From just a brief look at last years schedule I counted 18 one goal loss games. I'm gonna go out on a limb here and say with the improved defense we have now we won't be seeing that number again. The caps are a playoff team right now. With how Holtby and Kuzy do I think that this team can be dangerous. Off that if we can get Green scoring, Nicky scoring, someone on the second line scoring this team is a Stanley Cup team in my mind
So I got bored and checked out this out...
I show we had 24 one-goal games that we lost last season. That puts us T-4th in the league - and we were 10th in the league in points per one-goal game losses.
On the win side, we had 21 one-goal games - putting us at T-10th in the league. We were 15th in points per one-goal game wins.
Overall, we were 4th in the league in one-goal games played, and were in the top half of points earned per game for both wins and losses. Yes, if those losses were wins we would have been in great shape, but I don't think we can count on being in so many three point games this year.
Statistically, we were pretty lucky to come away with as many points as we did. Throwing averages out the window for a second, we came out with 56 points from one-goal games, putting us 8th in the league when we were 17th in total points. We overachieved because of a flawed points system.
I hobbled these stats together so I encourage someone to double-check me.