 | 0.92 | 9 | 54
89-95 | Joe Nieuwendyk | 493 | 6.5 | 32% | 1.29 | 69 | 49 | 1.40 | 1.23 | 12 | 50
91-97 | Jeremy Roenick | 498 | 6.4 | 35% | 1.16 | 62 | 47 | 1.33 | 1.07 | 13 | 50
93-99 | Pierre Turgeon | 486 | 6.3 | 37% | 1.05 | 76 | 63 | 1.20 | 1.01 | 12 | 64
93-99 | Rod Brind'Amour | 541 | 7.0 | 34% | 1.18 | 64 | 63 | 1.01 | 1.26 | -9 | 50
96-02 | Jeremy Roenick | 496 | 6.3 | 35% | 1.11 | 62 | 54 | 1.16 | 1.07 | 6 | 50
98-04 | Joe Nieuwendyk | 482 | 5.9 | 31% | 1.21 | 60 | 47 | 1.29 | 1.19 | 7 | 47
01-08 | Rod Brind'Amour | 501 | 6.1 | 34% | 0.92 | 62 | 61 | 1.03 | 0.88 | 7 | 45
07-13 | Henrik Sedin | 540 | 7.0 | 36% | 1.18 | 76 | 49 | 1.56 | 1.01 | 27 | 63
10-13 | Steven Stamkos | 294 | 4.0 | 41% | 0.93 | 87 | 78 | 1.11 | 0.83 | 19 | 67
Stats Glossary
EV%: The percentage of the team’s even-strength goals the player was on the ice for, on a per-game basis.
TmEV+: The average strength of the player's team at even strength. Expressed as a GF/GA ratio.
$ESGF/S: On-ice even strength goals for per season, adjusted to a 180 ESG per team-season scoring level.
$ESGA/S: On-ice even strength goals against per season, adjusted to a 180 ESG per team-season scoring level.
R-ON: The team’s GF/GA ratio while the player is on the ice at even strength.
R-OFF: The team’s GF/GA ratio while the player is off the ice at even strength.
$ESP/S:Even strength points per season, adjusted to a 180 ESG per team-season scoring level.
Adjusted and Situational Stats - Special Teams
Years | Player | GP | Seasons | PP% | TmPP+ | $PPP/S | SH% | TmSH+ | SHP/S
72-78 | Jacques Lemaire | 511 | 6.5 | 64% | 1.74 | 26 | 15% | 0.70 | 1
79-85 | Bernie Federko | 535 | 6.7 | 74% | 0.94 | 29 | 1% | 0.99 | 1
85-91 | Guy Carbonneau | 543 | 6.8 | 6% | 1.23 | 2 | 61% | 0.91 | 4
87-93 | Pat Lafontaine | 524 | 6.5 | 79% | 0.98 | 34 | 11% | 1.15 | 2
89-95 | Joe Nieuwendyk | 493 | 6.5 | 56% | 1.29 | 24 | 14% | 0.94 | 2
91-97 | Jeremy Roenick | 498 | 6.4 | 72% | 1.16 | 30 | 27% | 0.81 | 6
93-99 | Pierre Turgeon | 486 | 6.3 | 72% | 1.05 | 33 | 14% | 1.05 | 2
93-99 | Rod Brind'Amour | 541 | 7.0 | 57% | 1.18 | 24 | 52% | 0.97 | 4
96-02 | Jeremy Roenick | 496 | 6.3 | 73% | 1.11 | 29 | 28% | 0.87 | 4
98-04 | Joe Nieuwendyk | 482 | 5.9 | 51% | 1.21 | 22 | 2% | 0.86 | 0
01-08 | Rod Brind'Amour | 501 | 6.1 | 52% | 0.92 | 18 | 54% | 1.01 | 3
07-13 | Henrik Sedin | 540 | 7.0 | 66% | 1.18 | 29 | 4% | 0.95 | 2
10-13 | Steven Stamkos | 294 | 4.0 | 82% | 0.93 | 36 | 12% | 1.19 | 1
Stats Glossary
$PPP/S:Power play points per season, adjusted to a 70 PPG per team-season scoring level and a league-average number of power play opportunities.
PP%: The percentage of the team’s power play goals for which the player was on the ice.
TmPP+: The strength of the player’s team on the power play. 1.00 is average, higher is better.
SH%: The percentage of the team’s power play goals against for which the player was on the ice.
TmSH+: The strength of the player’s team on the penalty kill. 1.00 is average, lower is better.
$SHP/S: Shorthanded points per season, adjusted to a 10 SHG per team-season scoring level.
I won't say something about every player, but will focus especially on Guy Carbonneau because I think his statistics need to be presented fairly.
At even strength, Carbonneau had the lowest EV% of these players. This simply means that he was on the ice for the fewest even strength goals - both for and against - as a percentage of his team than any of these other players. We don't have ice time data, so this can mean two things. Either Carbonneau played less even strength ice time, or there were fewer goals scored when he was on the ice, or a combination of the two. Here's my best guess. Carbonneau was a checking centre who rarely played with skilled wingers, Iso think it's very likely that both GF and GA happened less frequently with Carbonneau on the ice. I would expect that Carbonneau played at least as much EV ice time as Joe Nieuwendyk (who had a 31-32% EV%, slightly higher than Carbonneau's 28%.)
Carbonneau also outperformed his team in GF/GA ratio in his prime. Most of these others players did so as well, so it doesn't sound so impressive - but again, consider that Carbonneau was matched up against the other team's best players and wasn't playing with his team's most skilled wingers. Very few players in that situation have every outperformed their team's GF/GA ratio. Rod Brind'Amour in Philadelphia was probably the only centre on this list who played in such a situation, and his on-ice goal ratio was well short of his team's.
At special teams, we heard about Carbonneau's shorthanded scoring compared to others. The problem with shorthanded scoring is that it's biased towards players who come out in the second half of the penalty kill and don't play against the opponent's first unit - like Jeremy Roenick. The best defensive players and penalty killers play against the opponent's first power play unit and play 5-on-3 minutes, which makes it harder to score shorties and more likely that they will be scored against. Looking at the SH% numbers - a measure of the percentage of the team's PPGA that each player was on the ice for - Carbonneau and Brind'Amour were the only two players who were go-to penalty killers in the toughest situations. We can infer this because they had a lot of goals scored against them and they kept being sent back out there over their careers. Comparing these two, Carbonneau played more/tougher minutes (higher SH%) for better penalty kills (better TmSH+). Although I must say that Roenick's numbers look pretty good for a second unit guy - good shorthanded scoring and he played for strong penalty kills.
General thoughts - keep in mind that these numbers are per-game and don't penalize players for missed games, so Pierre Turgeon's numbers look better. And on this per-game basis, we see that Pierre Turgeon and Henrik Sedin are the top two offensive players of the group - but I think we knew that already.
Power play numbers are all pretty similar, except for Carbonneau of course. Nieuwendyk and Brind'Amour both lag a little behind in power play points - but keep in mind both guys made their living around the net. Perimeter playmakers on the PP tend to get a higher number of points, especially assists, while the contribution of guys screening the goalie and playing around the net often goes unrecognized statistically.
Edit: I missed Lemaire and Stamkos the first time through - added them in. I only used Stamkos's four season peak. Take it for what it is - four seasons at higher level than these other players, but only four seasons. In terms of team strength, Stamkos and Lemaire were at opposite ends of the spectrum - Stamkos's teams were not particularly good, and Lemaire's were incredibly strong in all situations during his prime.
