I’m not well versed with how protected picks work.
Wouldn’t we want the Rangers to finish 14th this year? I see others want it to go to next year when they could end up much better than 14th. (Would bet on them being better than worse)
It's a discussion of "do we think the Rangers will be worse this year or next year?" If they retool a bit and get back to being top of the Metro, yes, we want them to finish 14th ov this year. If we think they will continue their decline, we want them to finished 13th or worse in hopes that they finish 13th or worse next year. It's honestly 50/50 for me. I don't think it's a stretch to say the NYRs are underperforming this year and are capable of more. Adding a 100pt 1C will certainly help their cause next year but also, Zibs, Kreider, Panarin, etc are all candidates to regress given their ages. And who knows how well Shesterkin can gift them wins.
There's discussion about the strength of the 2025 vs 2026 draft but I put very little stock in it to be honest. There's a lot of time left for players to have a good back half of the season to propel themselves up the 2025 charts and then plenty of time to go either way for the 2026 draft. 2025 has about 5 guys that are top notch talents, then another good 5 guys, and then it's a crap shoot. Just like 2024 was. 2026 is a bit different in that there is a TRUE golden prize at 1OV in McKenna. After that, honestly, we have similar quality players from 2-10. 2024 was considered weak but 11ov was Sam Dickenson. 11ov was Zev Buium who was a standout at the WJC.
So to put in other terms - everyone's opinion on "draft class strength" is complete and utter shit. I'd rather frame a used scrap of toilet paper and hang it on the wall versus someone's opinion on "draft class strength" because at least the used TP isn't pretending to be something it's not.
In the 13+ category this year we have the chances at Carter Bear, Malcolm Spence, and Ivan Ryabkin. I would put them in that McGroarty level of prospect meaning they are likely to be NHL player but not top tier impact players like Schaefer, Hagens, Martone, or Misa. I don't think we have enough info on next year's crop to start picking primarily because we have no idea where the Rags pick will be if it is indeed transferred to 2026. It would be unfortunate if we get 14th ov this year but the Rags slide next year and they pick 10ov or below. But that said, a bird in the hand is worth in the bush so right now, I would be fine getting any of the three guys I mentioned and moving forward.
There's still a potential for another deal including a first if we make a similar-ish move with Karlsson.
Most people thought he'd bring back a 3rd and he ended up bringing back a recently drafted 3rd rounder that the Penguins liked. I think he ended up pretty much where most people expected.
Yeah the deal was pretty much exactly what we figured a Petts+DOC value would be with the only difference being retention vs taking on cap dumps. My only criticism is that I would rather have retained vs taking on the cap. UNLESS Dubas truly plans on using that retention spot this year. If it's Gryz @50% for a 3rd, I'm going to be pissed he opted to taking on Des and Heinen. That will the pre-qualifier that I have no idea if the 1st was on the table if Dubas wasn't willing to take back the players, which honestly, could very well be the case. JR and Alvin cleared a ton of space in the two deals which (given the dumps) may very well have taken a potential 14th OV pick to do.
Yeah, some people's memories are a little foggy. Heinen was not a Sully favorite.
I'm not a big fan of Heinen, but if it's a choice between Heinen and O'Connor, I take Heinen 100 times out of 100.
I don't. The production is a wash but DOC is 1000% a faster and better forechecker and PK'er. If given the choice, I take DOC 100 times out of 100. But I mean really, we're talking a 2005 Camry vs a 2005 Altima here so whatever.