I've totally lost interest over the past few weeks, to the predictable point of not even bothering to watch unless Skenes is pitching.
I imagine it's been talked about here, but one thing I don't understand is how heavily Merrill is favored over Skenes for ROY by the sportsbooks. Merrill has had a great season, but to me, if he wins, it basically means that a pitcher should never win again, unless there's a year where there's a really good pitcher but no relevant batters at all.
Skenes has a fairly strong claim on being the best pitcher in baseball right now. The guys who probably have stronger claims for this season are probably Sale, Wheeler, and Skubal, though Wheeler isn't quite as much of a slam dunk other than the innings.
I've also seen it pointed out that Chourio has turned it on in a very impressive way, and I think he's about equivalent to what Merrill is doing. Both of them are impressive for something that should be irrelevant to the ROY award, namely being big contributors for teams chasing the playoffs. Chourio maybe has an arguably stronger claim given that Milwaukee has had to deal with the injury to Yelich. Either way, their numbers on paper are not that different.
I don't really think Skenes not starting in MLB should count against him. His resume is actually so consistent that it's insane. There isn't a bad start -- maybe 1 or 2 middling ones, but everything else is either full dominance or at minimum a clockwork quality start. I feel very confident in saying that a rookie pitcher will not replicate that kind of performance, and although Merrill or Chourio would be deserving in any other year, I honestly don't see how it's not Skenes, or at the very minimum a situation where the three of them have very similar odds, and not the overwhelming favorite being Merrill.