The last four years he's averaged about 65 games out of 82. His points average per season has been roughly 50. Goals: 25.
Why would a cap team be interested in paying eight million dollars for a guy who is most likely going to put up 25/25 and be injured for a chunk of the year? Not to mention the fact that he is officially at the age where you can expect him to continually decline.
Scored at about or higher than a 35 goal pace in all but 1 year, 2016. You skewer the numbers by saying season.
In 2013, played 44 of 48 games, scored 21 goals, 39.13 goals over 82 games.
In 2014, played 65 of 82 games, scored 26 goals, 32.8 goals (33) over 82 games.
In 2015, played 79 of 82 games, scored 42 goals despite a terrible 2nd half of the season.
In 2016, played 60 of 82 games, scored 15 goals, 20.5 goals over 82 games.
No one is going to tell me that last year is the trend when the numbers clearly say otherwise. Speculating that the end is near at 32-33 is also just that, speculation, more so hore**** in this case.
Most likely, his out-lying numbers are going to look like somewhere between 30-35 goals going forward if you're going with the notion that 2015 was an anomaly and that he won't repeat it. However, if that's the case, then you have to do the same with 2016.
I don't really like Nash. However, I understand what he brings to the team. I'd be more than happy to keep him, especially with the unrealistic lowball offers you see on here from uneducated posters who keep calling him a cap dump. The minute he leaves the Rangers, people will start talking about how great of a player he is and this and that.
If I can't get something close to fair value in return for him, even with retention (which I definitely don't think is the case, salary retention simply cannot be understated in a trade in today's NHL), then I'd rather hold onto him. It's not like his contract goes well after his prime years, paying him until he's in his late 30's, he's gone after the 2018 season.