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Ovechkin is now halfway to Gretzky!
- Thread starter Mulletman
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I'd say he needs 9 seasons after this one. If he gets 47 this season, it leaves him 240 goals behind and that's 26.67 goals/season.
So during this 9 seasons span he should score
First 3 seasons: 115 goals (38.33 goals average)
Next 3 seasons: 75 goals (25.00 goals average)
Last 3 seasons: 50 goals (16.67 goals average)
He might be able to score more but I think his role will be smaller (less ice time, PP specialist) when he starts getting older (in 4-5 years).
Imho those numbers seem totally plausible and if there won't be lockouts, he stays healthy and wants to play in NHL 9 more years, there is a chance. Selänne scored 26 goals in 82 games (2011-2012) when he was 41 years old. Ovie will be 41 when season 2026-2027 starts and that's the season number 8 of those listed 9 seasons.
I hope he stays for as long as possible in the NHL. Even if he just plays his contract, he was an absolute monster to watch, but i selfishly want to see him eclipse 800 and challenge #99
Thenameless
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There might be an outside possibility for goals (season or career) if the game ever becomes wide open again some day (guys like Bossy, both Hulls, and Lemieux might have been able to match season/career goal scoring totals with slightly better luck), but it's his assists and points (season and career records) that I think are nearly unbreakable. How many scoring titles did he win on assists alone? I remember hockey pools where his goals and assists had to be split up, whereas with everyone else you just took their point totals. 163 assists in his best season, and 1,963 assists over his career seem to be near impossible tasks going forward. After Gretzky and Lemieux, I think Steve Yzerman has the highest season point total with 155, and again, Gretzky once had 163 assists in a season - just staggering.
SouthGeorge
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Fazkovsky
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Lol at people saying he will decline badly
He is still basically at the top of the league
He is still basically at the top of the league
Foots
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SouthGeorge
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I mean seriously only half way and his career is almost over. There's no chance.
Foots
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When you have more assists than the next closest guy has points I'd say he wins forever. Crazy innit?
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That was almost 4 years ago.
Highly doubt he would just hang in there for multiple seasons being offensively ineffective scoring some lucky goals here and there just to break that record. One or two seasons in the end maybe if he's close. That being said he's a physical freak and I don't see that shot falling off so much he couldn't score goals on the regular if he keeps motivated.
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filinski77
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Very conservative imo, but I see your point. I look at a guy like Marleau, who scored 25, 27, and 27 goals from age 36-38. Ovi is twice the goalscorer that Marleau is, so if he stays in shape, I see no reason to think he couldn't score 30 a year at those ages.
Dondini
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I just have a feeling that ovy is going to be a 40 goal scorer until he’s 36-37. It’s funny how many people laughed at the idea of Ovechkin beating Gretzkys goal record even just 2-3 years ago.
Nobody thought ovy would be a 50 goal scorer at the age of 33 but it appears he’s not slowing down yet.
He has a real shot at breaking 894 and that feels amazing to say in this era. For me tho if he passes 801 goals I will give him the greatest goal scorer title.
For fun
Age 33- 53 goals (660)
Age 34- 47 goals (707))
Age 35- 44goals ( 751
Age 36- 41goals (792)
Age 37- 20 goals (812) injury
Age 38- 32 goals (844)
Age 39- 27 goals (871)
Age 40- 24goals (895)
His aged 33-36 year old seasons are so important in staying healthy. If he does that and average over 40 goals in that stretch he will stick around to try and break the record
He’s got his cup. He never has to do anything again in the nhl to prove anything. I’d imagine he’s feeling as loose and happy as he’s ever have in his life.
Nobody thought ovy would be a 50 goal scorer at the age of 33 but it appears he’s not slowing down yet.
He has a real shot at breaking 894 and that feels amazing to say in this era. For me tho if he passes 801 goals I will give him the greatest goal scorer title.
For fun
Age 33- 53 goals (660)
Age 34- 47 goals (707))
Age 35- 44goals ( 751
Age 36- 41goals (792)
Age 37- 20 goals (812) injury
Age 38- 32 goals (844)
Age 39- 27 goals (871)
Age 40- 24goals (895)
His aged 33-36 year old seasons are so important in staying healthy. If he does that and average over 40 goals in that stretch he will stick around to try and break the record
He’s got his cup. He never has to do anything again in the nhl to prove anything. I’d imagine he’s feeling as loose and happy as he’s ever have in his life.
I was a believer that Ovie would decline quickly. Mostly based on his style of play, and the idea that eventually all his tricks would be figured out. What else is there, right? Wrong. He adapted his style and his overall game. And started taking better care of himself. I saw him live a couple of times this year, and he is still a lethal weapon.
That’s the way I feel. If Marleau can put up 25-30 goals at 38-39. Ovechkin should be fine to put up around 40. He will likely decline on ES but he will continue to be a beast on the PP.
He may not get there but he’s got the best chance to do it.
Ovechkin is the only player that I don’t mind to score against my team and boy it feels like I’ve seen alot of Ovechkin goals against the Habs.
I would love for him to break that record. It would be a huge deal for Russian hockey.
I would love for him to break that record. It would be a huge deal for Russian hockey.
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third man in
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Barring a significant injury, I see Ovi potting right around 50 for the next couple of years. Especially with the uptick in league wide scoring this year. Guy is a lock for 800+.
Paxton Fettel
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Numbers are just that, numbers. He will go down as the greatest goal scorer of all time no matter what at this point.
Dondini
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I don’t think so if his career ended today.
He’s got the amount of scoring titles but I think he still needs the raw totals. See in my opinion Lemieux is the greatest goal scorer of all time. He had 690 goals in 915 games. If he plays 1487 games like Gretzky he scores 1000 goals hands down. But he didn’t and I respect people’s opinions that Lemieux is not the greatest goal scorer because of his lack of raw totals.
Ovechkin needs 802 goals
King Mapes
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Best post in the thread. He's already over 600. Thinking he wouldn't get 150 goals in 10ish years is crazy. 3.5 years later...
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