Other Sports: Philadelphia Eagles (NFL): Vegas, Baby! (2023 Regular Season)

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JojoTheWhale

"You should keep it." -- Striiker
May 22, 2008
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@BringBackHakstol Yes, there were some open receivers. But it’s not just that going on here.

After looking at it this morning, I think large amounts of blame can both be placed on coaching and play. I don’t mind that their approach to offense is to let their guys make plays. 50-50 9 balls to AJB should be part of any offense for example. But when it doesn’t work, they just keep doing it. I think in general I’ve been higher than the average on Johnsons as an OC in that I thought he was mediocre but not terrible. This time he was baffling. The OL played very well in pass pro to me. Not as much run blocking, but I think there’s a lot under the hood worth examining with that.

A lot of the failures of the running game were 2nd and 3rd level SF defenders crashing down and making good plays. They’re running the same stuff. It’s all Gun RPOs and Read Options out of 11 and 12. But this is all predicated on Goedert’s existence and Hurts being a dynamic power runner. Neither one of those are present right now. This was Week 13. Hurts has basically not looked the same with the ball in his hands all year, so how have we not come up with something else yet? Hell, most Gun runs require a mobile QB. I can’t believe I’m saying this, but if this is what Hurts is going to be this year, I would rather see some runs from under Center and give the OL a chance to take over the game. At least you have the components to make that work. You don’t have a running Hurts and you don’t have Goedert. SF’s 2nd level is way, way too good to just assume you can out talent when you’re missing an arm and a leg.

As far as the QB, this was 2021 Hurts. How much of that is injury I don’t know. But it’s illustrative of what I mean when I say continually bring up the two sides of the Hurts coin — he’s limiting schematically as a passer but he never gets enough credit for how much of their running success is enabled by his presence. It’s also why the idea of turning him into a pure pocket passer is absurd. You don’t simply learn to do that out of nowhere in your mid 20s. And frankly it doesn’t work anymore anyway. The bar for contending QB play on a 2nd contract is higher than every pocket passer in the world whose accuracy is anything other than the level of a Drew Brees.

TLDR; They’re convinced they can run largely the same offense as last year and they can’t. Their offensive stubbornness in doing only what they do is reminiscent of Gannon’s approach to the other side last year.
 

Bigkarl

Registered User
Dec 27, 2017
1,171
2,494
@BringBackHakstol Yes, there were some open receivers. But it’s not just that going on here.

After looking at it this morning, I think large amounts of blame can both be placed on coaching and play. I don’t mind that their approach to offense is to let their guys make plays. 50-50 9 balls to AJB should be part of any offense for example. But when it doesn’t work, they just keep doing it. I think in general I’ve been higher than the average on Johnsons as an OC in that I thought he was mediocre but not terrible. This time he was baffling. The OL played very well in pass pro to me. Not as much run blocking, but I think there’s a lot under the hood worth examining with that.

A lot of the failures of the running game were 2nd and 3rd level SF defenders crashing down and making good plays. They’re running the same stuff. It’s all Gun RPOs and Read Options out of 11 and 12. But this is all predicated on Goedert’s existence and Hurts being a dynamic power runner. Neither one of those are present right now. This was Week 13. Hurts has basically not looked the same with the ball in his hands all year, so how have we not come up with something else yet? Hell, most Gun runs require a mobile QB. I can’t believe I’m saying this, but if this is what Hurts is going to be this year, I would rather see some runs from under Center and give the OL a chance to take over the game. At least you have the components to make that work. You don’t have a running Hurts and you don’t have Goedert. SF’s 2nd level is way, way too good to just assume you can out talent when you’re missing an arm and a leg.

As far as the QB, this was 2021 Hurts. How much of that is injury I don’t know. But it’s illustrative of what I mean when I say continually bring up the two sides of the Hurts coin — he’s limiting schematically as a passer but he never gets enough credit for how much of their running success is enabled by his presence. It’s also why the idea of turning him into a pure pocket passer is absurd. You don’t simply learn to do that out of nowhere in your mid 20s. And frankly it doesn’t work anymore anyway. The bar for contending QB play on a 2nd contract is higher than every pocket passer in the world whose accuracy is anything other than the level of a Drew Brees.

TLDR; They’re convinced they can run largely the same offense as last year and they can’t. Their offensive stubbornness in doing only what they do is reminiscent of Gannon’s approach to the other side last year.

It seems like they have no short range passing game and their only success in the intermediate range is on improvised plays. Maybe it's just Goedert being out that killed the intermediate game. Slants to AJ for big YAC worked a few times against the niners, and seems like it should be automatic every game, and it doesn't seem utilized enough. All their routes take forever to develop, even when facing pressure. What is their efficiency against pressure? Multiple times every game I ask myself how their is no one open even after they pick up the blitz and Hurts has time.
 
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GKJ

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Feb 27, 2002
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It seems like they have no short range passing game and their only success in the intermediate range is on improvised plays. Maybe it's just Goedert being out that killed the intermediate game. Slants to AJ for big YAC worked a few times against the niners, and seems like it should be automatic every game, and it doesn't seem utilized enough. All their routes take forever to develop, even when facing pressure. What is their efficiency against pressure? Multiple times every game I ask myself how their is no one open even after they pick up the blitz and Hurts has time.
They weren't using Goedert much in the passing game as it was, and I don't think you can win a championship with your tight ends being non-factors.
 
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JojoTheWhale

"You should keep it." -- Striiker
May 22, 2008
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110,191
It seems like they have no short range passing game and their only success in the intermediate range is on improvised plays. Maybe it's just Goedert being out that killed the intermediate game. Slants to AJ for big YAC worked a few times against the niners, and seems like it should be automatic every game, and it doesn't seem utilized enough. All their routes take forever to develop, even when facing pressure. What is their efficiency against pressure? Multiple times every game I ask myself how their is no one open even after they pick up the blitz and Hurts has time.

They ran a LOT of Slants and Hooks on Sunday. They worked early. They stopped working. They kept running them.

If I get a chance, I will pull some pressure numbers when I get home.
 
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Chicken N Raffls

Here for the chaos and lolz
Nov 7, 2022
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@BringBackHakstol Yes, there were some open receivers. But it’s not just that going on here.

After looking at it this morning, I think large amounts of blame can both be placed on coaching and play. I don’t mind that their approach to offense is to let their guys make plays. 50-50 9 balls to AJB should be part of any offense for example. But when it doesn’t work, they just keep doing it. I think in general I’ve been higher than the average on Johnsons as an OC in that I thought he was mediocre but not terrible. This time he was baffling. The OL played very well in pass pro to me. Not as much run blocking, but I think there’s a lot under the hood worth examining with that.

A lot of the failures of the running game were 2nd and 3rd level SF defenders crashing down and making good plays. They’re running the same stuff. It’s all Gun RPOs and Read Options out of 11 and 12. But this is all predicated on Goedert’s existence and Hurts being a dynamic power runner. Neither one of those are present right now. This was Week 13. Hurts has basically not looked the same with the ball in his hands all year, so how have we not come up with something else yet? Hell, most Gun runs require a mobile QB. I can’t believe I’m saying this, but if this is what Hurts is going to be this year, I would rather see some runs from under Center and give the OL a chance to take over the game. At least you have the components to make that work. You don’t have a running Hurts and you don’t have Goedert. SF’s 2nd level is way, way too good to just assume you can out talent when you’re missing an arm and a leg.

As far as the QB, this was 2021 Hurts. How much of that is injury I don’t know. But it’s illustrative of what I mean when I say continually bring up the two sides of the Hurts coin — he’s limiting schematically as a passer but he never gets enough credit for how much of their running success is enabled by his presence. It’s also why the idea of turning him into a pure pocket passer is absurd. You don’t simply learn to do that out of nowhere in your mid 20s. And frankly it doesn’t work anymore anyway. The bar for contending QB play on a 2nd contract is higher than every pocket passer in the world whose accuracy is anything other than the level of a Drew Brees.

TLDR; They’re convinced they can run largely the same offense as last year and they can’t. Their offensive stubbornness in doing only what they do is reminiscent of Gannon’s approach to the other side last year.

Thanks for this. Last game might have been the most egregious example, but it's been going on all year. I remember saying a month or two ago, that it would be nice if they ran pass plays that didn't seem to take forever to develop.

You would know more of the ins and outs than I, but from a layman's perspective it just seems they lack creativity. I keep waiting for them to run a shovel play, end around, flea flicker, anything. Instead we get "Whose Play is it Anyway" style of improv, because apparently they just want to run the same stuff over and over until it gets inevitably (and quickly) figured out.
 

Beef Invictus

Revolutionary Positivity
Dec 21, 2009
130,168
170,517
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It finally clicked in my head. The Eagles team's plan, as is, is akin to my coaching strategies when I got wrangled into coaching my brother's eight grade rec basketball team.

"Get the ball to the big and talented kid and work from there."

It didn't work then at a level that was required to win and I don't think that it's going to work in the NFL either.

Flacco won a Super Bowl doing this with Boldin.
 

Hollywood Cannon

I'm Away From My Desk
Jul 17, 2007
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1701825417026.png
 
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iceman42

Registered User
May 7, 2003
1,806
745
Enfield, NH
@BringBackHakstol Yes, there were some open receivers. But it’s not just that going on here.

After looking at it this morning, I think large amounts of blame can both be placed on coaching and play. I don’t mind that their approach to offense is to let their guys make plays. 50-50 9 balls to AJB should be part of any offense for example. But when it doesn’t work, they just keep doing it. I think in general I’ve been higher than the average on Johnsons as an OC in that I thought he was mediocre but not terrible. This time he was baffling. The OL played very well in pass pro to me. Not as much run blocking, but I think there’s a lot under the hood worth examining with that.

A lot of the failures of the running game were 2nd and 3rd level SF defenders crashing down and making good plays. They’re running the same stuff. It’s all Gun RPOs and Read Options out of 11 and 12. But this is all predicated on Goedert’s existence and Hurts being a dynamic power runner. Neither one of those are present right now. This was Week 13. Hurts has basically not looked the same with the ball in his hands all year, so how have we not come up with something else yet? Hell, most Gun runs require a mobile QB. I can’t believe I’m saying this, but if this is what Hurts is going to be this year, I would rather see some runs from under Center and give the OL a chance to take over the game. At least you have the components to make that work. You don’t have a running Hurts and you don’t have Goedert. SF’s 2nd level is way, way too good to just assume you can out talent when you’re missing an arm and a leg.

As far as the QB, this was 2021 Hurts. How much of that is injury I don’t know. But it’s illustrative of what I mean when I say continually bring up the two sides of the Hurts coin — he’s limiting schematically as a passer but he never gets enough credit for how much of their running success is enabled by his presence. It’s also why the idea of turning him into a pure pocket passer is absurd. You don’t simply learn to do that out of nowhere in your mid 20s. And frankly it doesn’t work anymore anyway. The bar for contending QB play on a 2nd contract is higher than every pocket passer in the world whose accuracy is anything other than the level of a Drew Brees.

TLDR; They’re convinced they can run largely the same offense as last year and they can’t. Their offensive stubbornness in doing only what they do is reminiscent of Gannon’s approach to the other side last year.
Completely agree, it's something I have been saying for a while. At some point the NFL figures out what you are doing, so you need to adjust and you need to reinvent. Sometimes you need to do it week-to-week. Sirianni has been slow to change, they will make tweaks here and there but like you said
They’re convinced they can run largely the same offense as last year and they can’t.
I think they suffer a lot from the idea that they can just will themselves to victory and so they get complacent and lazy. I think that comes from Sirianni, I think he's a good head coach, but I have never been impressed with him as a play-caller, this is also not his offensive system, which is why it was such a big blow to lose Steichen. They have the plays from last year but I am not sure anyone in the building understands the actual concepts that Steichen employed.
 

JojoTheWhale

"You should keep it." -- Striiker
May 22, 2008
35,571
110,191
Completely agree, it's something I have been saying for a while. At some point the NFL figures out what you are doing, so you need to adjust and you need to reinvent. Sometimes you need to do it week-to-week. Sirianni has been slow to change, they will make tweaks here and there but like you said

I think they suffer a lot from the idea that they can just will themselves to victory and so they get complacent and lazy. I think that comes from Sirianni, I think he's a good head coach, but I have never been impressed with him as a play-caller, this is also not his offensive system, which is why it was such a big blow to lose Steichen. They have the plays from last year but I am not sure anyone in the building understands the actual concepts that Steichen employed.

I liked Sirianni's offense in Indy. The roster didn't have playmakers, but they schemed them up pretty well.

I'm going to use Mina Kimes' excellent point this week as a base to illustrate some issues. Their deep passing game is mostly limited to shots down the sideline. This is what I mean when I say Hurts limits you schematically as a passer. It's not that he's bad at it. It's that he's good rather than great and the only thing he's missing to get there is the ability to attack the MoF. You can succeed without it, but it eventually tends to become a problem against certain teams. This is the history of Russell Wilson in a nutshell. It's not an accident that Mina is a Seahawks fan who figured out that teams are giving the Eagles way more 2 High looks and they can't beat them as the offense is presently constructed with this Hurts lacking dynamic running ability.

Certainly there are other issues. I don't like the entire philosophy behind the offense right now. The interior of the OL has been getting gouged in recent weeks. They're worn down from a brutal stretch of games. The yearly Maddox catastrophe hurt a ton. Injuries are killing them on the iDL. The Secondary lacks speed. I know I focus on Hurts more than most. It's not because he's not good. He is. It's just that contracts matter. I'll stick with hopefully he gets healthy next year for now.

@Chinatown88 2018 still doesn't feel wrong. They're good. But.
 

Chinatown88

1 year 3 days and counting
Jan 17, 2012
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I liked Sirianni's offense in Indy. The roster didn't have playmakers, but they schemed them up pretty well.

I'm going to use Mina Kimes' excellent point this week as a base to illustrate some issues. Their deep passing game is mostly limited to shots down the sideline. This is what I mean when I say Hurts limits you schematically as a passer. It's not that he's bad at it. It's that he's good rather than great and the only thing he's missing to get there is the ability to attack the MoF. You can succeed without it, but it eventually tends to become a problem against certain teams. This is the history of Russell Wilson in a nutshell. It's not an accident that Mina is a Seahawks fan who figured out that teams are giving the Eagles way more 2 High looks and they can't beat them as the offense is presently constructed with this Hurts lacking dynamic running ability.

Certainly there are other issues. I don't like the entire philosophy behind the offense right now. The interior of the OL has been getting gouged in recent weeks. They're worn down from a brutal stretch of games. The yearly Maddox catastrophe hurt a ton. Injuries are killing them on the iDL. The Secondary lacks speed. I know I focus on Hurts more than most. It's not because he's not good. He is. It's just that contracts matter. I'll stick with hopefully he gets healthy next year for now.

@Chinatown88 2018 still doesn't feel wrong. They're good. But.
I'm biased, I'll openly admit I didn't like that giant contract Howard handed out. I don't think he's that level of QB. His running ability makes up for a lot of things and has opened things for the offense. This season all I see is the expected result of what happens when that gets taken away, due to his knee injury. He's not a pocket passer, he's never going to be one. But when literally the thing that makes him a great QB in today's game is taken away, this is the result I expected. So if your star QB is injured maybe you as a coaching staff should come up with a different game plan. I don't know if it's solely on Johnson or Nick is to blame as well but they literally don't have an identity in my opinion. It's our guys are better and we'll just have them win every rep. It's stale. The defense is in a bad state outside of the DLine. That back 7 needs an overhaul and maybe Nakobe being out hurts it a bit more than I realized. But the roster overall is not in a good spot. It really is 2018 where they want to run it back again. But everyone aged a year and especially at key positions, maybe they don't have the same juice anymore. I wasn't too hopeful coming into the season because the schedule isn't a cakewalk like last year. They've managed to show some gusto and pull off some wins to their credit. But those wins definitely masked the issues of the roster for the average fan and it makes it hard to have any semblance of a discussion with the general fandom.


TL;DR I had bad vibes and maybe it's finally coming to fruition.
 
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