brain fart on Krebs on Vegas not AZ
rest of it, no time for detail but short edition
Matthews will get max on whatever team can make cap room to pay that to him, which prob includes, but may not def be Leafs
but $ is not everything
good will can be huge
it's a legit thing they teach in biz class
if favorite son goes to yotes, they will mortgage everything to win while he is there 2nd half of his career
and then afterwards, he could literally do anything and get a shot
like
run for governor
get in on top opportunities
etc
---------
Again, sure
Leafs want to deal Tavares instead
even retaining which is problematic
Tavares holds nmc
it is either
move Marner instead
- also requires huge cap retention, limits return
make other moves
or move Matthews
unless leafs want to take chances w/more of the same
You're not completely wrong about the good will, and possible future motivation in some political fashion. But I think that is something then that Matthews would have to have, in spades and I am not sure if he does or not. Like if he doesn't have that goal in the future, there's mostly financial downside to returning home. He's going to get the max salary wherever he goes. But his name and likeness are worth 10x more in NY, Toronto, Chicago or any big hockey market. And, while a political future is nice in Arizona, if he came to say NY or Chicago and won a cup or two for those cities, he could probably just run for Mayor there. Toronto also, if he has citizenship their at least. And if he doesn't have a political future in mind, as a businessman, which I would say is just as likely as a goal, he'd have SO much more opportunity in a bigger market. He can buddy up to whatever billionaires are in NY and Toronto, on top of the commercial opportunity. And real estate opportunity to boot.
It would be a huge sacrifice on his part. But maybe he does love home that much and love the Coyotes that much. I just think even if he does love them a normal amount, that's probably just not enough to bring him there. But who knows?
And if the Rangers did get him, from Toronto, the lure of staying there I think would be too much. They'd hand him the keys to the city under the table on day 1. And then officially if/when he won a cup. They'd introduce him to every name he needed to know for the rest of his life to have endless opportunity. And certainly, the Rangers as a club would do everything in their power to keep him there.
I do think the Leafs will just wait for Tavares contract to run out and until then, try different equations with both he and Matthews. If he really doesn't want to stay there, I still think he goes to a bigger market. But if he does want to stay there, they just let Tavares' contract run out if they cant convince him to waive his NMC. If they can convince him, maybe they find a trade partner maybe not. Ugh, I could even see the Rangers going after him, I want him just about as much as I want Eichel. If I had to pick between the two, ugh just shoot me.
And then when Tavares is gone, the Leafs reinvest the money into building a winner differently. I love Marner and Nylander but I think they are shooting themselves in the foot keeping both. I would rather keep Marner, give him his own line with a good goal scoring center and a tough left winger. And play Nylander with Matthews and a good, protector but a better goal scorer than Hyman. Well, either way. If they lose Taveres they could keep all 3. If they don't they probably move one of Marner or Nylander which sucks I think. But they definitely have to build a strong bottom 6. And personally, I don't like the defensive makeup of their top 2 lines that much. Which is why I would want a stronger defensive 2nd line, but also one that can score. They play Matthews, Marner and Nylander substantial minutes, more than Tavares. That pretty much says it all to me. I think honestly, he might be what is holding them back. It's not really one player holding them back, but his contract and cap hit, which is unnecessary, prevents them from building a stronger 4 lines. And they need different defenders. Better defenders even through 3 pairs. I liked what Holl provided this year. Maybe Sandin can finally push for a spot. And obviously they needed to do something about goaltending. Which could make a big difference on its own.
And anyway, Tavares contract is up after the 24-25 season. They just have to make it work a few more years. Matthews, Marner and Nylander are still all fairly young.