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OT: Nats, Wiz, O's, Ravens, Terps, Navy, Gtown, Mystics, Golf, Summer 2022

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Ridley Simon said:
Which is as good as anyone.

Best chance is still best chance. Even if it’s not an ideal percentage. It’s still the best chance
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Just saying, its an 86% chance we WON'T land Flagg. For being the worst team, that just sucks. No way for me to spin this into anything positive.

Another shitty way of looking at it is, we have a 14% chance at Flagg and a 48% chance at drafting 5th. Drafting 5th is by far our most likely outcome. That's f***ed up!
 
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kicksavedave said:
Just saying, its an 86% chance we WON'T land Flagg. For being the worst team, that just sucks. No way for me to spin this into anything positive.

Another shitty way of looking at it is, we have a 14% chance at Flagg and a 48% chance at drafting 5th. Drafting 5th is by far our most likely outcome. That's f***ed up!
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Oh trust me, I’m am NOT a fan of the NBA’s rules (or really of the NBA, period), but I do understand their logic a little bit. I think it’s “overly” corrective in their behalf, and leaves bad teams — like our Bullets — in limbo for…well….ever?

But tanking….True Tanking….is ugly for any sport. And it’s so much more insidious in the NBA. So this does stop it.

And let’s be clear, our Bullets ARE tanking. They just learned to do it, far too late.

Shocker!
 
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Flagg is the cornerstone type they need to really have a shot at turning the franchise around. Hopefully the Magic balls are gifted to us at the right time for a change.

We were that close to Wemby but I’m pretty sure the NBA wanted him where he ended up. We need that kind of luck. Our Ovechkin pick in the NBA.
 
John Price said:
they have no shot at improving without a generational player like flagg
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Generational players aren't only drafted first overall. The 'Zards have to keep drafting talented young players until they build a sufficient core, similar to OKC.

Focusing on the top MVP candidates in 2025:
SGA - 11th overall
Jokic - 2nd rounder
Giannis - 15th overall
Tatum - 3rd overall
Mitchell - 13th overall

And as others have pointed out, this is a deep draft at the top.
 
Kazer said:
Generational players aren't only drafted first overall. The 'Zards have to keep drafting talented young players until they build a sufficient core, similar to OKC.

Focusing on the top MVP candidates in 2025:
SGA - 11th overall
Jokic - 2nd rounder
Giannis - 15th overall
Tatum - 3rd overall
Mitchell - 13th overall

And as others have pointed out, this is a deep draft at the top.
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So you’re saying they potentially have to get lucky like those teams did and find a star others pass on.

I don’t suppose you know who those stars will be?😉
 
CapitalsCupReality said:
So you’re saying they potentially have to get lucky like those teams did and find a star others pass on.

I don’t suppose you know who those stars will be?😉
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If I knew who the next big NBA star was going to be, I would make a lot more money. My point was simply that you cannot put all your eggs in one (1st overall pick) basket. There are multiple ways to build a franchise in the modern NBA.

At 14% odds, the Wizards could go a long time without a first overall pick. Their approach cannot be to simply wait until they get lucky enough to get the first overall pick in a good year and not in a Fultz/Wiggins year. They have to be successful with other high draft picks.
 
Kazer said:
If I knew who the next big NBA star was going to be, I would make a lot more money. My point was simply that you cannot put all your eggs in one (1st overall pick) basket. There are multiple ways to build a franchise in the modern NBA.

At 14% odds, the Wizards could go a long time without a first overall pick. Their approach cannot be to simply wait until they get lucky enough to get the first overall pick in a good year and not in a Fultz/Wiggins year. They have to be successful with other high draft picks.
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And my point is, getting lucky by having an unknown superstar slide to you, is a much less certain path.

We need a Flagg type to turn this thing around, or as you point out we have to get very very lucky later in the draft.

Why would you say they cannot wait to get the number 1? Of course they wouldn’t wait, they would roll the dice and pray….basically what we’ve seen for the last 30 years lol…
 
CapitalsCupReality said:
And my point is, getting lucky by having an unknown superstar slide to you, is a much less certain path.

We need a Flagg type to turn this thing around, or as you point out we have to get very very lucky later in the draft.

Why would you say they cannot wait to get the number 1? Of course they wouldn’t wait, they would roll the dice and pray….basically what we’ve seen for the last 30 years lol…
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Bailey has ridiculous upside with the athleticism and size/length could exceed Flagg, imho. I watched Harper and Bailey the most out of all of the prospects. I do feel that Flagg has the highest floor which I believe I've mentioned before.
 
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