This game has a number of matchups that will determine the outcome.
Ovechkin vs. Phaneuf/Weber
Get used to seeing this matchup, they will be constantly on the ice against each other, weather it be even strength, powerplay or penalty kill. If Ovechkin can be shut down, I don't think there's much doubt that Canada will win. Ovechkin is the best Russian player, Phaneuf is in my opinion, the best Canadian. I expect a physical battle whenever these guys are on the ice together. It should be an interesting matchup and very fun to watch. The winner of this battle will be anyone's best guess but will go a long way to determining the outcome.
Ovechkin vs. Crosby
The two "next one's" The two players who are supposed to dominate hockey through the next decade or two. Weather they will live up to expectations is anyones guess but in this one game, winner take all match, both will have to be at their best. This will be there last shot at winning gold at this tournament barring a longer lockout than expected. Crosby however, is still only 17 and playing in a 19 year olds tournament isn't exactly following in the footsteps of the Great One despite his six goals.
Russian Defense vs. Canadian Forwards
The Russian defense, outside of Megalinski and Belov are pretty undersized. Team Canada's forwards, on the other hand are massive for the most part. If Canada forechecks the Russian defense hard in the early going with the likes of Stewart, Getzlaf and Carter, they should stand a better chance in the later going. The cycle game of Canada has also been a huge strength. I expect them to be able to control the game along the walls in the offensive zone and create good chances either at the goalmouth or with open shots from the point.
Glass vs. Khudobin
The glaring match-up that on paper, could go any way. In my opinion, it should just come down to who is having the good night. There could be one guy who steps up, or one that chokes. Both goalies are relatively unproven in this tournament although Khudobin has faced considerably more shots than Glass. It is the game of these young men's life and it is anyones best guess as to how they will perform come Tuesday night.
Canadian Penalty Killers vs. Russian Powerplay
The Canadian penalty killers are simply outstanding. The likes of Macarthur, Fraser, Richards, and Dixon have been phenomonal in pressuring the opposing defensemen and creating several offensive chances of their own. However, they haven't faced a powerplay comparable to that of the Russians. It will be important for Canada's forwards and defensemen to get in passing lanes and clear the front of the net, and also to watch for potential backdoor opportunities.
I think that the comparison of Shirokov to Carter definitely needs to come to an end. There is no doubt that Carter is the better player. Shirokov is lighting it up this tournament, and is definitely comparable to Carter offensively, but Carter's game is so well-rounded in the defensive and checking aspects of the game, it's really not a fair comparison at all. In terms of the Bergeron-Malkin comparisons, both in my opinion are excellent players that will need to have big games Tuesday. I'd rather have Bergeron than Malkin for this game simply because he has experience of big games (NHL playoff game 7, World Championships) under his belt and he is a year older than Malkin. Don't get me wrong, Malkin is a great talent who I would take over Bergeron any day when starting a franchise, but I'd rather have the better rounded Bergeron for this one game.