Pipeline has another mock out, this time with prep RHP Seth Hernandez getting to the Pirates:
https://www.mlb.com/milb/news/mlb-pipeline-mock-draft-for-june-19-2025?t=mlb-draft-coverage
Seems like it's still too early to tell or worry about much, though they paint a clearer pitcher that Aiva Arquette is the one college bat who has separated themselves from the rest of the pack, so he's going to be the main player I am pulling for in terms of the delusional Operation Get-Griffin-And-As-Much-Talent-To-Pittsburgh-By-2027 before Skenes leaves.
It does very much seem like a typical MLB draft where there isn't a slam dunk top talent and the entire top group doesn't have huge separation. I haven't followed until the past few weeks, but the general picture I get from the mocks and writeups is that there's a group of about 8 players who all have some arguments to be made for them, but for risk / player demographic reasons, some won't go quite as high. Hernandez seems to basically be considered the top talent available, but teams have moved further and further away from prep pitching towards the very top. The prep shortstops don't seem to be quite as in demand as the college pitchers, with the exception of Holiday who has the name pedigree and figures to be gone for sure in the top-4 picks.
The Pirates have done fairly well in these types of situations, though there are caveats. I genuinely think the book is out on Davis still. There are reasons to worry but catchers take so long to develop and regardless, for at least this point, the idea is that we walked away from that draft with Chandler, who may ultimately turn out to be the best prospect from the draft if he hits close to his ceiling (still a gigantic if, but just in terms of prospect talent, we walked away with a player who rose up to top-3 or so in baseball as a prospect).
Griffin is the other obvious case and I think why so many mocks are going to slot Hernandez to us. To me, that seems fine -- if 2025 has taught us anything, it's that we suck and just need talented players.
Still, I think it's a little early to say with much certainty what we'll do. Last year, I don't remember a ton of noise about Griffin to the Pirates and in general I think it's a bit suspect to just think a team will take the same strategy as the previous year. Teams definitely have tendencies, but this scouting group + front office has switched things up before, and so I think with so many variables, that kind of common sense just becomes a way to handle some of them.
Tldr; for me is that the path to the college bat of Arquette likely depends on the top of the board falling a certain way. I think if Holiday somehow gets down to Colorado, then we could be in business, since it seems like there will be plenty of college pitchers to fill the other spots and also that the Cardinals may not want to go the college hitter route. Of the college pitchers, I like Arnold, but it doesn't seem like he's gonna be there for our pick. I haven't seen us linked to any of them, but it's also possible that we like one of the prep shortstops a lot and get our pick of the bunch. Arquette just seems like a good combination of standout college hitter who projects for very solid power which isn't always true of most shortstops besides phenoms (and if he moves to 3B, it's less of a big deal at this point).