Breakdown:
- Ritchie and a 26/27 1st rounder are the certainties.
- Lou retains 50% of Brock's cap hit for the rest of this season.
- Kylington (and his cap hit) were immediately jettisoned to Anaheim.
- 3rd rounder in 3026 only comes over if Avs win the Cup with Nelson playing 50% of the PO games.
Initial thoughts:
- This deal technically isn't even what we paid for Horvat. I was certain that deal would serve as the BARE minimum for what we could get for Nelson in this market.
- 16-team NTC or not, I cannot believe this was the best bid Lou got. There were surely better pitches. This tells me that Lou likely let Nelson's party know which 3 or 4 destinations ultimately come into question and then Nelson got to pick.
- Both picks, even if one is very unlikely, lie in the future. Does this mean Lou is doing his future replacement a goodin'?
- Gotta assume that the NYI scouting staff is very high on Ritchie. In essence, getting a young center prospect like this says you're looking to get a prospect who has the potential to replace the guy you're sending out. Looks like that could be the case.
- I will not miss Dufour at this juncture. He clearly doesn't look like a player who'd ever make it here. But in addition to Nelson, a very bare Avalance program is getting a guy who isn't too far from being an NHL consideration and one who may very well have needed a true change of scenary. Good luck to Dufour who most certainly has an NHL-caliber shot. There are coaching groups out there who can give him what he needs to round out the edges. COL's staff could be one of them.
Ultimately, if Ritchie turns out to be what's expected and this team makes a decent pick whenever it gets to make use of that 1st, the deal will have been a good one - heck, a necessary one. We may even see Ritchie some point this season.
But I can't look at what Tampa did with Gourde and Bjorkstrand and think this was simply "the best" Lou could have done.
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Will be interesting to see what the other teams do now.
Moving Nelson was the right thing to do for this franchise moving forward. However, symbolic of this realization, now moving Palmieri and hopefully no less than Pageau, would be a necessary continuance of that realization. We have others who don't need to be part of this team's future either.
I'd also say that in light of what DeAngelo and Boqvist have shown us with their puck-moving games, it has become extremely evident that Mayfield absolutely does not fit with any progression this team is going to make moving forward. There are teams out there who could really, really use a Mayfield type for their upcoming playoff run. The contract is the problem, but there would surely be ways to do some retention and/or perhaps take on a contract that's heavier, but shorter in a hockey trade.
This market looks it would be a good opportunity to go that route.
It certainly is NOT the time to pay someone to take him. That would be for a future GM in an offseason. The Mayfield deal is looking more and more like a real mistake, but it should not be one Lou gets to admit and then toss away futures for, to get it off the books.