Value of: Price Of The Brock Going Up

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So you're already setting up your belief system to believe that if Lou doesn't trade Nelson it's because the offers were too low?

The literal #1 trade target on everyone's board since the beginning of the season isn't going to receive one single fair offer?

You're operating outside of reality my friend. If Nelson isn't traded it's because Lou plays by his own set of rules (no facial hair, no high jersey numbers, etc), and....He's done it before.

Lou needs to be fired even if he trades Nelson/Palmieri. If he doesn't he should be launched into outer space.
We know Lou needs to go so I’m not even going to that at this point. You really think he should just accept a trade to accept a trade eventhough it makes no sense and does nothing for the Isles except move Brock off the roster? Yeah that’s a terrible thought process. For example, taking a cap dump with term and a pick for Brock just to move him and get a new face is how you wind up with a bigger group of misfits with an even worse future.
 
Check previous threads. It’s been a 2nd with Peart/Lambos for Brock. That’s a 2bd and a career minor league type of trade.
I mean Lambos and Peart were 1st and 2nd round picks respectively, the first you would be getting back in a trade for him is likely to be in that same ball park of player. I also haven’t seen that offer from anyone nor does it make any sense since the Wild have to do a cash in cash out trade due to cap constraints.
 
I mean Lambos and Peart were 1st and 2nd round picks respectively, the first you would be getting back in a trade for him is likely to be in that same ball park of player. I also haven’t seen that offer from anyone nor does it make any sense since the Wild have to do a cash in cash out trade due to cap constraints.
That would be like the Isles offering Wahlstrom and a 2nd last summer for Brock Nelson because Wally was a 1st. At this point Wally is a bust and the 2 Wild prospects are tracking towards career minor leaguer status. Ideally it would be a 1st (2025 preferred but no later then 2026) plus a respectable prospect with actual skillset to project into an NHL player (preferably not a 13F of 7D type).
 
I thought he was outstanding last night. If he played his last game as an Islander, he played it as good as it gets.

I'm sure he impressed the Jets scouts in the building.

I wonder if the 1st + Chibrikov for Nelson + Engvall would make a deal.
No interest in paying that much and taking on Engvall…if Engvall is involved the price drops dramatically
 
He’s a good player but he’s pacing to score ~25 goals this season after going for 37, 36, and 34 in his previous three seasons. He’s never been great defensively and the offense is drying up a bit. He’d probably fetch a good return seeing as it’s a seller’s market but think there will be buyer’s remorse for whoever pulls the trigger on him.**

**You’re welcome, to whoever trades for him, since he’s now guaranteed to crush it this postseason.
Nelson scored 44 points at 5v5 last season, and 48 the year before. He's on pace for 46 this season.

He scored 69 and 76 total points those other two seasons but is only on pace for 55 this year. Our power play has been extremely dysfunctional and it's taken a toll on everyone's overall counting stats, but especially Nelson's.

Don’t let the aging narrative or lower point total this season fool you - A smart GM who doesn’t need Nelson to play on PP1 will be adding a 70 point center at the deadline. If he’s a team’s 3C… look out.
 
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That would be like the Isles offering Wahlstrom and a 2nd last summer for Brock Nelson because Wally was a 1st. At this point Wally is a bust and the 2 Wild prospects are tracking towards career minor leaguer status. Ideally it would be a 1st (2025 preferred but no later then 2026) plus a respectable prospect with actual skillset to project into an NHL player (preferably not a 13F of 7D type).
Both are early 20’s defensemen with different skill sets and development paths, I think it’s far too early to say that both are outright busts, and the development staff for the Wild have been complimentary of their progress as well. I’ve never seen you post about either player before this, so I’m inclined to believe you are probably just not very familiar with either, which is totally understandable. Both are question marks for sure, but neither projects as a bottom pair or 7D by play style, they are much more boom or bust kind of top 4 puck movers.

I don’t see how either one is worth being offended over, nor do I see any kind of consensus that the Wild would be including them in an offer. As I said, it doesn’t even make sense since the Wild would have had to include cap hits at every single point of this season to make a trade.
 
Would the Islanders trade Brock Nelson for Easton Cowan? (28th overall pick in 2023)?

Alternatively, I'd offer a 2026 1st-round pick + a 2nd-round pick.
I don't think they'd be opposed to trading for a recent draft pick that's progressed reasonably well, might end up being preferable given our prospect situation.
 
I don't think they'd be opposed to trading for a recent draft pick that's progressed reasonably well, might end up being preferable given our prospect situation.
I value Cowan to a 15th-20th overall pick. Defintley ahead of most late round picks. I'd offer Cowan for Nelson straight up, or if they don't want Cowan I'd offer a a 1st + 2nd.
 
We know Lou needs to go so I’m not even going to that at this point. You really think he should just accept a trade to accept a trade eventhough it makes no sense and does nothing for the Isles except move Brock off the roster? Yeah that’s a terrible thought process. For example, taking a cap dump with term and a pick for Brock just to move him and get a new face is how you wind up with a bigger group of misfits with an even worse future.

You're not seeing reality for whatever reason. You only have to look at...

  • The history of the trade deadline
  • What other players have been traded for already THIS YEAR
  • The fact that everyone has Brock rated as more valuable than those guys (again #1 trade piece in all of the NHL).

You're literally the only one out there that is even suggesting that the Isles won't be offered something fair, if not great, that will help them long-term for Nelson.

Because the flip side is...Lou doesn't trade Nelson (and Pelmieri) which means one of these 2 things will happen:

  1. They will walk for nothing this summer
  2. Lou will resign them, taking up valuable cap space, and basically ensuring that the Isles are running back the same team next season

I can promise you the Isles could get a 1st round pick (with no "cap dumps") at minimum for Nelson. If you don't think taking that, much less more, isn't a better option than those 2 other choices above then not sure what radio station you're tuned in to.
 
Both are early 20’s defensemen with different skill sets and development paths, I think it’s far too early to say that both are outright busts, and the development staff for the Wild have been complimentary of their progress as well. I’ve never seen you post about either player before this, so I’m inclined to believe you are probably just not very familiar with either, which is totally understandable. Both are question marks for sure, but neither projects as a bottom pair or 7D by play style, they are much more boom or bust kind of top 4 puck movers.

I don’t see how either one is worth being offended over, nor do I see any kind of consensus that the Wild would be including them in an offer. As I said, it doesn’t even make sense since the Wild would have had to include cap hits at every single point of this season to make a trade.
It’s not so much being offended over is just more so if teams are offering better quality prospects, I’d expect other teams to be able to up the offer. Boom or bust reminds me of a team trading for Wahlstrom or Bellows when the Isles still had them because they were both 1sf rounders with “nhl caliber shots”.

Every thread involving Brock has turned into the opposing teams fans claiming he’s too old to be sending a 1st for and he’s just going to fall off a cliff when his game has just gotten better once he hit 30.
As for the cap portion, I’ve looked at the Minnesota cap situation and all the options that are “cap dumps” have too much term to send back to the Isles in order to make the deal work. Add in the recent trade for Jiricek and it essentially ties up both the 2025 and 2026 draft picks which also creates another issue if both teams were to make a deal. Unless Brock was demanding Minnesota only like Kane did with the Rangers, there’s no reason just to send him there if other teams are offering a better return package. Ideally if Minnesota wants him they can sign him in the summer while saving the prospects they have. I’m also guessing this is why they went after Nyqvist since Lou wouldn’t fold from his asking price and it was too rich for Billy G.
 
You're not seeing reality for whatever reason. You only have to look at...

  • The history of the trade deadline
  • What other players have been traded for already THIS YEAR
  • The fact that everyone has Brock rated as more valuable than those guys (again #1 trade piece in all of the NHL).

You're literally the only one out there that is even suggesting that the Isles won't be offered something fair, if not great, that will help them long-term for Nelson.

Because the flip side is...Lou doesn't trade Nelson (and Pelmieri) which means one of these 2 things will happen:

  1. They will walk for nothing this summer
  2. Lou will resign them, taking up valuable cap space, and basically ensuring that the Isles are running back the same team next season

I can promise you the Isles could get a 1st round pick (with no "cap dumps") at minimum for Nelson. If you don't think taking that, much less more, isn't a better option than those 2 other choices above then not sure what radio station you're tuned in to.
Look at previous trade threads involving Isles players, it’s usually some form of a 1st that’s offset with a career minor leaguer and a roster player who’s a cap dump with term. Outside of the 1st, the other 2 assets are just roster wastes honestly. It’s a $1 for a half dollar, dime and nickel type of trade. Would you for example take a 1st, Nick Robertson or David Kampf and Nick Abruzzese for Brock? That’s realistically what I’m getting at when I’m saying people just accepting an offer to accept it. I’m not worried about it being a fair offer but you know Lou won’t fold from his asking price, whatever that might be. As for pending UFAs, he most likely has a contract drawn up for all of them if they’d like to sign and come back next season and beyond. If they want to accept it, that’s between the players and Lou.
 
Bottom line, teams will want and pay big time for a 6'3 center who happened to pot 30 goals the last three years plus on pace for another 30. The guy plays clutch in the post season as well. Taking all this into consideration, playing for a pop gun offense for years? ....................................................
 
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Every thread involving Brock has turned into the opposing teams fans claiming he’s too old to be sending a 1st for and he’s just going to fall off a cliff when his game has just gotten better once he hit 30.

This is HockeysFuture boards. The posters crave the flesh of more young men on the Non-Roster part of each team's capwages site more than a chance at Stanley's Cup.

A first rounder at 20th overall, with a 10% chance of playing 82 games in their entire career is worth more than a chance at the Cup. Or a 20th overall is going to turn into David Pastrnak.

Should he receive a 1st and an "A" prospect? No, even with a bidding war he'd get a 1st, someone's B prospect and maybe a 3rd-4th rounder as a sweetener.

The posters that think he's not worth a first if there team has a chance of going more than one round are lacking brain cells.

What I worry about is the Sweetest of the Sweet Lou Lambs taking a 2nd and someone's "B" prospect for Nelson valuing that prospect more than anyone else in the sport does. That I could see happening.

Or another Toews trade where Lou values two 55th overall picks rather than a 25th and 75th.
 
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It’s not so much being offended over is just more so if teams are offering better quality prospects, I’d expect other teams to be able to up the offer. Boom or bust reminds me of a team trading for Wahlstrom or Bellows when the Isles still had them because they were both 1sf rounders with “nhl caliber shots”.

Every thread involving Brock has turned into the opposing teams fans claiming he’s too old to be sending a 1st for and he’s just going to fall off a cliff when his game has just gotten better once he hit 30.
As for the cap portion, I’ve looked at the Minnesota cap situation and all the options that are “cap dumps” have too much term to send back to the Isles in order to make the deal work. Add in the recent trade for Jiricek and it essentially ties up both the 2025 and 2026 draft picks which also creates another issue if both teams were to make a deal. Unless Brock was demanding Minnesota only like Kane did with the Rangers, there’s no reason just to send him there if other teams are offering a better return package. Ideally if Minnesota wants him they can sign him in the summer while saving the prospects they have. I’m also guessing this is why they went after Nyqvist since Lou wouldn’t fold from his asking price and it was too rich for Billy G.
This is pretty much exactly right, and likely why you haven't seen MN fans offering much of substance, making a deal work this season would require jumping through a ton of hoops and they are in a much better position to try and sign him in the summer for nothing but cash. So it seems you follow the logic on why MN fans would not be putting forth strong offers in these topics, so why then would you ridicule a fan base as a whole for taking the logical approach in Value of threads?
 
Both are early 20’s defensemen with different skill sets and development paths, I think it’s far too early to say that both are outright busts, and the development staff for the Wild have been complimentary of their progress as well. I’ve never seen you post about either player before this, so I’m inclined to believe you are probably just not very familiar with either, which is totally understandable. Both are question marks for sure, but neither projects as a bottom pair or 7D by play style, they are much more boom or bust kind of top 4 puck movers.

I don’t see how either one is worth being offended over, nor do I see any kind of consensus that the Wild would be including them in an offer. As I said, it doesn’t even make sense since the Wild would have had to include cap hits at every single point of this season to make a trade.
Those aren’t the type of prospects the Isles would be looking to get back, especially two left-handed defensemen.

The Isles would receive a stronger package for Nelson than Lambos and Peart, who, despite their draft pedigree, haven’t shown much production in the AHL. Even if they are more defensive Dmen or their struggles are limited to even strength time ( I understand Spacek is Iowa's PP QB and the stronger D prospect at this point), they would still be behind George and Pulkkinen on the depth chart.

That said, as you pointed out, the Wild are up against the cap and may have to juggle too many things to fit Nelson in, even at 50% retention.

As for the bolded point, it’s an underwhelming return, especially if Lambos is the centerpiece. He’s dropped out of the Wild's top 10 prospects and isn’t even among their top five defensive prospects.

PS - I have seen the last reply, so yes, Wild should wait it out until the summer
 
This is HockeysFuture boards. The posters crave the flesh of more young men on the Non-Roster part of each team's capwages site more than a chance at Stanley's Cup.

A first rounder at 20th overall, with a 10% chance of playing 82 games in their entire career is worth more than a chance at the Cup. Or a 20th overall is going to turn into David Pastrnak.

Should he receive a 1st and an "A" prospect? No, even with a bidding war he'd get a 1st, someone's B prospect and maybe a 3rd-4th rounder as a sweetener.

The posters that think he's not worth a first if there team has a chance of going more than one round are lacking brain cells.

What I worry about is the Sweetest of the Sweet Lou Lambs taking a 2nd and someone's "B" prospect for Nelson valuing that prospect more than anyone else in the sport does. That I could see happening.

Or another Toews trade where Lou values two 55th overall picks rather than a 25th and 75th.
The Toews trade happened because he had no takers on Leddy without attaching something of substantial value in addition. I’m not expecting a 1st and Cole Eiserman in return for him at all but I am expecting something better then a 1st and Loic Leduc in return for him but somehow he’s not worth it from what we’ve seen. The only way I see Lou taking that 2nd and B prospect is if both him and Patty value said player extremely high. Ideally a sneaky find like how they took Simon Holmstrom essentially somewhat off the board. I think that’s similar to how NJ drafted Travis Zajac at the time. He was injured and not scouted much throughout the year which turned into Lou being able to grab him at the time pretty low in the 1st round.

This is pretty much exactly right, and likely why you haven't seen MN fans offering much of substance, making a deal work this season would require jumping through a ton of hoops and they are in a much better position to try and sign him in the summer for nothing but cash. So it seems you follow the logic on why MN fans would not be putting forth strong offers in these topics, so why then would you ridicule a fan base as a whole for taking the logical approach in Value of threads?
I follow the logic but we’ve seen a few Wild fans not grasp that the Isles don’t want a package of nickels and pennies for a $5 bill. The last time they did that was the Michael Grabner to Toronto for 5 prospects and the only one that lasted with them at the time was Christopher Gibson as an AHL goalie for a few seasons. Carter Verhaghe was in that package but at the time he was just a mediocre minor leaguer who didn’t quiet blossom into what he is today as a player.
 
This is pretty much exactly right, and likely why you haven't seen MN fans offering much of substance, making a deal work this season would require jumping through a ton of hoops and they are in a much better position to try and sign him in the summer for nothing but cash. So it seems you follow the logic on why MN fans would not be putting forth strong offers in these topics, so why then would you ridicule a fan base as a whole for taking the logical approach in Value of threads?
I don’t expect him to go to to MN. My guess was going to be NJ until the Hughes injury, but if he’s not coming back then you probably don’t spend the assets on Nelson this year.

Best guess is WPG, then Colorado and I think the dark horse is Carolina. But yeah, I just sign him in the offseason if I’m Guerin
 
seravalli seems to think that if the jets can land nelson they actually have a pretty good chance of signing him...
 

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