Curious for how people would feel about this deadline deal: Pettersson (at 50%) and Beauvillier to Vancouver for Hoglander, Mynio and a 2025 2nd.
Mynio was a 2023 3rd rounder that's over a PPG in the WHL as a defenseman right now. Great skating OFD with not terrible size (6'1" and 175 lbs). He's not as appealing of a prospect as Elias Pettersson but he doesn't seem like a bad prospect either.
This seems like a Dubas deal of trying to "stay competitive" with adding NHL pieces with Hoglander at the expense of a bit of a middling (not terrible but middling) futures return for Pettersson. The difference is that Hoglander is only 23 rather than Bunting being 29, but it's still a similar concept.
I think we were all on board with a deal around Pettersson+2nd being decent value for a UFA. I don't see that deal being too far away from it, if it is at all. I think you hit on the debate though - would be rather have a prospect or a roster player? I don't think it makes that much of a difference to be quite honest. Hoglander asserted himself last year as a guy who will put the puck in the net and it looks like he has a decent future. That said, I don't think he makes one bit of difference when staring down the inevitable rebuild we have in front of us.
The ultimate decision to me comes down to what Dubas's plans for next year are. I cannot overstate how much I think we need to sell pieces this year and tank next year for McKenna. Rebuilds are all about getting the right player at the right time (ask Edmonton). If you can sell of Gryz, Pettersson, DOC, Beau, and maybe one of Rust/Rakell in pursuit of a mini-tank, in the hopes of getting McKenna, then I do believe there is some validity in taking Hoglander. Again, I don't think he's making a dent in the "Are they tanking or not?". But, say for discussion's sake, we DO get McKenna, you can immediately surround the kid with some good talent. This would be more in the mold of Matthews, who immediately has Marner and Nylander around him, and Bedard, where Chicago surrounds him with the rotting corpses of veteran castaways.
Now, I'm not saying that you put Hoglander with McKenna and it solves everything but at worst, he comes a solid third line depth player, and at best, he comes a third wheel on a good top 6 line. One has to think we get a top 5 pick this year so let's say we land Misa. You can put together a top 6 of:
Hoglander-McKenna-Misa
Bunting-Crosby-Rust/Rakell
Then you slowly start rebuilding the prospect pool with younger additions. Worst case you can also trade Hoglander for someone wanting an offensive upgrade.
On the other hand, if the idea is to retread into FA and the trade market to be better next year where the goal is to NOT finish bottom 3, then you may as well opt for the younger dman who you can hopefully get onto the roster when they are a little further into the rebuild. Mynio is whatever. Lottery ticket. Not unlike Cruz. Nice addition but hardly the focus. If you do take Hoglander on though, the cap is likely close enough to where you don't have to use a retention slot on Pettersson, so that could help add value to another trade. Say someone wants to add Hayes at 50% and is willing to give a 2nd to do it. The overall package in that case (from all trades) might be a tad bit higher.