I think you can forget about Lundell, it makes no sense for them to trade him. Also, I'm pretty sure Bob won't just give up NMC for Buffalo. They enjoy living with their wife in Florida. I think Florida will find another way to avoid the cap problem. Hornqvist/Gudas/Montou/Duclair/Bennett.
The NMC I agree with, but I think their options are limited with the cap.
-They have 3M in cap space. Giroux gets what, at least 6.5M if it's incredibly team friendly pay cut? Maybe he was a rental, but he's exactly the type of player most people think a team like Florida needs for a longer playoff run
-Marchment was almost a point per game, he gets paid or they lose him. Again, lets be generous and say 4M.
-Then they have a couple of roster holes, which will still cost a couple million if they go bargain hunting with league mins.
-Next year Huberdeau is due a new deal, keeping with the team friendly theme, lets say 8.5M, 2.6M raise.
Either their president's winning trophy roster is about to disintegrate, or they have to make a significant move. They could drop some of Montour, duclair, Bennett, but its not a negligible loss, and they're still tight to the cap in upcoming years.
I think the selling point for Florida is not looking at it as "Lundell for cap space", but Lundell for Giroux, Huberdeau, Marchment, etc, plus whatever we add.
The original tweet I referenced included just Mitts coming from the Sabres, which I don't think is enough. I think for Florida to feel ok about their future parting with Lundell, a young player and pick has to go back.
Again, I don't expect it to ever happen, but I think it's willful ignorance on their part to watch their cap window close with Bob on the roster.