- Jul 16, 2005
- 14,802
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Preach it.Keep losing. It will be hard for Drury to justify trading for a soon to be 32 year old player with major term remaining when the team is not a legit contender. If you think this team can be changed with a few moves here and a cosmetic change there, I don't know what you are missing. I was ready to write watching but people rely more on the advanced stats than the eye test. The player can be garbage but the advanced stats can say something different and those numbers supersede everything else.
All of the Rangers big money forwards have failed to live up to their salaries. Is it a fluke? Is it age? They hog up all of the time on the power play. Laviolette keeps rolling them out there. They don't change when there is an opportunity to change until there are 20 seconds remaining on the PP.
The failure of the big money forwards is multiple things. One certainly is age. People don’t want to accept it but players decline statistically when they hit 30-ish.
Even Kreider wasn’t the same player, but he managed to remake himself (against the odds) into a different kind of player (master of deflections). If he hadn’t done that his stats would have fallen off long ago. Most players can’t completely change how they play after 30. A few lucky ones can extend their elite prime until the mid 30s (Panarin has) and even fewer can approach 40 playing at a very high level (Marty St Louis). But most of them experience a substantial percentage decrease in their production at around or shortly after 30: that’s why handing out an 8 year deal to a 30 year old is a terrible idea. Ideally you’d like to give like a 7 year deal to a 27 year old. You have to pay for some bad years to get the good years of a player, but you want to minimize that. Mika Zibanejad, a fragile, injury-history player with a lot of miles who always projected to be an early decliner, NEVER should have been given a long, long, immovable contract at age 29 or whatever. The short term setback from losing (trading, if you are smart, to recoup assets, rather than letting him walk) is always less harsh than the back end being stuck with him.
But it’s not just age. There is something rotten in NY. The team has never in my lifetime been able to organically develop young forwards. It’s more than bad luck or “some players just bust.” It’s more than just the four top-10 forwards in a row during our rebuild that busted or underachieved (Andersson, Kravtsov, Kakko and Lafreniere). The entire history of the NY Rangers is defined by inability to draft and develop a star forward, especially centers. And even the star forwards we import USUALLY are worse than expectations when they get here (Gaborik, Nash).
The ONE success story in the past 30 years of a first round forward we drafted who became a legit star-level player (kind of) is Chris Kreider. And even he took forever (mid-late 20s, suggesting he overcame organizational hurdles through personal perseverance) and kinda topped out as a 30-30 type, which is far from a super star. Other teams find Brayden Point in the third. But JT Miller had to go elsewhere to find out how to become great. Sure, he didn’t figure it out in Tampa either, so it’s not a “Rangers have this problem and everyone else bats 1.000” issue, but, at the same time, doesn’t that demonstrate that the Rangers were unable to provide the guidance to Miller to get him to mature on their watch? With Tampa, yeah, it happened for him there too. For the Rangers, it seems to be every single young forward. Red lights should be flashing at management here.
Whether it’s a country club atmosphere that discourages hard work, the bright lights of Manhattan being a distraction, not enough hard coaches who will keep the players in line, or some sort of deep rooted organizational philosophy of falling back to support the habitually-employed star goaltender that we always seem to have, something is preventing the development of 5v5 offensive dominance that almost all Cup winners have.
They have to figure that out too. Then they need probably 4-5 more young building block pieces in addition to the ones they already have in the building. They have a tall task in front of them if they want to win a Cup. If they just want a round or two of playoff revenue, then sure, add JT Miller. He might help with that for a season or two and then they can find the next bandaid easily because finding bandaids isn’t hard.
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