Really there is only one way for Marrello and Mews to get regular ice time and that is to prove that they deserve it more than the returning players.
I agree there s going to have to be a trade made. Possibly out of camp. It is going to depend on what teams like North Bay and Hamilton decide they are doing this year. Are they taking a step back to retool if so then there are some good players available maybe a couple of D and a draft choice for a top center.
Again training camp is going to be interesting. A lot of players are going to be fighting for a couple of spots.
If I was a D on this team and wanted to stay here I would definitely be doing a lot of working out and ice time right now.
How do you see this all unfolding on the back end?
Sawyer is out to start the season. It is unlikely he will be ready. Earlier indications had him out through end of October. Not good news for him but I think this will allow the 67’s a little flexibility.
I like Smyth. He brings some size to the back end. However, as I mentioned previously, he probably has already reached his true ceiling. No matter what happens, he is probably going to stay as the 6/7 guy in and out of th lineup depending on the opponent. So, for the sake of this, let’s look at him as #7.
So, to start the season, we have 6 open spots.
Matier, Costantini, Gill-Shane, Mayich, and Sirman have all proven they are capable OHL D-Men. Other than Costantini, they all have a higher ceiling than their past performances.
That leaves one open spot and the smart $$$ is probably on Mews to snag that last spot.
Additionally, if this team is seriously looking at a long playoff run, it is unlikely they will nail down two 16 year olds in the starting six so it is unlikely we see both Marrelli and Mews on the same lineup entering the playoffs.
Mews would get that last spot now but what about when Sawyer returns? You can’t have a decent 19 year old D-Man eating popcorn in the press box. He’s going to play. Someone at that point has to be removed from the starting six.
So, there are a couple ways to look at it. We could see:
1> Mews shifts to Forward as a Rookie and plays the point on the PP.
2> Sirman or Mayich is traded for a couple 2nds.
3> Marrelli is used as a trade chip at the deadline.
4> Sawyer is moved within a week or two of returning from injury.
If they did absolutely nothing, what does the defence look like next year?
Sawyer (OA) - GillShane (OA)
Mayich - Mews
Sirman
Marrelli
Smyth
Plus we have Ewles that could be plugged into this equation mostly because he is a righty. So, in light of this, we do have roster depth next season as well which negates the necessity to retain bodies.
NOTE: TJ and Donoso are the only other likely OA candidates so it is possible that both Sawyer and GillShane could return.
My prediction is Sawyer is traded shortly after he returns from injury. They may even extend his rehab etc. We have a lot of lefty D-Men on the depth chart and don’t need him to return as an OA next year. That frees up an additional OA spot to use as necessary. I think you’d get a decent return for him and it would also likely include a conditional 3rd rounder for him returning as an OA. So, a 2nd and conditional 3rd is a possibility in my mind. I think that is better overall value than two 2nds for either of Sirman or Mayich.
If Mews impresses straight out of camp, I know it sounds crazy but we could see him and Matier together as a pairing. I know I said he’d possibly be a forward this year but the more I look at it, the more I think Smyth is the spare part #7 and Sawyer is gone.
Matier - Mews
Mayich - Costantini
Sirman - GillShane
Marrelli - Smyth
I think they keep Ewles in the system and he may play as an 18 year old next year with potential spot duty this year.
That’s my prediction. Unless other moves are made that alter this, that is what I am thinking will be the case.
The NB Battalion will not willingly take a step back to re-tool. The 4th line looks to be comprised of ‘05 - 1st & 2nd picks along with 1st from the past draft or an 18 yr old. But to contend, they will have to be buyers because of how good Barrie, Missasauga, Peterborough, Niagara, and possibly Ottawa can be this season.
Due to the lack of player movement during the cancelled season and so many extra 2-4 picks used and/or still held by NB, Niagara, Ottawa, Barrie, Sudbury over the past 3-4 years, the eastern conference should be pretty loaded for a couple of seasons.
Imo, if the ‘67s intend to contend this season, they will need Boucher and Kasper and move a top pick from the ‘05 or ‘06 classes.
I don’t see North Bay as a seller. I don’t think I see them as a buyer either. I think they will retool a little and try to fit into that 4th seed spot and home ice.
But, just because they aren’t likely to bring in a marquis player, they will still bring in solid depth at a cheaper price. I think the net benefit of doing that would be beneficial enough to carry them. It is possible that Ottawa takes the exact same approach. No marquis players but a piece of two that strategically fill their needs.