ReggieDunlop68
hey hanrahan!
Not to be snide, but I was completely jammed up today and somehow this thread advanced like 5 pages. Did anyone say anything new?
It's the Tower of Babel.
Not to be snide, but I was completely jammed up today and somehow this thread advanced like 5 pages. Did anyone say anything new?
Again, how are you going to tell me I'm missing nuance and then tell me the exact point I've acknowledged repeatedly? I literally spoke repeatedly about signing one or TWO of these big FA's...just later
Not to be snide, but I was completely jammed up today and somehow this thread advanced like 5 pages. Did anyone say anything new?
No. Same shit, different dayNot to be snide, but I was completely jammed up today and somehow this thread advanced like 5 pages. Did anyone say anything new?
Are you really thinking not one single top talent will be a FA within the next 3 or 4 off seasons? When has there ever been a lack of FA talent to go on for that long?This isn't ten years ago--you can't really count on later. There are only two big names in free agency this year and the only reason Karlsson is one of them is he's a physical wreck. I don't foresee a free agent worth breaking the bank over the next couple years. The Devils I expect will move heaven and earth to sign Hall and that will take the life out of the 'big' ufa's next year and there ain't anyone the year after--a 35 year old Ovechkin is the premier player now. After Ovie is Landeskog if he even makes it to free agency and I'd guess he won't and then comes a real drop off.
Could I see the Rangers signing Brendan Gallagher to a 6 year $7 mil per contract a couple years from now? They might feel they have to be able to reach the cap floor. Maybe it won't be that bad they'll pay $6.5 for 5 years of Phillip Danault or Brandon Saad instead. But that's the kind of free agency we're seeing more frequently anymore. 2nd/3rd liners--2nd/3rd pairings and guys in their mid-30's.
Timing is a nice thing but it's not always a shrewd thing. Shrewd is taking advantage of real opportunities when they present themselves.
Are you really thinking not one single top talent will be a FA within the next 3 or 4 off seasons? When has there ever been a lack of FA talent to go on for that long?
Besides Panarin will be at the same 2nd line level you mentioned 3 or 4 seasons from now...except he'll most likely be making more money and he'll be older than any of the names you mentioned (or whoever their comparable will be as things unfold over the next 3 or 4 seasons.)
Panarin does not help us now. He does not help us next year. The kind of help we need from a guy like Panarin is help winning a cup. This team cannot compete for a cup this year or next year.
He helps us 2 or 3 seasons from now. But it's very possible that by then he's too old which makes signing him pointless. He'd have 4 or 5 more seasons to go too.
This isn't ten years ago--you can't really count on later. There are only two big names in free agency this year and the only reason Karlsson is one of them is he's a physical wreck. I don't foresee a free agent worth breaking the bank over the next couple years. The Devils I expect will move heaven and earth to sign Hall and that will take the life out of the 'big' ufa's next year and there ain't anyone the year after--a 35 year old Ovechkin is the premier player now. After Ovie is Landeskog if he even makes it to free agency and I'd guess he won't and then comes a real drop off.
Could I see the Rangers signing Brendan Gallagher to a 6 year $7 mil per contract a couple years from now? They might feel they have to be able to reach the cap floor. Maybe it won't be that bad they'll pay $6.5 for 5 years of Phillip Danault or Brandon Saad instead. But that's the kind of free agency we're seeing more frequently anymore. 2nd/3rd liners--2nd/3rd pairings and guys in their mid-30's.
Timing is a nice thing but it's not always a shrewd thing. Shrewd is taking advantage of real opportunities when they present themselves.
This is going to be a repetitive post because I think it warrants it.
Rebuild and Panarin are not simultaneously possible.
I understand why fans want the Breadman. Who wouldn't ? He oozes skill, speed and is a top line player.
Big free agent signings are NOT part of a rebuilding program which NY has been undergoing for less than 2 seasons.
So don't fool yourself into thinking signing Karlsson, Panarin or both has ANYTHING to do with a rebuild.
This kind of move is about winning now.
Winning now has very little to do with rebuilding.
Its fine to believe NY is 1 or 2 top players away from competing. I love the enthusiasm.
But arguing that its part of a rebuild is fools gold.
Having followed the team since 79 its easy to see the laundry list of busts NY has brought in via UFA.
Even Joe Sakic signed NY's offer sheet before Colorado matched it.
Gorton & Davidson are both on record saying they are all in for a rebuild.
Lets hope they stick to their plan and let the big guns sign elsewhere.
I'm fine with NY being a poor team next season. As long as they are competitive and improve over the course of 80 plus games.
However things turn out we all agree that the blueshirts are the best team in the league and that we are the greatest fans as well.
LGR
Are you really thinking not one single top talent will be a FA within the next 3 or 4 off seasons? When has there ever been a lack of FA talent to go on for that long?
Besides Panarin will be at the same 2nd line level you mentioned 3 or 4 seasons from now...except he'll most likely be making more money and he'll be older than any of the names you mentioned (or whoever their comparable will be as things unfold over the next 3 or 4 seasons.)
Panarin does not help us now. He does not help us next year. The kind of help we need from a guy like Panarin is help winning a cup. This team cannot compete for a cup this year or next year.
He helps us 2 or 3 seasons from now. But it's very possible that by then he's too old which makes signing him pointless. He'd have 4 or 5 more seasons to go too.
So drafting big becomes even more important long term as the UFA market dries up due to locking in players long term?
Bobby Holik
Scott Gomez which I'll grant got the team McDonagh
Wade Redden
Chris Drury
Bruce Driver
Valerie Kamensky
Guy Lafleur
plenty more too
The issue in the dark ages was that they tried to build the team ENTIRELY through FA, not that they signed any FA's. They were mediocre teams that traded 1st rounders like pez and never developed much on the farm. When they DID luck into a real player (like Savard) they didn't realize it. There's a difference between assembling a full lineup of mercenaries and signing one guy to help the team be competitive while the kids are developing.
Panarin plays the weakest position depth wise in the entire depth chart (LW), he wouldn't be blocking anybody, I've already explained why his cap hit wouldn't be an issue, and how his presence can help with the development curve of the rest of the team. Literally, the only reason to NOT want him is because you want the team to suck and get a top 5 pick, but even if the team does finish in the bottom 5 (not done since the O6 era), the odds are far better that they fall out of that range in the lottery.
Huge difference between this and the 90s/00s.
We did the patchwork from 2007-2016
No one knows. No one knows when any player will slow down. That would involve future seeing powers no person has. What you DO have is a sample size of thousands of NHL players, players who are comparable to panarin in almost every conceivable way. They slow down. This is what happens. If you want to take the riusk that he's the ultra rare case of a guy who won't then that's you. However it is a massive, blind risk you are willing tot ake. It is not a logical, rational or smart one. There's also no reason to take it. A comparable player will be available, like they always are, sometime in the next 3 or 4 years. That is when we will actually need a Panarin in his prime.Who knows if Panarin would start to slow down in his early 30's? .
Irrelevant. We don't know his regimen. We also don't have any sign that players are playing at an elite level well into their mid 30s now more than they ever have before. If there is evidence then I'd be open to see it of course and I might even revise my thoughts.Also training and conditioning techniques these days are much more advanced than in the past.
This is also irrelevant. it is not about him becoming zero. Im going to assume you were using hyperbole but that you meant to say what it is really about.I just don't see Panarin if we signed him, which by the way is obviously no sure thing and some would say is likely not going to happen, would all of a sudden fall off a cliff and pull a Milan Lucic or a Bobby Holik and become a zero all of a sudden.
Maybe I'm on an island here on this one but Bread Man would be the kind of risk I'd go for and one which would not not hurt the rebuild at all. I guess we'll agree to disagree which is fine.
It's about him becoming an albatross early or in the middle of a massive contract, at the exact time when we actually need him to be in his prime. It's also about him hurting the rebuild by making us win games next year and the year after, causing us to finish way higher than we should. There is no benefit. None. it is all risk. Minimal likelihood of reward
So you're willing to risk signing Panarin on the chance he'll be the 1 in a million player who lasts at an elite level into his mid 30s but you won't risk the getting a top FA in 3 or 4 years even though that happens almost every year? I just don't get why. Other than shortsightedness and impatienceIt's possible. Are you really thinking if there is that the Rangers will be the team he signs with? I for one by the way am not as convinced about the Rangers exceptionalism as a free agent destination.
As far as what level Panarin will be 4 years from now you're guessing his play will drop as I'm guessing it won't. Last year was his most productive ever and he's a player with excellent skills but the thing that makes them exceptional is an ability to understand where everywhere on the ice and see plays developing before they actually happen. He's a throwback who depends very much on his hockey IQ to create offense. Gretzky had a similar quality. But maybe he will drop off. I wouldn't count on it until it actually happens though--the way he's trending now is towards getting better.
I will say this you cannot depend on free agency offering you up a stud in any given year. There are fewer and fewer and farther between. That leaves trades but to get a great player means giving up a lot in return and more often than not--that a lot comes in draft picks and prospects. You can keep a team humming for a while that way but eventually when your window closes it's start from scratch again--that happened to the Rangers and is in process of happening to the Penguins and Capitals now. The great thing about free agency when there is an elite player out there you can get him without giving up other assets to get him. Most teams in this day and age have come to a reckoning with that though. That's why when they have a great young player they lock him up as soon as they can.
Yeah...the way I look at it is where would you rather be in 3 years when you're ready to compete...So you're willing to risk signing Panarin on the chance he'll be the 1 in a million player who lasts at an elite level into his mid 30s but you won't risk the getting a top FA in 3 or 4 years even though that happens almost every year? I just don't get why. Other than shortsightedness and impatience
Byfield scenario ALL DAY EVERY DAY and it's not even close.Yeah...the way I look at it is where would you rather be in 3 years when you're ready to compete...
Artemi panarin, the 15th of pick in 2020 and the 18th of pick in 2021
Or
Just hypothetically...
Quinton byfield, the 7thoa pick in 2021 and 11m in cap space to go sign or trade for any big ticket player you want?
Just because something is true for a small sample size (this years scf) doesn’t mean it holds true in a larger sample size (last 10)