Speculation: Player Discussion: Will Smith

He'll be 20yo in 6 weeks :huh:
You did all that work to clip the quote and failed to read the part where I said "last year," referring to his 18yo season in the NCAA.

"He didn't look big or strong in NCAA so it's no surprise at all there, and he looked variably slow or fast last year which many speculated might just be the effects of lifting heavy / not yet having a deep fitness base as an 18yo."
 
He is a pretty divisive player. Plenty of homers kept saying he was a passenger on the BC line, especially NYR and Caps fans because their draftee must be the best.
The EP guys just don't understand that doing good things away from the puck is also possible. They love puck dominant guys who you can see are doing well without needing to think too hard.
 
Among forwards with 500 minutes played at 5v5, Smith is now up to 95th in 5v5 points/60. So he just makes the cut for top-line scoring rate.

Even if you just look at 5v5 points, he is tied for 128th. And this is with only 2 secondary assists. So at 5v5 he is indisputably scoring at the rate of a top-6 forward.

I will post his player card with some commentary tomorrow after the model finishes running but his EV offensive on-ice numbers are all comfortably top-6 quality as well. Again, a contender probably doesn't have him in their top-6 due to his flaws, but offensively he is playing like a top-6 F at 5v5. That's a massive jump from how he started the year.
 
You did all that work to clip the quote and failed to read the part where I said "last year," referring to his 18yo season in the NCAA.

"He didn't look big or strong in NCAA so it's no surprise at all there, and he looked variably slow or fast last year which many speculated might just be the effects of lifting heavy / not yet having a deep fitness base as an 18yo."
Curious for those of you that know - how much of being a fast skater is mechanics vs athletic ability?
 
Among forwards with 500 minutes played at 5v5, Smith is now up to 95th in 5v5 points/60. So he just makes the cut for top-line scoring rate.

Even if you just look at 5v5 points, he is tied for 128th. And this is with only 2 secondary assists. So at 5v5 he is indisputably scoring at the rate of a top-6 forward.

I will post his player card with some commentary tomorrow after the model finishes running but his EV offensive on-ice numbers are all comfortably top-6 quality as well. Again, a contender probably doesn't have him in their top-6 due to his flaws, but offensively he is playing like a top-6 F at 5v5. That's a massive jump from how he started the year.
In this sense, I wonder how much growing and adding some weight will improve his confidence in the corners and with puck possession/retention. Almost every game there are pucks that a player who is confident in their size and strength would win, but Smith shies way and tries to make a proactive defensive play. Contrast that with a player like Duehr, who knows exactly how he can use his size to make smart puck plays.

This ins't a knock on him, but he very visibly has a boy's body still. Im not expecting him to bowling ball through people like Zetterlund, but i imagine a lot will start to round out once he gets stronger
 
You did all that work to clip the quote and failed to read the part where I said "last year," referring to his 18yo season in the NCAA.

"He didn't look big or strong in NCAA so it's no surprise at all there, and he looked variably slow or fast last year which many speculated might just be the effects of lifting heavy / not yet having a deep fitness base as an 18yo."
My bad. Missed the context there.
 
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As promised. EV offence play driving and finishing are very solid. 5v5 primary assist rate near the top of the league. (I don't put that much stock in it, it's just 10 assists - he's just done it in very few minutes).

I wouldn't sweat the PP number too much just because it's a pretty small sample and those numbers aren't always super reliable in general. I don't think there's too much of a difference in what his long term forecast would be whether that number is 0%, 2%, or 30% - the key is he hasn't clicked on the PP yet but he has the tools to do so.

The EV defence has been discussed ad nauseum but that is what is really dragging him down at this point. He's got a long way to go there, but if his EV defence were just bad, he would already be a decent top-6 F at 19.
 
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As promised. EV offence play driving and finishing are very solid. 5v5 primary assist rate near the top of the league. (I don't put that much stock in it, it's just 10 assists - he's just done it in very few minutes).

I wouldn't sweat the PP number too much just because it's a pretty small sample and those numbers aren't always super reliable in general. I don't think there's too much of a difference in what his long term forecast would be whether that number is 0%, 2%, or 30% - the key is he hasn't clicked on the PP yet but he has the tools to do so.

The EV defence has been discussed ad nauseum but that is what is really dragging him down at this point. He's got a long way to go there, but if his EV defence were just bad, he would already be a decent top-6 F at 19.
So a possible +0.5Labanc but instead of shooting it's his passing. MG should get something good in a few years if he continues to juice him up and can realize this dude will never be a threat on any serious team.
 
So a possible +0.5Labanc but instead of shooting it's his passing. MG should get something good in a few years if he continues to juice him up and can realize this dude will never be a threat on any serious team.
I think this is a really bad take. He’s a teenager and doing well. He has succeeded at every level. Not sure how he can be just a Labanc. Their progression has been totally different.
 
I think this is a really bad take. He’s a teenager and doing well. He has succeeded at every level. Not sure how he can be just a Labanc. Their progression has been totally different.
The Labanc comparison is just banter, but definitely realistic. I've said I see him more having a possible Huberdeauish ceiling, but the end result between him and the Sharks is the same because players his type, no matter how skilled or how many points, very, very rarely win.
 
The Labanc comparison is just banter, but definitely realistic. I've said I see him more having a possible Huberdeauish ceiling, but the end result between him and the Sharks is the same because players his type, no matter how skilled or how many points, very, very rarely win.
Kevin never had the wheels or the ability to transition. He was never moving his feet and ended up taking far too many tripping penalties because of it. Will isn't a burner but he is offensively instinctive where he can be deceptively quick to move the play the other way.
 
Curious for those of you that know - how much of being a fast skater is mechanics vs athletic ability?
It's both, just like running fast. As you rise in hockey (sports), there's a constant ebb and flow between getting more explosive vs working on technique. Smith's technique isn't bad at all so for him imho it's mostly getting more explosive. I'm guessing (amateur guess) Potenza will have him on things like power cleans, box jumps, other dynamic strength+power motions so that he's not just adding slow twitch strength with e.g. squats, etc.
 
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A 19 year old rookie with 22 points in 46 games while only averaging 14:30 of ice time, is still being questioned for his game and still getting people saying he won't achieve anything in this league.

This fans base is something else, every other fan base would be hyping a smith talent up to no ends, and here is this fan base tearing him down and hoping and praying he fails.
 
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A 19 year old rookie with 22 points in 46 games while only averaging 14:30 of ice time, is still being questioned for his game and still getting people saying he won't achieve anything in this league.

This fans base is something else, every other fan base would be hyping a smith talent up to no ends, and here is this fan base tearing him down and hoping and praying he fails.
Take a breath, pretty much everyone in the past few pages is excited about him except one troll.
 
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A 19 year old rookie with 22 points in 46 games while only averaging 14:30 of ice time, is still being questioned for his game and still getting people saying he won't achieve anything in this league.

This fans base is something else, every other fan base would be hyping a smith talent up to no ends, and here is this fan base tearing him down and hoping and praying he fails.
To be fair, Patrick Marleau played 1779 games with a 55 pt/season average, while also averaging almost 18 minutes of TOI, and also achieved absolutely nothing the league.
 
To be fair, Patrick Marleau played 1779 games with a 55 pt/season average, while also averaging almost 18 minutes of TOI, and also achieved absolutely nothing the league.
Marleau is always gonna be weird to me, simply because he may be the most disappointing fringe HoFer of all time.
 
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A 19 year old rookie with 22 points in 46 games while only averaging 14:30 of ice time, is still being questioned for his game and still getting people saying he won't achieve anything in this league.

This fans base is something else, every other fan base would be hyping a smith talent up to no ends, and here is this fan base tearing him down and hoping and praying he fails.
It is pretty hype. I just think how bad this team is made some parts this fanbase really impatient lol
 
A 19 year old rookie with 22 points in 46 games while only averaging 14:30 of ice time, is still being questioned for his game and still getting people saying he won't achieve anything in this league.

This fans base is something else, every other fan base would be hyping a smith talent up to no ends, and here is this fan base tearing him down and hoping and praying he fails.
None of this is accurate. The majority of this fan base is very positive on Smith, and even the critics don’t appear to be praying he fails. Moreover, there are many players out there who are better than Smith and still get hate from at least a few members of their fanbase.
 
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