GDT: NHL Draft Lottery 2024 (6:30 PM EST, ESPN)

[JacketFanInFL]

Recent Expansion Teams and Original 6 teams get the best luck. My prediction:
1. Seattle
2. Montreal
3. SJ
4. Chicago
5. Anaheim
6. Columbus

 

[Cowumbus]

https://twittee.com/seanshapiro/status/1787920272122675357?s=46

Bucci potentially leaked it , SJS 1, Utah 2, CBJ 6.

 

[Viqsi]

https://twittee.com/seanshapiro/status/1787920272122675357?s=46

Bucci potentially leaked it , SJS 1, Utah 2, CBJ 6.

Post #21. The actual official draw isn't until 5:45pm.

 

[Cowumbus]

Post #21. The actual official draw isn't until 5:45pm.

Nope. Rigged

 

[Double-Shift Lasse]

Nope. Rigged

You show me a "practice run" and I'll show you a run where the Jackets get the first pick.

 

[CBJWerenski8]

In case anyone needs it

 

[squashmaple]

In case anyone needs it

Okay, I am bad at math. I'll be the first to say that. So someone explain to me how it's only a 15.4% chance of staying put at fourth if the collective odds of the three teams ahead of us moving up or staying put is greater than that. The only way to stay put is for both lottery winners to be among SJ/Chi/Ana, which has to be a bigger change than 15%, right?

 

[Viqsi]

Okay, I am bad at math. I'll be the first to say that. So someone explain to me how it's only a 15.4% chance of staying put at fourth if the collective odds of the three teams ahead of us moving up or staying put is greater than that. The only way to stay put is for both lottery winners to be among SJ/Chi/Ana, which has to be a bigger change than 15%, right?

Probably because you're figuring the collective odds of those three teams incorrectly; they're not just added together. And lottery wins by Detroit or St. Louis would also keep us at #4.

EDIT: The big sticking point is that the odds that everybody likes to quote are not the actual direct lottery drawing odds. They've already accounted for collective results. The actual lottery odds of San Jose winning #1 overall, for example, are 18.5% - there's 185 out of 1000 combinations set aside for them. The 25.5% that gets quoted also accounts for other teams that can't get #1 moving up, the fact that there's a second draw, and other similar little details.

 

[We Want Ten]

I say we go fifth and take a C in June.

 

[ViD]

Is this only on ESPN or will NHL website stream it ?

 

[CBJWerenski8]

I was nervous as f*** last year, this year I feel nothing.

 

[Viqsi]

I was nervous as f*** last year, this year I feel nothing.

"Nothing" would make for a nice change of pace for me.

 

[Ice9]

I was nervous as f*** last year, this year I feel nothing.

Then you won't be disappointed when we're 6th...
I say that hoping you'll be able to stick it in my face and eat crow!

 

[ViD]

I was nervous as f*** last year, this year I feel nothing.

I mean Celebrini is no Bedard and there are no other major players like Michkov, Carlsson, Fantilli

 

[stevo61]

I was nervous as f*** last year, this year I feel nothing.

Stakes were a little higher last year. This year after 1 isnt nearly the same level so Im definitely not on the edge of my seat either

 

[MissADD]

Please just one give the CBJ some luck. Give them that Italian middle!

 

[CBJWerenski8]

I mean Celebrini is no Bedard and there are no other major players like Michkov, Carlsson, Fantilli

That doesn’t mean celebrini is chopped liver and the rest of the class isn’t good. Not as strong as last year but we’re still going to add a top tier prospect.

 

[ViD]

That doesn’t mean celebrini is chopped liver and the rest of the class isn’t good. Not as strong as last year but we’re still going to add a top tier prospect.

Our chances for #1 pick are also lower, so less excitement is justified

 

[CalBuckeyeRob]

Columbus should just make losing the draft lottery into an annual event.

 

[Ice9]

Id like a solid, 13+ year pillar and contributor. That aint asking for too much is it?!

 

[CBJWerenski8]

Kinda sad to see JD sitting there by himself when he used to have jarmo beside him.

 

[Ice9]

Kinda sad to see JD sitting there by himself when he used to have jarmo beside him.

"Nobody wuvs me anymore "...

 

[spintheblackcircle]

alright alright

 

[Viqsi]

Didn't move down. Huh.

 

[Cowumbus]

Not moving down..