You could be right but I think it may actually have the opposite effect. I think teams like the Yankees and Dodgers will still be the only ones bringing in the real stars with the big contracts and those lower-tier teams would simply be vulturing players that would otherwise sign with the Cardinals, Blue Jays, Astros, Giants, etc. making the league even less competitive with the biggets market teams.
Perhaps, but I don’t think missing out on the odd mid-tier FA is going to be a damaging blow to a team like the Cards or Giants. I think the biggest thing a cap floor would do would incentivize the cheapskate teams to sign their own homegrown players rather than auctioning them off for 5 prospects in the hopes one of them hits. I agree the cap or not, the biggest free agents are going to end up with the same 5 teams they already go to as a matter of routine, though.
projection system on player performance. essentially it is a predicted WAR
These don't project a 75 win team, if that's what you're trying to claim.
75wins
they are not sniffing 90 winsThese don't project a 75 win team, if that's what you're trying to claim.
"So what does it all add up to? ZiPS sees the Cardinals as having patched up enough of their immediate problems to return to winning 85-90 games, depending on what, if anything, the rest of the NL Central does this winter. Like most teams that have a suddenly horrific season, the Cardinals have become underrated in the public eye, and the hastily reassembled rotation, coupled with a solid bullpen and an above-average offensive core, could very well take one of baseball’s weakest divisions."
2024 ZiPS Projections: St. Louis Cardinals
Will the Cardinals be able to reclaim their status as baseball’s best Good Enough team?blogs.fangraphs.com
He couldn’t even hack it the second tier Japanese league. He’s not making anyone a contender. He’s depth at best.
