Ray Bourque vs Nik Lidstrom all time

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RabbinsDuck

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Not that you're directing that solely at me or anything but for the record, overall, I don't have Bourque that far out in front of Lidstrom.
Only on the offensive side do I have Bourque with a decided advantage.

Someone mentioned Coffey, so lets look there for a second.
I think it's safe to say that Coffey is the best offensive Dman we have seen in the last 30 years and saying that he was a lot more than just slightly better than Lidstrom offensively would not get any arguments.

So we have two players that played at pretty much the exact same time, where era adjustments don't matter.
Bourque actually has 50 more points in 200 more games.
Now taking into account that Coffey played the majority of his career with the two greatest offensive players in history, I submit that Bourque is a hell of a lot closer to Coffey than Lidstrom is.

Yet somehow, Bourque is only slightly better than Lidstrom offensively....sorry but that doesn't make any sense and is just downright confusing to me.
Lidstrom and Bourque would have better numbers playing for the 80s Oilers or early 90s Pens. Lidstrom for most of his career was paired with an offensive defenseman and carried the majority of the weight defensively, while still putting up good numbers. Bourque and obviously Coffey had more freedom.
 

bruinforstanley

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Where does this perception Lidstrom does not go into the corners come from? Sure he does not hit too often but he is a big guy and plays physical. He is excellent at pinning opposing forwards into the boards and never shies away from covering the crease. Bourque was great defensively, but I think Lidstrom has a clear edge on him in that department, just like Bourque has a clear edge offensively - though the margin of difference either way is not large.

No perception at all. I wasn't saying that Ledstrom doesn't go in the corners. I was simply saying that Bourque was the stronger and more physical of the two (important traits in a defense man).

My whole argument is that the two are so close that if I had to pick one it would be Bourque based on the physical aspect he brought to the game.

FTR....I think it's far fetched to say that Lidstrom has a clear edge on Bourque, defensively. There's not one single area of Lidstroms game that you can point at and say he did it clearly better than Bourque. Some have mentioned that Lidstrom doesnt' get caught out of position. Well, having witnessed Bourque play his entire career, I can say with confidence that Bourque was extremely sound in his positioning.
 

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Not that you're directing that solely at me or anything but for the record, overall, I don't have Bourque that far out in front of Lidstrom.
Only on the offensive side do I have Bourque with a decided advantage.

Someone mentioned Coffey, so lets look there for a second.
I think it's safe to say that Coffey is the best offensive Dman we have seen in the last 30 years and saying that he was a lot more than just slightly better than Lidstrom offensively would not get any arguments.

So we have two players that played at pretty much the exact same time, where era adjustments don't matter.
Bourque actually has 50 more points in 200 more games.
Now taking into account that Coffey played the majority of his career with the two greatest offensive players in history, I submit that Bourque is a hell of a lot closer to Coffey than Lidstrom is.

Yet somehow, Bourque is only slightly better than Lidstrom offensively....sorry but that doesn't make any sense and is just downright confusing to me.

And when the game changed and Coffey couldn't Bowman traded him.
 

tarheelhockey

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I'm not good enough with numbers to do this, but would it be possible to project Lidstrom's numbers if he had played in Bourque's position and vice-versa?

I would think that you could take:
- How their individual production compared to overall PPG during each year of their career
- Where their teams' GPG stood in relation to league average
- Perhaps an adjustment for TOI, though I'm not sure that's fair

and come up with a very close estimation of how Lidstrom would have performed in Bourque's shoes.
 

Rhiessan71

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Lidstrom and Bourque would have better numbers playing for the 80s Oilers or early 90s Pens. Lidstrom for most of his career was paired with an offensive defenseman and carried the majority of the weight defensively, while still putting up good numbers. Bourque and obviously Coffey had more freedom.

So now Lidstrom is getting credit for what he could of done offensively while Bourque keeps being penalized for what he did do.:shakehead

...and how Lidstrom somehow gets penalized for having much better defense partners than Bourque had is quite frankly beyond me.
Are you trying to tell me that Macinnis and Suter each get as many points without each other in Calgary, Leetch and Zubov, Lidstrom and Murphy....c'mon man.
Give Bourque a top partner to play with and he gets even more points, not less. Like Glenn Wesley...are you kidding me?
 
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RabbinsDuck

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No perception at all. I wasn't saying that Ledstrom doesn't go in the corners. I was simply saying that Bourque was the stronger and more physical of the two (important traits in a defense man).

My whole argument is that the two are so close that if I had to pick one it would be Bourque based on the physical aspect he brought to the game.

FTR....I think it's far fetched to say that Lidstrom has a clear edge on Bourque, defensively. There's not one single area of Lidstroms game that you can point at and say he did it clearly better than Bourque. Some have mentioned that Lidstrom doesnt' get caught out of position. Well, having witnessed Bourque play his entire career, I can say with confidence that Bourque was extremely sound in his positioning.

Lidstrom has the best poke check in the history of the game, and as good as Bourque was positionally, Lidstrom was better. He had to be, because he was less physical.
 

Canadiens1958

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Poke Check

Lidstrom has the best poke check in the history of the game, and as good as Bourque was positionally, Lidstrom was better. He had to be, because he was less physical.

Best poke check, not worth debating as we are at the "Most Nice" level in terms of defensive skills, where you are basically looking at something positive to say.

Lidstrom strength with the poke check is the ability to make the poke check, gain the puck and transition the play in the other direction. The only other defensemen that could do it equally well - Harvey, Orr also brought a physical aspect to the game. Bourque had an above average ability to poke check and transition but he also had the ability to physically check the puck carrier, control the puck and transition the game at the Harvey, Orr level.
 

seventieslord

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A lot of people are saying that because Bourque's teams were generally not as good as Lidstrom's, that works in Bourque's favor from an offensive standpoint. But sometimes it's easier to score on inferior teams. Bourque probably got more ice time than he would have if he were on the same team as Konstantinov, Coffey, Chelios, Fetisov, Murphy, etc. It makes sense to give Bourque the puck on the PP considering his skill, and it makes even more sense when there's no Yzerman, Fedorov, Shanahan, Hull, Coffey, etc. Somebody mentioned Bourque's shot totals, saying that he sometimes led the league in shots. Bourque has shot 50% more per 80ish games than Lidstrom. It's clear that Bourque, as a result of playing on inferior teams, got a lot more puck, which equates to more chances to score, and more points.

If Lidstrom averaged as many shots as Bourque, and assuming similar shot percentage, it's not unreasonable to think he could score 100 more goals (5.5 goals per year on about 100 more shots). If his shot% were exactly the same, he would have scored 120 more goals. It's hard to say how many more assists he would have from rebounds and deflections. 50 assists for almost 1800 shots isn't unreasonable. Is 100 out of the question? Currently, there's a 533 point difference between them (not 600 as somebody said earlier). Had Lidstrom shot 50% more, the gap between them would definitely be smaller.

Who says Bourque got more shots because he was on a lesser team? Where is the data to back up such a trend?

Just getting a shot on net is a skill in itself. People like to crticize ovechkin and say he only scores so much because he shoots so much. So why doesn't everyone else just shoot that ofter? Answer: because they can't.
 

seventieslord

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They are bunk.

One reason is exactly what Rhiessan said: they adjust players based on average league scoring while totally disregarding that some teams score much less than average and some much more than average.

So you can actually benefit twice from being on a stacked team in a low scoring era and actually be penalized for being on a low scoring team in a high scoring era.

Adjusted stats are the absolute roughest of comparisons and should never be cited as anything other than that in my opinion.

They are better for comparison across eras than regular stats; that much is true.

And I have yet to see any data that proves it is easier to score on a better team and that adjustments should be made for strength of team. Basing it on the league scoring level works just fine.
 

BraveCanadian

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They are better for comparison across eras than regular stats; that much is true.

And I have yet to see any data that proves it is easier to score on a better team and that adjustments should be made for strength of team. Basing it on the league scoring level works just fine.

Of course it is easier to score on a better offensive team.

That is the by definition.
 

BostonAJ

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And I have yet to see any data that proves it is easier to score on a better team and that adjustments should be made for strength of team. Basing it on the league scoring level works just fine.

Intrigued by this comment. It's something I generally assumed to be true, but have never read a study on the issue. I always thought that if you played with Gretzky or Lemieux, your stats likely went up (Rob Brown, Bernie Nichols, Kevin Stevens). Oates gave Hull and Neely better production, and Johnny Bucyk had a career year at 35 when put on the PP with Orr and Esposito. Perhaps these are anomalies, but I'd assumed strength of team mates had a significant effect on a player's production (defensively and offensively).
 

seventieslord

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Of course it is easier to score on a better offensive team.

That is the by definition.

Then where is the data? It is not "true by definition" at all! For example, if a team is really deep you get less ice time and especially PP time. How many forwards on the canadiens powerhouses over the years could have been the top dog on lesser teams? It is just as easy, if not more, to argue that it has a potentially negative impact on a player's stats.

That goes for the 2nd, 3rd, 4th-best guys, and so on. The best guys - Jagrs, Lindroses, Lemieuxs, Crosbys... they have always proven that they score regardless of team and linemates.
 

seventieslord

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Intrigued by this comment. It's something I generally assumed to be true, but have never read a study on the issue. I always thought that if you played with Gretzky or Lemieux, your stats likely went up (Rob Brown, Bernie Nichols, Kevin Stevens). Oates gave Hull and Neely better production, and Johnny Bucyk had a career year at 35 when put on the PP with Orr and Esposito. Perhaps these are anomalies, but I'd assumed strength of team mates had a significant effect on a player's production (defensively and offensively).

Playing with an elite linemate clearly helps. Just being on a good team benefitting stats, that is largely unproven. Players make the team better, not vice-versa.
 

BraveCanadian

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Here are some examples at least:

John LeClair
94 95 Montreal 9GP 1G 4A 5PTS .55PPG
94-95 Philly 37GP 25G 24A 49PTS 1.32 PPG

Joe Thornton
05-06 Boston 23GP 9G 24A 33PTS 1.43PPG
05-06 SJ 58GP 20G 72A 92PTS 1.58PPG

Ray Bourque
99-00 Boston 65GP 10G 28A 38PTS .58PPG
99-00 Avs 15GP 8G 6A 14PTS 1.0 PPG

Theo Fleury
98-99 Flames 60GP 30G 39A 69PTS 1.15PPG
98-99 Avs 15GP 10G 14A 24PTS 1.67PPG

Ilya Kovalchuk
2009-10 Thrashers 49GP 31G 27A 58PTS 1.18PPG
2009-10 Devils 27GP 10G 17A 27PTS 1.0 PPG

Mark Recchi
94-95 Flyers 5 PTS/10GP = .5PPG
94-95 Habs 43PTS/39GP = 1.10 PPG

05-06 Pens 57PTS/63GP = .90PPG
05-06 Hurricane 7 PTS / 20GP = .35PPG

07-08 Pens 8/19 = .42PPG
07-08 Thrashers 40/53 = .75 PPG

08-09 Bolts 45/62 = .72PPG
08-09 Bruins 16/18 = .89 PPG

These are just guys I remember playing part seasons off the top off my head so not exhaustive by any means.. but obviously, no, teams don't have any effect on a players performance and the average of the league can predict this perfectly.. somehow.

:sarcasm:
 
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BraveCanadian

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Then where is the data? It is not "true by definition" at all! For example, if a team is really deep you get less ice time and especially PP time. How many forwards on the canadiens powerhouses over the years could have been the top dog on lesser teams? It is just as easy, if not more, to argue that it has a potentially negative impact on a player's stats.

That goes for the 2nd, 3rd, 4th-best guys, and so on. The best guys - Jagrs, Lindroses, Lemieuxs, Crosbys... they have always proven that they score regardless of team and linemates.

That is the whole point. There are SO many variables that aren't accounted for at ALL in adjusted stats that you sit here and bring up as reasons why a player's performance changes from team to team and then you DENY that teams have anything to do with performance as shown by adjusted stats.

The problem isn't if Jagrs and Lindros and Lemieuxs can score with anyone.. it is how MUCH they can score.

You can't even begin to make me believe that Lemieux would score as much with Bill Berg and Mike Craig as his wingers instead of Alexander Ovechkin and Brett Hull. Or are you going to try and convince me of that too?
 

Dark Shadows

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Playing with an elite linemate clearly helps. Just being on a good team benefitting stats, that is largely unproven. Players make the team better, not vice-versa.

I think playing with elite players helps average players look better. But elite players will put up the stats regardless of who they are playing with, and in some cases, will thrive being the go to guy on a team with little help. Chemistry with team systems, coaching matter a heck of a lot more IMO than something as simple as linemates.

The obvious exceptions are the big 4 Gretzky, Orr, Howe and Lemieux. But I think their linemates would produce big with or without them too.
 

BraveCanadian

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I think playing with elite players helps average players look better. But elite players will put up the stats regardless of who they are playing with, and in some cases, will thrive being the go to guy on a team with little help. Chemistry with team systems, coaching matter a heck of a lot more IMO than something as simple as linemates.

I agree with you guys that elite players will find a way to be productive even with poor linemates.. but if you are inferring that they would hit the same numbers as they do with good linemates/teammates.. that just makes no sense.
 

Dark Shadows

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That is the whole point. There are SO many variables that aren't accounted for at ALL in adjusted stats that you sit here and bring up as reasons why a player's performance changes from team to team and then you DENY that teams have anything to do with performance as shown by adjusted stats.

The problem isn't if Jagrs and Lindros and Lemieuxs can score with anyone.. it is how MUCH they can score.

You can't even begin to make me believe that Lemieux would score as much with Bill Berg and Mike Craig as his wingers instead of Alexander Ovechkin and Brett Hull. Or are you going to try and convince me of that too?
I think Lemieux would score big no matter who he played with. He did have his career high's playing with Rob Brown and Errey after all.

Suddenly throwing Brett Hull on his line might not work as well as you think. After all, the short lived Hull Gretzky pairing was a great disappointment to all those who thought the way you are doing right now.
 

BraveCanadian

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I think Lemieux would score big no matter who he played with. He did have his career high's playing with Rob Brown and Errey after all.

Suddenly throwing Brett Hull on his line might not work as well as you think. After all, the short lived Hull Gretzky pairing was a great disappointment to all those who thought the way you are doing right now.

I am sure he would score big.. and yes he had his career highs with Rob Brown and Errey. (And Paul Coffey)

But are you honestly going to say that he wouldn't have scored more with say.. Kevin Stevens and Jagr on his wings all in their primes? (There I picked guys he meshed with geezuz)

I mean, really?
 
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Dark Shadows

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I agree with you guys that elite players will find a way to be productive even with poor linemates.. but if you are inferring that they would hit the same numbers as they do with good linemates/teammates.. that just makes no sense.

Makes perfect sense to me. I have seen dozens of players hit near the same, if not better numbers while they had to be the teams go to guy with little help. You might have your icetime suddenly cut if you are sharing duties with a great second line, despite also having the benefit of those linemates on the powerplay.

There are as many accounts of Superstars scoring just as well or better without great help as their are of them losing a step. Some superstars can find Chemistry with anyone, others have a harder time finding that Chemistry.

Time for some cut and paste.

For Instance. Mike Bossy. In the year 1984-85, Trottier was recovering from a string of injuries which required surgery, and as a result, was relegated to lower line duties. Gillies at this point, was ready to retire and was no longer what he was. Sutter was moved to Bossy's line all year, along with Tonelli. Both Sutter and Tonelli had career years in which they never came close to matching ever again, while Bossy scored around the exact same clip he would have with Trottier/Gillies on his line. He never missed a beat without his superstar linemates and 2nd liners replacing them.

Adam Oates and Brett Hull had Magic Chemistry. Oates proved he was capable of carrying on that superstar level mega scoring with Fool's gold Joe Juneau and Dmitri Kvartalnov in Boston the year he left and then maintaining that excellence the next year with half a season of Neely, while Hull dropped off a bit with Janney and Shanahan.

I mentioned how Jari Kurri didn't miss a beat his first season without Gretzky.
Kurri's last year with Gretzky: 43 goals, 96 points in 80 games
Kurri's first year without Gretzky: 44 goals, 102 points in 76 games.

Yzerman for Example. Never mattered who he was playing with. They let him play his game and he would produce.

Jagr was much the same. Ron Francis left and was replaced by Straka and Kip Miller, and Jagr does not miss a beat. In fact, he had his best season ever(IMO) after Francis left.

Mark Recchi went from the Pens to the Flyers, and was stuck with completely different linemates(Rookie Lindros) yet did not miss a beat.

Mario Lemieux scored 199 points with Rob Brown and Bob Errey.

Hull and Mikita rarely played on the same line and played with lesser players on their team more often than not, yet both were constant scoring title threats.

Hawerchuk went from the Jets to the Sabres, where he was with better linemates like Turgeon, Mogilny, Andreychuk and later, LaFontaine, and his numbers did not suddenly skyrocket.

Marcel Dionne was scoring 122 points with the Dead wings and nobody on his wings, and 130-37 points with Much better superstars like Dave Taylor and Charlie Simmer on his line in LA. If you want to argue that that 7-10% increase was due to better linemates instead of the changing philosophy of teams going to all out offense, I won't argue. But it was a marginal increase, and I have always advocated that linemates might make a 5-10 point difference, but that the superstars will score big no matter who you put them with.

A more recent example would be Joe Thornton, Alex Ovechkin and Sydney Crosby. All of whom put up their best years with less than super linemates, yet did not suddenly have a scoring spike when they received better linemates.
 

matnor

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Makes perfect sense to me. I have seen dozens of players hit near the same, if not better numbers while they had to be the teams go to guy with little help. You might have your icetime suddenly cut if you are sharing duties with a great second line, despite also having the benefit of those linemates on the powerplay.

There are as many accounts of Superstars scoring just as well or better without great help as their are of them losing a step. Some superstars can find Chemistry with anyone, others have a harder time finding that Chemistry.

Time for some cut and paste.

For Instance. Mike Bossy. In the year 1984-85, Trottier was recovering from a string of injuries which required surgery, and as a result, was relegated to lower line duties. Gillies at this point, was ready to retire and was no longer what he was. Sutter was moved to Bossy's line all year, along with Tonelli. Both Sutter and Tonelli had career years in which they never came close to matching ever again, while Bossy scored around the exact same clip he would have with Trottier/Gillies on his line. He never missed a beat without his superstar linemates and 2nd liners replacing them.

Adam Oates and Brett Hull had Magic Chemistry. Oates proved he was capable of carrying on that superstar level mega scoring with Fool's gold Joe Juneau and Dmitri Kvartalnov in Boston the year he left and then maintaining that excellence the next year with half a season of Neely, while Hull dropped off a bit with Janney and Shanahan.

I mentioned how Jari Kurri didn't miss a beat his first season without Gretzky.
Kurri's last year with Gretzky: 43 goals, 96 points in 80 games
Kurri's first year without Gretzky: 44 goals, 102 points in 76 games.

Yzerman for Example. Never mattered who he was playing with. They let him play his game and he would produce.

Jagr was much the same. Ron Francis left and was replaced by Straka and Kip Miller, and Jagr does not miss a beat. In fact, he had his best season ever(IMO) after Francis left.

Mark Recchi went from the Pens to the Flyers, and was stuck with completely different linemates(Rookie Lindros) yet did not miss a beat.

Mario Lemieux scored 199 points with Rob Brown and Bob Errey.

Hull and Mikita rarely played on the same line and played with lesser players on their team more often than not, yet both were constant scoring title threats.

Hawerchuk went from the Jets to the Sabres, where he was with better linemates like Turgeon, Mogilny, Andreychuk and later, LaFontaine, and his numbers did not suddenly skyrocket.

Marcel Dionne was scoring 122 points with the Dead wings and nobody on his wings, and 130-37 points with Much better superstars like Dave Taylor and Charlie Simmer on his line in LA. If you want to argue that that 7-10% increase was due to better linemates instead of the changing philosophy of teams going to all out offense, I won't argue. But it was a marginal increase, and I have always advocated that linemates might make a 5-10 point difference, but that the superstars will score big no matter who you put them with.

A more recent example would be Joe Thornton, Alex Ovechkin and Sydney Crosby. All of whom put up their best years with less than super linemates, yet did not suddenly have a scoring spike when they received better linemates.

I agree with this. Superstars tend to play (almost) just as well without great players while for the linemates it makes a lot of difference. The Lemieux-Brown example is perfect.
 

BraveCanadian

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I really don't know what else to say.

If you guys think Lemieux would be at the same level of production with Bill Berg and Mike Craig as with prime Stevens and Jagr..

I really just have nothing to say about that.
 

Dark Shadows

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As for the topic at hand. I pick Bourque with no hesitation whatsoever, and I doubt Lidstrom will ever close the gap even if he plays a few more years.

This topic has been done to death around here, so I will just summarize my reasoning.

- Their skillsets are very similar. But Bourque was more versatile. Slight edge to Lidstrom defensively, but very slight. Bourque was universally considered one of the best defensive defensemen in the NHL for most of his career, while also holding a larger edge offensively. Bourque's skillset enabled him to gamble and usually win, while rarely being caught out of position. Bourque has the same cerebral understanding of Hockey as Lidstrom, while being better at clearing the crease, better physically, and just as good with his stick. Lidstrom's defensive advantage stems from the fact that he never gambled, and never took chances, and thus, almost never makes mistakes. Which is also is the reason he would never score as much as Bourque could. Bourque's offensive edge is larger than the small defensive edge. It is amazing Bourque put up such numbers considering Boston was playing a very pro defensive system for most of his tenure.

- Bourque jumped into the league and was immediately one of the top 2-3 defenders and he stayed there for the majority of his career. Lidstrom took a few years before he was worthy of getting Norris votes(No, it was not euro bias. He was just not among the best until 5-6 years into his career).

- Bourque's top 5-6 peak years are better than any of Lidstrom's years that I have ever seen. His edge in Hart voting is also very large.

- Bourque may have fewer Norris trophies, but his competition was far greater and he has far more Norris finishes. He played during the golden age of defensemen. For every year you can pick that Lidstrom "Should have" finished higher or won the Norris, you can pick a year for Bourque

- Bourque was every bit as good in the playoffs as Lidstrom. You can look at cups and Smythe's all you want, but I say Lidstrom would not have been able to win on those outclassed Boston teams against powerhouses either. While I think Bourque would have had similar success if he had been on the red wings with all of those HHOF players and with Bowman coaching. I don't play the "Bourque would have put up more points with those linemates" game because I believe Bourque thrived being the man in Boston, but neither do I deny that hockey is a team sport and that he did everything humanly possible to win with those Bruins teams, and nobody could have done much more.
 

Dark Shadows

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I really don't know what else to say.

If you guys think Lemieux would be at the same level of production with Bill Berg and Mike Craig as with prime Stevens and Jagr..

I really just have nothing to say about that.

We saw what Lemieux did do with much better linemates and PP mates, and we did not see him suddenly spike up in points.
 
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