Player Stats Prediction ⋅ 2024–25

[anezthes]

Projections are based on each player playing 82 games. The defensemen are particularly difficult to project because it depends on who ends up running the power plays. I'm guessing that by the end of the season, it will be Minty and Luneau.

Player	G	A	P
Zegras	20	50	70
Carlsson	15	45	60
McTavish	25	30	55
Terry	20	35	55
Gauthier	20	20	40
Killorn	20	20	40
Fabbri	20	20	40
Strome	10	30	40
Vatrano	20	15	35
Lundeström	10	10	20
Leason	10	10	20
McGinn	10	10	20

Player	G	A	P
Mintyukov	10	30	40
Fowler	5	35	40
Luneau	5	25	35
LaCombe	5	20	25
Gudas	5	15	20
Dumoulin	5	10	15
Vaakanainen	0	10	10

Player	GAA	SV%
Dostál	2.90	.910
Gibson	3.00	.900

IMO/YMMV.

 

[The Duck Knight]

If Carlsson plays 82 he'll lead the team in scoring. Cutter scores 30. That's all I'm doing.

 

[Static]

Carlsson: 22-43-65
Terry: 23-40-63
Zegras: 18-36-54
Mctavish: 27-30-57
Vatrano: 28-20-48
Gauthier: 22-21-43
Strome: 12-27-39
Killorn: 23-25-48
Lundy: 9-19-28
Leason: 12-13-25
Fabbri (forgot him!): 14-17-31

Mintyukov: 4-33-37
Lacombe: 3-25-28
Fowler (if he stays): 7-30-37
Gudas: 2-17-19
Luneau: 3-19-22
Dumo: 2-15-17
Zellweger: 6-20-26

 

[robbieboy3686]

Big Mac 26-44
Zegras 21-46
Leo 23-47
Killorn. 26-40
Terry 28-32 ( I see him moving around the lineup a bunch and not staying with vatrano and strome )
Cutter 24-32
Fabri 23-20
Vatrano 25-22
Stromer 19-25
Leason. 17-21
Lundy 12-20 (if not traded and replaced )
Mcginn 8-20

Ross boss Johnston - 11 fighting majors 3 goals

Minty- 9-29
Luneau 9-24
Zellwegger 7-20
Gudas. 6-19
Lacombe. 5-22
Dumo. 4-16
Fowler traded

 

[The Midnight Burrito]

I’ll put myself out there.

Zegras - 55
Mac - 80
Carlsson - 65
Terry - 65
Cutter - 45
Killorn - 45
Vatrano - 55
Strome - 50
Fabbri - 40
Leason - 25
Lundy - 20
McGinn - 15

Fowler - 35
Minty - 45
Luneau - 35
LaCombe - 30
Gudas - 25
Dumo - 20
Zell - 20

 

[Anarchynate]

Zegras - 66
Mac - 77
Carlsson - 82
Terry - 61
Cutter - 58
Killorn - 54
Vatrano - 62
Strome - 47
Fabbri - 65
Leason - 25
Lundy - 22
McGinn - 27

Fowler - 42
Minty - 57
Luneau - 44
LaCombe - 38
Gudas - 27
Dumo - 23
Zell - 36

 

[anezthes]

Mac - 80

He really does seem poised for a breakout year. I was leaning in that direction with both him and Carlsson, but I've flown too close to the sun too many times.

 

[Mr Rogers]

McTavish I could see having a huge year but he is our Land Rover. Might be amazing when he’s playing but I feel like he’s a bit injury prone, which might be due to how he plays.

If he’s mostly healthy, could absolutely see 70 to 80.

 

[The Midnight Burrito]

He really does seem poised for a breakout year. I was leaning in that direction with both him and Carlsson, but I've flown too close to the sun too many times.

I felt like he was a 40-40 candidate last year and at least in preseason I liked that he was bulling around the net at times.

I’m praying for a breakout for Z but feeling pretty pessimistic about it.

 

[70sSanO]

Everyone on the Ducks needs to show improvement, except Vatrano who probably won’t duplicate last year.

The two that I’m concerned about are Terry and Zegras.

Terry needs to be a 30 (+) goal scorer.

Zegras is the biggest concern. He needs to be at 60+ points. Regardless of wing or center, he needs to be a “semi” responsible forward that can put up points.

The outcomes I see are:
Everyone on the team improves and the team wins more and takes a step toward the playoffs - Good for PV and Cronin

Everyone on the team improves except Zegras and they win more - Bad for Zegras.

Overall little improvement and the team is still bottom 5 - Bad for PV and Cronin. Cronin probably gone. Zegras stays.

Obviously there are all sorts of outcomes in between these.

John

 

[The Midnight Burrito]

I’ll put myself out there.

Zegras - 55
Mac - 80
Carlsson - 65
Terry - 65
Cutter - 45
Killorn - 45
Vatrano - 55
Strome - 50
Fabbri - 40
Leason - 25
Lundy - 20
McGinn - 15

Fowler - 35
Minty - 45
Luneau - 35
LaCombe - 30
Gudas - 25
Dumo - 20
Zell - 20

I dropped my Fowler estimate from 45-35 since it seems he’s not on either PP unit.

 

[anezthes]

Player	GP	G	A	P	+/-	PIM	PPG	SHG	GWG	OTG	S
Troy Terry	78	28	38	66	+4	16	8	0	6	2	204
Ryan Strome	82	14	34	48	-2	42	0	0	4	0	150
Frank Vatrano	80	22	24	46	-6	52	4	0	2	0	260
Jackson LaCombe	68	16	20	36	+6	8	2	0	0	0	134
Alex Killorn	82	16	20	36	+8	44	0	0	4	2	120
Cutter Gauthier	82	10	26	36	-2	24	4	0	2	0	164
Mason McTavish	70	12	22	34	-10	44	4	0	0	0	140
Leo Carlsson	70	16	14	30	0	16	4	0	8	2	96
Brett Leason	68	10	14	24	-2	24	2	0	0	0	104
Olen Zellweger	68	8	16	24	+4	24	2	0	0	0	154
Robby Fabbri	56	12	8	20	-10	24	0	0	0	0	88
Trevor Zegras	48	8	12	20	-14	20	2	0	0	0	92
Radko Gudas	82	2	18	20	0	84	0	0	0	0	86
Pavel Mintyukov	66	6	12	18	-8	16	0	0	0	0	78
Brock McGinn	52	8	8	16	+2	0	0	0	0	0	60
Jacob Trouba	80	0	16	16	-8	56	0	0	0	0	136
Brian Dumoulin	82	0	16	16	-4	8	0	0	0	0	84
Isac Lundestrom	78	8	6	14	-4	4	0	0	2	0	70
Drew Helleson	38	4	6	10	-4	50	0	0	0	0	36
Ross Johnston	58	2	6	8	-2	114	0	0	2	0	18
Jansen Harkins	56	0	6	6	-12	24	0	0	0	0	36
Nikita Nesterenko	6	2	0	2	-2	0	0	0	0	0	4
Sam Colangelo	18	2	0	2	-10	0	0	0	0	0	24
Tristan Luneau	12	0	0	0	-10	4	0	0	0	0	12

Projected stats after 41 games. Slightly off with my prediction.

 

[2faded]

Well that's depressing.

 

[Mr Rogers]

Lacombe is really the only guy greatly exceeding expectations. The Terry line is having a nice year too. Everyone else has been average or below (barely meeting expectations/coming up short). I think Gauthier has had a nice rookie season all things considered too.

 

[Hockey Duckie]

Player	GP	G	A	P	+/-	PIM	PPG	SHG	GWG	OTG	S
Troy Terry	78	28	38	66	+4	16	8	0	6	2	204
Ryan Strome	82	14	34	48	-2	42	0	0	4	0	150
Frank Vatrano	80	22	24	46	-6	52	4	0	2	0	260
Jackson LaCombe	68	16	20	36	+6	8	2	0	0	0	134
Alex Killorn	82	16	20	36	+8	44	0	0	4	2	120
Cutter Gauthier	82	10	26	36	-2	24	4	0	2	0	164
Mason McTavish	70	12	22	34	-10	44	4	0	0	0	140
Leo Carlsson	70	16	14	30	0	16	4	0	8	2	96
Brett Leason	68	10	14	24	-2	24	2	0	0	0	104
Olen Zellweger	68	8	16	24	+4	24	2	0	0	0	154
Robby Fabbri	56	12	8	20	-10	24	0	0	0	0	88
Trevor Zegras	48	8	12	20	-14	20	2	0	0	0	92
Radko Gudas	82	2	18	20	0	84	0	0	0	0	86
Pavel Mintyukov	66	6	12	18	-8	16	0	0	0	0	78
Brock McGinn	52	8	8	16	+2	0	0	0	0	0	60
Jacob Trouba	80	0	16	16	-8	56	0	0	0	0	136
Brian Dumoulin	82	0	16	16	-4	8	0	0	0	0	84
Isac Lundestrom	78	8	6	14	-4	4	0	0	2	0	70
Drew Helleson	38	4	6	10	-4	50	0	0	0	0	36
Ross Johnston	58	2	6	8	-2	114	0	0	2	0	18
Jansen Harkins	56	0	6	6	-12	24	0	0	0	0	36
Nikita Nesterenko	6	2	0	2	-2	0	0	0	0	0	4
Sam Colangelo	18	2	0	2	-10	0	0	0	0	0	24
Tristan Luneau	12	0	0	0	-10	4	0	0	0	0	12

Projected stats after 41 games. Slightly off with my prediction.

Based upon your projections, the total GF = 206. That is only three more goals scored than last season's totals. Fowler hasn't scored a goal with us this season, just in case some were wondering. (Fowler w/ Ana: 17 games, 0g +4a, and - 7 rating; w/ StL: 13 games, 4g +6a, and +5 rating.)

 

[Hockey Duckie]

Lacombe is really the only guy greatly exceeding expectations. The Terry line is having a nice year too. Everyone else has been average or below (barely meeting expectations/coming up short). I think Gauthier has had a nice rookie season all things considered too.

I think as long as Vatrano and Strome have an offensive minded forward with them, then they'll produce. That is what happened with them last year with McTavish (see last year's stats below).

---

Cutter recently being paired with Mac has improved our outlook on him for his rookie season.

​

Cutter​	2024-25​
Game Set​	Games​	G​	A​	Pts​	ppg​	+/-​	ATOI​
1 to 31​	31​	4​	8​	12​	0.39​	-5​	14:25​
32 to 41​	10​	1​	5​	6​	0.60​	4​	15:23​

 

[anezthes]

Projections are based on each player playing 82 games. The defensemen are particularly difficult to project because it depends on who ends up running the power plays. I'm guessing that by the end of the season, it will be Minty and Luneau.

Player	G	A	P
Zegras	20 (-8)	50 (-30)	70 (-38)
Carlsson	15 (+5)	45 (-20)	60 (-15)
McTavish	25 (-3)	30 (0)	55 (-3)
Terry	20 (+1)	35 (-1)	55 (0)
Gauthier	20 (0)	20 (+4)	40 (+5)
Killorn	20 (-1)	20 (-2)	40 (-3)
Fabbri	20 (-12)	20 (-12)	40 (-24)
Strome	10 (0)	30 (+1)	40 (+1)
Vatrano	20 (+1)	15 (+9)	35 (+10)
Lundeström	10 (-6)	10 (+1)	20 (-5)
Leason	10 (-5)	10 (+2)	20 (-3)
McGinn	10 (-6)	10 (-6)	20 (-12)

Player	G	A	P
Mintyukov	10 (-5)	30 (-16)	40 (-21)
Fowler	5 (+4)	35 (-4)	40 (0)
Luneau	5 (-5)	25 (-25)	35 (-35)
LaCombe	5 (+9)	20 (+9)	25 (+18)
Gudas	5 (-4)	15 (0)	20 (-4)
Dumoulin	5 (-2)	10 (+9)	15 (+7)
Vaakanainen	0 (+2)	10 (+4)	10 (+6)

Player	GAA	SV%
Dostál	2.90 (+0.20)	.910 (-.007)
Gibson	3.00 (-0.23)	.900 (+.012)

IMO/YMMV.

Completely whiffed on Z, Fabbri, Minty, and Luneau. McTavish, Terry, Gauthier, Killorn, Strome, and Fowler were pretty close.

 

[Static]

Carlsson: 22-43-65
Terry: 23-40-63
Zegras: 18-36-54
Mctavish: 27-30-57
Vatrano: 28-20-48
Gauthier: 22-21-43
Strome: 12-27-39
Killorn: 23-25-48
Lundy: 9-19-28
Leason: 12-13-25
Fabbri (forgot him!): 14-17-31

Mintyukov: 4-33-37
Lacombe: 3-25-28
Fowler (if he stays): 7-30-37
Gudas: 2-17-19
Luneau: 3-19-22
Dumo: 2-15-17
Zellweger: 6-20-26

I was still wildly optimistic even when I thought I was being conservative.

 

[Mr Rogers]

I was still wildly optimistic even when I thought I was being conservative.

Still a handful of really good guesses