Urban has a .881 save percentage, not .887. Gajan has a .911 save percetange, not .910
,881*35 = 30.8 or 4.2 GA
.910*35 = 31.9 or 3.1 GA
4.2 - 3.1 = 1.1
Might want to double check your facts before calling out my math
More shots against = more goals against. More high quality shot against = more goals against. We should expect the relative spread of GA to scale across goaltenders based on talent.
Example: A beer league goalie might only allow 3 more goals against beer league shooters than an NHL goalie (3 goals vs a probable shutout), but the spread would obviously be much greater vs NHL shooters
I can't believe this has to be explained.
You think a bunch of people betting on WJC games are betting with full information? Or are they maybe anchoring more on past tournament performance?
The odds makers had a Canada as the
+160 favorites to beat Sweden, even though most
informed people had Sweden as the favorite. How'd that work out?
So yes, I am saying the odds making market for a tournament like this is far from reliable.
I know, which is what makes it an inherently biased and inaccurate form of estimating actual game probabilities.
This is a strawman, nobody is making any claims about the stock market.
And I have provided my arguments as to why the Slovaks should be the favorite. And considering the history of these two teams at this age group, the advantage is clearly Slovakia's, as Jukurit just pointed out in this thread:
Why would I put so much of my money into such a highly volatile event? If this game was happening 1000 times I would make some wagers. Clearly you don't understand probability or investment strategy.