I think MH has found a way to almost eliminate his risk and get enough breathing room to make some good money at the end of 6 years. That is some stellar negotiating...
First off, he is only paying $70 million for the team, with the $100 million parking and naming rights thing from the COG. If he can expand only a small part of the fan base and reduce his losses to between $10 million to $15 million a year (which, in my opinion is easily doable), he could have between $10 million to $35 million in his pocket after the six years.
With his max outlay at between $35-$60 million after 6 years (if he can reduce the losses as above), his upside is huge, and he certainly won't lose any money, if he decides to firesale the asset.
However, if I were a Coyotes fan, I definitely would not be celebrating yet. This deal is manna from heaven for Goldwater. Just re-read Turken v. Phoenix, and the similarities are striking.
At the very least, Goldwater has the opportunity to file suit in court and delay this thing indefinitely - looking at this objectively, there are enough merits to the case where it will go the distance.
One clause stuck out for me in re-reading the case (page 20):
In contrast, our Gift Clause
jurisprudence quite appropriately focuses on adequacy of
consideration because paying far too much for something
effectively creates a subsidy from the public to the seller.
See Wistuber, 141 Ariz. at 349-50, 687 P.2d at 357-58; Kromko,
149 Ariz. at 321-22, 718 P.2d at 480-81.
When the court in Turken says paying $97.5 million for parking spaces is too much, I find it difficult to see the following as "fair consideration":
1) naming rights and parking lot rights for $100 million, especially when naming rights for arenas are going for about $1 million per year on average (here is a link to what the naming rights are going for across the U.S.
http://espn.go.com/sportsbusiness/s/stadiumnames.html)
2)management contract for $17.5 million for an arena that doesn't even generate that much rental income in a year.
This thing is far from over...