GDT: r2g2

Washington was easily the better team last night and deserved the win. We came a live for parts of the third, but part of that is desperation we should have shown earlier, and part of that is score effects. I'm not too worked up regardless. Both teams are playing very well.

The Caps are giving us nothing out there. With New Jersey, Dumo, Pesce, and Seigenthaler were taking away space but we could exploit matchups against Hamilton and to a lesser extent Nemec. The top 6 D on the Caps team are healthy, and playing much better. AA is a total liability but they aren't playing him. The other guys are locking it down for the most part, including John Carlson.

Our "John Carlson" Ghost is playing much worse defensively. I feel like since Ghosts's kid was born, he just hasn't had it. He giveth and he taketh - the second goal we may not score without Ghost. And the first goal was a truly unfortunate unlucky bounce. But still, Ghost is most often there when a mistake is made. I just don't think you can take out Ghost unless you know for sure Nikishin can make it work on the PP.

Burns is very poor offensively right now, but I still think he's fine defensively. He plays the hard matchups and does OK. He coughed up the puck yes on the ENG but he was pressured in no-man's land with two Caps on him. Only Slavin could have salvaged that situation, and Slavin didn't have the puck. Where Burns is hurting is is on the offensive zone. The puck is bouncing right off his stick. He can still make some simple plays, but even Walker and Chatfield are making better offensive decisions in the perimeter cycle. In the same breath, you put Morrow out there and our chance of success goes down dramatically - I don't trust Morrow at all out there against playoff teams, not right now.

Unfortunately, so much of this game is going to be won by who scores first. Both teams are leaning heavy defense, not cheating at all on offense, and clogging up lanes. It's the most boring game imaginable but who cares since our team is in it. It's a winning strategy, and both teams are doing it right. The Caps' forwards also commit way more to the defensive game than the Devils. It's the reason why we aren't getting any scoring chances. Conversely, it's also why the Caps are hardly scoring either; they're committing so faithfully to the defensive game. The team that scores first has their % chance at winning jump from, say, 50% to 90%. It's that important in this series. We got quite the unlucky bounce on that first goal. Walker chips the puck up, it catches Ghost right in the neck, in the few inches below the visor and above the chest padding. The puck coincidentally lands 1 foot from the tape of McMichael, who now has a clear lane for a breakaway. Ghost probably gets the puck in the adams apple and gags, pausing for 1-2 seconds to cause that breakaway. It's the equivalent of a linesman knocking our guy out of the play. Just bad luck.

Last thing, both 2nd periods haven't been our best. In the Devils series, we dominated most of the 2nd period long changes. Perhaps the Caps scoring first 0-1 early in both 2nd periods puts pressure on our team. For whatever reason, the 2nd periods have been our worst. In the regular season too we were great in the 2nd period. If you take out both second periods, we've clearly been the better team. Odd.
 
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^^^^^
except when Orlov does it.

Game Management by refs. Look at what happened to Vegas last night in OT for another example
Don't get me wrong, Orlov's was absolutely a penalty. But if you're going to call that you HAVE to call this one on Wilson. And even more egregiously, the puck wasn't near the play, so its blatant interference.
 
It’s so frustrating. I know I’ve typed out this exact screed before but I’m doing it again for reasons I can’t really explain. Just call the rule book. Whatever the time of game, manpower situation, time of year, whatever, if you see it call it. No warnings, no letting it slide, no trying to keep it even, just call everything. If you do that, it will make each call less meaningful and the refs will actually have less effect on the game. If the whole game is played at special teams so be it
 
I feel the same way, it's very funny. Feels like something the prescout could end immediately.

Probably because it's something they've only been doing for the last month of the season + playoffs. There's a lot more tape of the Canes not doing that on entry, so the PK units may be aware it's a possibility, but are playing the odds that the Canes will continue with what they were doing for most of the season.
 
If Carberry can sit Ovi in the last 5-10 mins of the 3rd, Rod should with Burns. It's likely never going to happen because...we all know why.

I didn't think we played that badly. Flukey on the McMichael goal, and a solid play by their PP got us on the 2nd. Wilson was a demon. Far and away the best player on the ice. I think he blocked 3-4 legit scoring chances. We are seeing our smaller guys having trouble get in front of the net and hopefully we figure out a way to get inside these guys and get our shots through.
 
If Carberry can sit Ovi in the last 5-10 mins of the 3rd, Rod should with Burns. It's likely never going to happen because...we all know why.

I didn't think we played that badly. Flukey on the McMichael goal, and a solid play by their PP got us on the 2nd. Wilson was a demon. Far and away the best player on the ice. I think he blocked 3-4 legit scoring chances. We are seeing our smaller guys having trouble get in front of the net and hopefully we figure out a way to get inside these guys and get our shots through.
I'm pretty sure he did sit Burns for the last 5 mins or so until they pulled the goalie. Walker was out with Slavin towards the end of the 3rd. And even then he didn't go out right away only once there was a stoppage.
 
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I'm pretty sure he did sit Burns for the last 5 mins or so until they pulled the goalie. Walker was out with Slavin towards the end of the 3rd. And even then he didn't go out right away only once there was a stoppage.
FWIW: minute distribution for the defensemen was much closer then usual but please note Burns had the 2nd most minutes on D (his TOI was also very close to what he has seen in non-OT playoff games to-date).

Two other areas of surprise:
1) Staal had a bad face-off night. He was 7W 11L. Game 1 he was 10W 5L
2) Very low ice time for the 4th line. Line depth is supposed to be one of our strengths but RBA sure isn't thinking that way in this series (game 1, Carrier and Robinson only played 8:38/8:02 respectively....probably down after jankowsi injury):

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Caps:
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I think that playing our defense less pays off in the long series if it comes to that.

I still don’t have a problem really with Burns. That holding call was crap, it was at least a both ways call. He’s playing minutes and situations Pesce should be getting. This is the consequence of that and I think he’s doing pretty well for what we’re asking him. He’s never getting taken out for Nikishin. Nor is Ghost, and nor should he be. Our pp has been more dangerous in my eyes than other playoffs. He has four of his five points on the pp, with Aho/Jarvis/Ghost leading the way there. He’s also doing what we’re asking of him.

I actually don’t get complaining about any single player on the roster. We’re 5-2. In the second round when many of us wondered about making the playoffs at all, and with clearly a less talented roster than we’ve had in the past. I feel like if we’re complaining right now we’d probably be complaining if we were 6-0.
 
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Don't get me wrong, Orlov's was absolutely a penalty. But if you're going to call that you HAVE to call this one on Wilson. And even more egregiously, the puck wasn't near the play, so its blatant interference.
Orlov's could've just as easily been an interference on WSH had he not done his dumb close-line. We seem to have the dumbest Russian players with respect to penalties.
 
I think that playing our defense less pays off in the long series if it comes to that.

I still don’t have a problem really with Burns. That holding call was crap, it was at least a both ways call. He’s playing minutes and situations Pesce should be getting. This is the consequence of that and I think he’s doing pretty well for what we’re asking him. He’s never getting taken out for Nikishin. Nor is Ghost, and nor should he be. Our pp has been more dangerous in my eyes than other playoffs. He has four of his five points on the pp, with Aho/Jarvis/Ghost leading the way there. He’s also doing what we’re asking of him.

I actually don’t get complaining about any single player on the roster. We’re 5-2. In the second round when many of us wondered about making the playoffs at all, and with clearly a less talented roster than we’ve had in the past. I feel like if we’re complaining right now we’d probably be complaining if we were 6-0.
Burns was getting beat left and right in board battles in his own end. Instances where he should've played the puck because he was clearly closest to it ended up flubbed and costing us 2-3 additional SOG many times. He was not willing to take much contact out there to make a play, IMO. Just get it out, dude.

I also feel we've seen this story before. CAR comes out and dominates game 1, then can't score much in any remaining game in round 2. I'd still like to see Jarvy back up with Aho as they haven't done much of anything apart.
 
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Burns was getting beat left and right in board battles in his own end. Instances where he should've played the puck because he was clearly closest to it ended up flubbed and costing us 2-3 additional SOG many times. He was not willing to take much contact out there to make a play, IMO. Just get it out, dude.

I also feel we've seen this story before. CAR comes out and dominates game 1, then can't score much in any remaining game in round 2. I'd still like to see Jarvy back up with Aho as they haven't done much of anything apart.
This team is pretty different than the ones in the past personnel wise, and they’ve won a game on the road. Last night was a one goal game. I think we’ve already overachieved this season so I struggle with comparing to the past when we’ve underachieved. These guys are playing about as good as they can imo. Im borderline shocked we still have Freddie.

We tend to overreact to every loss, no matter what the big picture is. I think we’re fine right now. Obviously every game matters at this point, but these next two home games can dictate our season. I’m more worried about them than last night. We’re a dominant home team, so we need to win them imo.
 
FWIW: I would play Nikishin over ghost.

At $6.8m, We are spending probably more than any other SC possible team for our 3rd pair but I don’t believe we are getting our money’s worth. With Burns sputtering, that means that 1/2 of our d squad is not productive enough.

Nikishin for me is the offensive and physical defensemen we need to beat higher quality teams.

Anyway….
 
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