NFC Playoff Picture 2024

[misterchainsaw]

I'm a little disappointed the Rams have already had their bye week - eliminating the chance for a 4 way tie at 4-4 atop the NFC West....

AFTER WEEK 8:
1. Detroit - 6-1
2. Washington - 6-2
3. Atlanta - 5-3
4. Arizona - 4-4 (Holds divisional record tiebreaker over SF and SEA)
5. Green Bay - 6-2
6. Minnesota - 5-2
7. Philadelphia - 5-2
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8. Chicago - 4-3
9. Tampa Bay - 4-4 (Holds conference record tiebreaker over SF)
10. San Francisco - 4-4 (Holds head to head tiebreaker over SEA)
11. Seattle - 4-4
12. LA Rams - 3-4 (Holds conference record tiebreaker over DAL)
13. Dallas - 3-4
14. New Orleans - 2-6 (Holds conference record tiebreaker over NYG)
15. NY Giants - 2-6
16. Carolina - 1-7


CONTROL OF DESTINY: Note: Only the highest level (among 1st round bye, division title, and making the playoffs) a team controls their own destiny for will be listed here - if a team controls their own destiny for the first round bye, they also control their own destiny to make the playoffs and win their division). A team controls their own destiny if they obtain a certain spot 100% of the time if they win every game for the rest of the year.

- Detroit controls their own destiny for home field advantage
- Washington controls their own destiny for the NFC East
- Atlanta controls their own destiny for the NFC South
- Arizona controls their own destiny for the NFC West
- Green Bay controls their own destiny for the NFC North
- Philadelphia controls their own destiny for the NFC East
- Chicago controls their own destiny for the NFC North
- San Francisco controls their own destiny for the NFC West
- Seattle controls their own destiny for the NFC West
- The LA Rams control their own destiny for the NFC West
- Dallas controls their own destiny for the NFC East
- Minnesota controls their own destiny for a wild card birth
- Tampa Bay controls their own destiny for a wild card birth



POTENTIAL CHANGES OF DESTINY IN WEEK 9:
- Detroit will lose control of their own destiny for home field advantage with a loss and a WSH or PHI win.
- Washington will gain control of their own destiny for home field advantage with a win and a DET loss
- Green Bay will gain control of their own destiny for home field advantage with a win, WSH loss, and PHI loss
- Minnesota will gain control of their own destiny for home field advantage with a win, a DET loss, a PHI loss, and a WSH loss
- Philadelphia will gain control of their own destiny for home field advantage with a win, a DET loss, a MIN loss, and a WSH loss
- Green Bay will lose control of their own destiny for the NFC North with a loss
- Chicago will lose control of their own destiny for the NFC North with a loss and a DET win.
- The LA Rams will lose control of their own destiny for the NFC West with a loss.
- Dallas will lose control of their own destiny for the NFC West with a loss and either a WSH or PHI win.
- Minnesota will gain control of their own destiny for the NFC North with a win and a DET loss
- Tampa Bay will lose control of their own destiny for the wild card birth with a loss
- Dallas will lose control of their own destiny for the wild card birth with a loss, CHI win, and either a WSH or PHI loss.

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[misterchainsaw]

AFTER WEEK 9:
1. Detroit - 7-1
2. Washington - 7-2
3. Atlanta - 6-3
4. Arizona - 5-4
5. Minnesota - 6-2 (Holds strength of victory over PHI)
6. Philadelphia - 6-2
7. Green Bay - 6-3
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8. Chicago - 4-4 (Holds head to head tiebreaker over LAR)
9. LA Rams - 4-4 (Holds head to head tiebreaker over SF)
10. San Francisco - 4-4
11. Tampa Bay - 4-5 (Holds conference record tiebreaker over SEA)
12. Seattle - 4-5
13. Dallas - 3-5
14. Carolina - 2-7 (Holds head to head tiebreaker over NO, holds conference record tiebreak over NYG)
15. New Orleans 2-7 - (Holds conference record tiebreaker over NYG)
16. NY Giants 2-7

CONTROL OF DESTINY:

- Detroit controls their own destiny for home field advantage
- Washington controls their own destiny for the NFC East
- Atlanta controls their own destiny for the NFC South
- Arizona controls their own destiny for the NFC West
- Philadelphia controls their own destiny for the NFC East
- San Francisco controls their own destiny for the NFC West
- Seattle controls their own destiny for the NFC West
- The LA Rams control their own destiny for the NFC West
- Minnesota controls their own destiny for a wild card birth
- Green Bay controls their own destiny for a wild card birth
- Chicago controls their own destiny for a wild card birth
- Dallas controls their own destiny for a wild card birth

POSSIBLE CHANGES OF CONTROL OF DESTINY IN WEEK 10
- Detroit can lose control of their own destiny for home field advantage with a loss and a WSH win.
- The LA Rams will lose control of their own destiny for the NFC West with a loss and ARI win.
- San Francisco will lose control of their own destiny for the NFC West with a loss and ARI win
- Minnesota can gain control of their own destiny for the NFC North with a win and DET loss.
- Chicago can gain control of their own destiny for the NFC North with a win and a DET loss.
- Chicago can lose control of their own destiny for a wild card with a loss, TB win, MIN win, and either an ATL or WSH win.
- The LA Rams can lose control of their own destiny for a wild card with a loss and either a WSH or PHI win.
- San Francisco can lose control of their own destiny for a wild card with a loss and ARI win
- Dallas can lose control of their own destiny for a wild card with a loss.
- Tampa Bay can gain control of their own destiny for a wild card with a win, and 3 losses out of PHI/WSH/ATL/MIN

 

[im gangster]

Thanks for providing this every season.

 

[im gangster]

It's that time again - to look at a way too early playoff picture

POSSIBLE CHANGES OF CONTROL OF DESTINY IN WEEK 10
- Chicago can gain control of their own destiny for the NFC North with a win and a DET loss.
- Chicago can lose control of their own destiny for a wild card with a loss, TB win, MIN win, and either an ATL or WSH win.

ya maybe

 

[misterchainsaw]

ya maybe

I try not to editorialize too much

 

[misterchainsaw]

The wild card race looks a little bit like a dud right now, but at least we have some divisional races in the NFC

WEEK 10:
1. Detroit - 8-1
2. Philadelphia - 7-2
3. Atlanta - 6-4 (Holds conference record tiebreaker over ARI)
4. Arizona - 6-4
5. Minnesota - 7-2
6. Washington - 7-3
7. Green Bay - 6-3
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8. San Francisco - 5-4
9. Chicago - 4-5 (Holds head to head tiebreaker over LAR)
10. LA Rams - 4-5 (Holds head to head tiebreaker over SEA)
11. Seattle - 4-5
12. Tampa Bay - 4-6
13. Dallas - 3-6
14. Carolina - 3-7 (Holds divisional record tiebreaker over NO)
15. New Orleans - 3-7
16. NY Giants - 2-8

CONTROL OF DESTINY:
- Detroit controls their own destiny for home field advantage
- Philadelphia controls their own destiny for the NFC East
- Atlanta controls their own destiny for the NFC South
- Arizona controls their own destiny for the NFC West
- Washington controls their own destiny for the NFC East
- San Francisco controls their own destiny for the NFC West
- Seattle controls their own destiny for the NFC West
- Minnesota controls their own destiny for a wild card birth
- Green Bay controls their own destiny for a wild card birth
- Chicago controls their own destiny for a wild card birth

POSSIBLE CHANGES IN CONTROL OF DESTINY 11:
- Minnesota can gain control of their own destiny for the bye with a win, DET loss, and PHI loss
- Minnesota can gain control of their own destiny for the NFC North with a win and DET loss.
- The LA Rams can gain control of their own destiny for the NFC West with a win and an ARI loss
- Washington will lose control of their own destiny for the NFC East with a loss
- San Francisco will lose control of their own destiny for the NFC West with a loss
- Seattle will lose control of their own destiny for the NFC West with a loss
- San Francisco will lose control of their own destiny for the wild card with a loss and a GB win
- Chicago will lose control of their own destiny for the wild card with a loss.
- Seattle will lose control of their own destiny for the wild card with a loss.

ELIMINATION SCENARIOS IN WEEK 11:
- The NY Giants will be eliminated from #1 seed contention with a MIN win and DET win.

 

[The Note]

It’s interesting contrasting the two conferences. The AFC has essentially no interesting divisional races (sans PIT/BAL) and the WC is the only question and the NFC where the divisions are tight but the WC race isn’t really compelling at all.