Carolinas Identity*
I'm a bad troll...
I really like Hanzal, but he would be redundant on this team I think. Ideally would like to make a push for a real 1C
UFA//Trade
Staal
Rask
McClemment
UFA//Trade
Staal
Rask
McClemment
I really like Hanzal, but he would be redundant on this team I think. Ideally would like to make a push for a real 1C
UFA//Trade
Staal
Rask
McClemment
Given that Dahlbeck is arbitration-eligible, I don't think a simple qualifying offer would suffice. He'd actually have to accept it and sign a contract. Regular RFAs technically have to be under contract for the 17-18 season, so I don't know if a qualifying offer does it alone. It might be a distinction without a difference either way. But because arbitration eligible RFAs have that option, I don't know how the league would look at their contract status.
I like the idea of bringing back Stalberg. I also think that Wallmark is the odds on favorite for the 4C role. Fleury likely floats up to the bottom pairing.
But I just don't know about protecting Stemper....there are times when I really liked him and if he was exposed and taken, we'd have to find another 40-45 point guy in addition to a top line scoring threat. I've said it before, I don't think Peters wants 4 rookies starting on next year's team. I doubt he even wants 3.
When you look at the line-up above, it brings into clarity our challenges. The free agent market is pretty weak and guys like Oshie are going to get paid.
In the end I don't want to depend on PDG/McGinn to take the next step scoring-wise (even though I think they can). Nor do I want to depend on a rookie coming in and potting 20 goals on his way to 50+ points. My guess is that Ronnie is equally uncomfortable with that scenario. If Stempniak goes he will need to bring in 80-90 points across a couple of guys. That's a tall order in this environment.
I think Stempniak was brought in specifically to be expansion fodder (as well as secondary scoring). He's 34 and will be 35 next Feb. I protect the youth and bite the bullet hunting for that extra scoring.
IF we expose him and he's taken I think:
Skinner - Rask - (UFA)
Aho - J Staal - Lindholm
(Rookie) - (UFA) - Teravainen
Nordy - (Wallmark/UFA) - PDG/McGinn
PDG/McGinn
Slavin - Pesce
Hanifin - Faulk
Fleury - (UFA)
Dahlbeck
If GMRF goes the UFA route, I think Jagr would be a good target. The Canes need better depth; he can still put up 2nd line numbers. The team needs to get bigger up front; Jagr is still hard to knock off the puck. The organization has shied away from giving out regrettable contracts to free agents in recent years; Jagr will most likely get 1-year of term on the open market. Additionally, Jagr has a connection with GMRF, and he would bring leadership and winning experience to a young locker room.
I know we likely won't get a better option, but I really don't like seeing Rask as our top C. Heck, he was relegated to 3C quite often at the end of the season, but I digress. I know any UFAs Francis brings in will be of the Stempniak, Versteeg, Dahlbeck, Tennyson, Stalberg variety. Will be interesting to hear what Francis says tomorrow, but I didn't really like his "don't need any major moves, just a few tweaks" comment the other night.
Career and/or better than expected seasons: Skinner, Aho, Slavin, Lindholm, Teravainen. About what we'd expect: Staal, Stempniak, Rask, Faulk, Pesce, Hanifin. No doubt guys like Aho, Lindholm TT, Pesce, Hanifin can improve on what they've done, but the team really had no guys that had off years and the team had no major injuries. IMO, this team is more than a "tweak" away from the playoffs.
Neither do I, but we're basically competent goaltending away from being a playoff team as is if we just add some more competent players to go with it, not even necessarily first liners.
Thing is I don't seeSergio GarciaMatt Duchene as a #1 anymore either, or at least he certainly wasn't playing anywhere near that this year especially after the rumors surfaced, and he's rumored to be the only one really in consideration for being a #1 on the market. To me he hasn't been a #1 caliber guy for 3 years (may have been a low end one in 15-16) and with his contract he's nowhere near worth what the Avs fans want as a return anyway, though looking at their system they'd actually probably be better off doing a quality for quantity trade if they get the #1 or ESPECIALLY if they get the #2 pick.
Johnson (also rumored to be on the market) really crashed down to earth and DEFINITELY isn't one IMHO.
So shy of something strange like a Hanifin for Reinhart swap to get a potential #1C, just not seeing it.
Florida fans have said his skating has really tailed off now. Not sure if that fits with how the Canes play, as that isn't changing in the next year.
The Preds re-signed Irwin for expansion draft purposes for 650k and he's better than Tennyson. Canucks signed Megna for 675k for the expansion draft as well.My only thought was for expansion draft purposes.
Though we can just qualify Dahlbeck lol
I think he wants internal candidates for both the third pairing and "20 goal scorer" spots. Im curious about the development of Fleury and Mckeown. They didn't get called up which makes you curious how much they believe those two are third pairing guys next season, though they were making the playoff run and maybe thought there was as much value in leaving them there? I'm guessing he expects at least one of them competing for the 5-6 spots.
I have to add I don't get any negativity people have for Nordy or Ryan. Nordy was a beast. He's our fastest player, our best forechecker and he works like he's being whipped. He creates chances out of nothing, and he together with Stalberg was really fun to watch. I don't care if he gets knocked over easily and that he doesn't finish much. He's becoming a high end fourth liner that any team would love to have. Peters loves him, the guy does exactly what he's asked to do. I'm not sure what's not to like here. We have a team that had a lot of holes in our roster and this guy has taken one and made it his own. Just because it isn't one of the higher spots is no reason to not like the guy, all the spots need to be filled.
Which brings me to Ryan. So bipolar around here about the guy. When he was hot he was the steal of the century and top 9 or 6 option for people around here, now everyone can't wait to see him gone. Reminded me of the Faulk impeding Norris trophy era when he was hot. This guy came from out of nowhere to put up 11-18-29 in 67 games at 30, while playing a skill game and creating chances frequently. It's not his fault Peters played him on the top line, Rask faltered and Ryan showed chemistry so it made sense. Why are people upset that he hasn't solidified a top 6 role? You need quality top 9 guys, and we were a much higher skilled team this year thanks in part to the spare part roles being filled by skill players like this guy. He can hold the puck, play with it in traffic, and find the open guy. He passes too much when he should go to net and he's small. He's good enough to play on this team and brings a much higher rate of play than the players he replaces from years past. If he gets a good offer elsewhere and leaves, good for him but I won't complain about him coming back. He helped us this year. Why people are disappointed, again I have no idea.
I think the only potential "major" deal we will see is for goalie. I'm not sure that when RF says "third pairing" defenseman that he means anything different than JR would've meant. Bargain bin hunting that hopefully in an expansion draft year yields a decent guy who will be here at least a couple of years. I think RF sees us as one goalie away from the playoffs, and based off the season we just had it's hard to argue against that.I'd like to add something sexy but that would strain the budget and as long as PK handles the wallet RF is fighting the same battle there that JR was. RF knows he has one season left of three ELC's on the back end, and at least two of those guys are gonna get very well paid next summer which will change our pay structure. In that setting I don't know how big a forward we are capable of adding.
Not taking a drastically different view than you...but I would say this team needs more than just a better goalie to be a legit playoff team.