If the 67s were to make a push this year (which I think they should), I really hope Boyd learned some lessons from last season's playoffs and prioritizes size and physicality when filling he open OA spots and any other needs.
A centre is a must-have to right-size the lineup and get everyone into their proper positions and roles. We're constantly needing to move wingers into the centre position and its just not optimal from any perspective (first Pinelli, then Barlas, now Foster). A better centre, with all due respect to Lawrence, would get more of out of Stonehouse too. Acquiring a good top-6 centre would be a big win.
In addition to a centre of some sort (call him an OA), Ottawa (almost desperately) needs a power forward type winger than can add some size and nastiness to the top-6. Pinelli has a good amount of push back, Stonehouse too, but neither player is what you would call intimidating and I find Ottawa is on the losing side of physical play almost every game. Doesn't necessarily need to be a Boucher-level presence, just someone that can clear some space for Gardiner/Pinelli/Stonehouse to operate, bump guys like Dever down to the bottom-6, finish offensively, and stick up for his teammates.
I'm interested to see what Cameron does with Sirman when he returns. I think Smyth is being showcased, which makes sense if the plan is for Sirman to play defense upon his return. Smyth is a good player/teammate but won't garner a whole lot in a trade - maybe a later round draft pick. Even with a healthy Sirman (and no Smyth), the defense still requires an upgrade in the top-4. Ewles gets absolutely rocked at least once a period and having a more experienced d-man back there would take some pressure off him to play top-4 minutes, as imo he's just not there yet.
I would have to imagine that Donoso has increased his relative trade value over the past few weeks. Big credit to him. If he's traded, as we all expect him to be, that'll open up another OA spot for us. MacKenzie will keep this team in every game and it feels like the right season to make a push. The competitive environment next season is shaping up to be unfavourable for Ottawa.
A rebuild/retool would be very quick with some subset of Pinelli, Gardiner, Foster, Mayich, Gerrior, and maybe even MacKenzie potentially being put on the market at some point next year.
As usual, excellent assessment.
The only thing I would add is I don’t think we need a top 4. I think we need a top pairing D-Man. I think Mayer is the guy.
Second, I agree about centre but I also feel that Lawrence may be a target for upgrade too. He’s a good filler type guy but if they are truly trying to make a run, that is a position I would look at as well.
We could easily empty our picks cabinet this year and replace them next year very easily. Pinelli and Gardiner alone would likey replace at least 4 2nds and 4 3rds between them. If Pinelli continues at his current pace and scores 50, then he starts entering the category of also getting an ‘08 1st rounder in a trade package. We’d then have three players in the first round of the 2024 draft.
That doesn’t include the three OA’s and Foster That could all be made available.
The issue I see is if Boyd has said they want to be competitive every year, he isn’t likely going to do more than nibble on the fringes this season. Regardless of the strength of opposition next year, Ottawa can and would return a very strong team. I have a feeling this is going to shape up as maybe one or two OA acquisitions and that is it. Neither of those acquisitions would be considered top of the OA pile either. I don‘t see us getting Mayer. Maybe they can snag someone like Dubois? I actually think he’d be a very good fit. Although, I think he should replace Lawrence to be honest. Then still add another higher profile OA Centre but I digress…
The reality is this team is not well balanced. A lot of the same types of players. Smallish with some speed. We shouldn’t look at the roster from the perspective of how we can fit our current players into it. We need to look at where the gaps are that prevent us from being a true contender. Then we need to sacrifice the bodies that currently are occupying those gaps and acquire the ones we need to fill the gaps. If Stonehouse, Pinelli, Foster and Gerrior are nailing down 4 of the 6 winger spots in the top three lines, what do you do if you want to add some size on the wings? Assuming you acquire a winger, that means only one of Barlas, Dever, Korbler or Kelly can play in a top 9 role. You can’t look at the roster and say, “Well, what would we do with Dever? He can’t play the 4th line.” Or, “How do we develop Kelly as a 4th line winger?” Or, “Why would Korbler stay in a 4th line role?” All of those questions are inconsequential. The push and purge would need to happen.
The same goes for the defence. If we acquire a top pairing D-Man, we are reasnably certain wha the top 4 would look like. Who plays 12 minutes per game on the 3rd pairing is inconsequential to development or advancement. On top of that, I think adding a hulking 19 year old stay at home type for the 3rd pairing may be required as well. I point to a player like Leskovar as a good example Of the type of player that would be very welcomed in that role. That would push another guy off the roster.
These are all sacrifices I don’t see Boyd prepared to make. This is why I think it is fun to talk about certain combinations and strategies but at the end of the day, I don’t feel we have the type of fGM willing to make the types of moves required to truly compete as a Championship playoff contender. No disrespect meant to Boyd. Kilrea was the exact same way and he is in the Hockey Hall of Fame. I just think our expectations don’t mesh with the current strategies employed by our management group.