Try being a sixers fan. They might have to give away their (in this particular lottery case) 7th entirelyI wouldn’t be too surprised if he goes in the 6-10 range though, especially if teams feel the talent falls off after the ~6th spot. Every team would like a player like him, and guys with 1st round talent who have a decent chance of playing center in the NHL go much higher than expected. Especially if they “play the game the right way” with Danielson and Luchanko as recent examples; I forget how guys like Kasper, Sillinger, Geekie were viewed
20% chance of drafting 1st or 2nd
60% chance of drafting 4th or 5th
20% chance of drafting 6th
I’d be lying if I said I wasn’t nervous.
Might be the worst Philly sports season, along with Flyers year with the Kane/JVR draft, in regards to results versus expectationsTry being a sixers fan. They might have to give away their (in this particular lottery case) 7th entirely
ExactlyMight be the worst Philly sports season, along with Flyers year with the Kane/JVR draft, in regards to results versus expectations
The way things have gone they probably lose the pick lol. When it rains it pours
Yea if we get pushed back to 6 you are really hoping someone like Frondell slides or are happy with Desnoyer if the others are gone.6th is when I get nervous. If Schaefer, Misa, Hagens, Frondell, and Desnoyers are gone, I wouldn’t be surprised if their choice is O’Brien or (*gulp*) Martin. I will say the former is much more “palatable” than the latter
Oh man I'm resisting the bait so hard hereThinking about it again maybe we should just fold the franchise because even when we draft good players we treat them like shit and then they turn into joel farabee.
6th is when I get nervous. If Schaefer, Misa, Hagens, Frondell, and Desnoyers are gone, I wouldn’t be surprised if their choice is O’Brien or (*gulp*) Martin. I will say the former is much more “palatable” than the latter
It sucks we have to wait a week and a half to know where we are picking as things will probably be much clearer then.Yea if we get pushed back to 6 you are really hoping someone like Frondell slides or are happy with Desnoyer if the others are gone.
I kind of want Schaefer or Hagens. Seems like around 50% that could be our outcome.
It sucks we have to wait a week and a half to know where we are picking as things will probably be much clearer then.
If the Flyers stay at 4 I think there is a good chance one of Misa or Hagens is there. If we are at 5 or 6, then a few wild cards would have come into play for Hagens to make it to us which is possible
I love him.
Yeah, there’s a 45% of 5th but there’s also a 35% chance of top 4 which isn’t much worse. Both aren’t small chances and why I want the lottery to happenI'm mentally prepared for 5th overall, which is the highest likelihood.
If the top 5 are Schaefer, Misa, Hagens, Frondell, and Martone? Just go with whichever one is left, right?
Or do you think they would go Desnoyers over one of the wingers?
I'm really interested to see how people's rankings change between now and the day before the draft. We're going to have people who (just as example) had Martin in the 15s-20s who now have him in the top 10 because of the hype building around him.
His profile is 100% Flyers porn, Im not sure its safe to be around any of the front office if they are showing highlights of him bringing energy, blocking a shot, killing penalties, or dumping the puck in deep.I'm really interested to see how people's rankings change between now and the day before the draft. We're going to have people who (just as example) had Martin in the 15s-20s who now have him in the top 10 because of the hype building around him.
Just more variation from individual GM’s as all it takes is one to have a different ranking than the consensus. I wish we could see GM’s sheets after the draft. I’ve always heard it would surprise fansI'm really interested to see how people's rankings change between now and the day before the draft. We're going to have people who (just as example) had Martin in the 15s-20s who now have him in the top 10 because of the hype building around him.
And no one had Sennecke at number 3, someone is gonna skyrocket. Really interesting to see how this reality show plays out
The funniest (and saddest) part of all this is that if the Flyers had just let AI spit out a consensus draft board every year and blindly picked the top name available, they'd be in a much better spot right now.
I asked ChatGPT to compare the Flyers' actual first-round picks over the last 15 years to the consensus best available at each pick. Here's how it went:
2011 – Took Couturier. Consensus was Couturier.
2012 – Took Laughton. Consensus was Vasilevskiy.
2013 – Took Morin. Consensus was Morrissey.
2014 – Took Sanheim. Consensus was Pastrnak. (Kill me.)
2015 – Took Provorov. Consensus was Rantanen.
2015 – Took Konecny. Consensus was Konecny.
2016 – Took Rubtsov. Consensus was Tage Thompson. (Disaster.)
2017 – Took Patrick. Consensus (by draft day) was Makar. (LOL.)
2018 – Took Farabee. Consensus was Farabee.
2019 – Took York. Consensus was Caufield. (everyone knew this was gonna be an issue)
2020 – Took Foerster. Consensus was Foerster/Perreault.
2021 – No first-round pick.
2022 – Took Cutter. Consensus was Cutter.
2023 – Took Michkov. Consensus was Michkov.
2024 - Took Jett. Consensus was Zeev.
Summary:
Every time the Flyers followed the consensus? Pretty good.
Every time they thought they were smarter? Catastrophe.
Not once did we outsmart the board.
The few times we got it right were just because consensus fell into our laps.
So yeah — you could have locked a laptop in a broom closet with a list of Bob McKenzie's rankings each year, and that laptop would have done a better job running the Flyers draft table.