Nashville Predators Talk - 2024/2025 Season

[Predsanddead24]

So to make the playoffs we need to win something like 64% of the remaining games... (40-23-0).

Considering we are currently 6-10-3, i think it is pretty safe to say that it isnt happening. Even on this semi-successful road trip, we have only managed to go 1-1-2 so far (50%). 50% of the points has us finishing with 78 points. Last season that'd put us around 25th in the league. Our home record and away records are similar. Home 4-6-0 (40% points) away 2-4-3 (38.9% points).

Yeah this is the point last season where we started to turn things around and while it's still possible for us to do it again it's going to require us to once again be one of the better teams in the league down the stretch.

 

[herzausstein]

Yeah this is the point last season where we started to turn things around and while it's still possible for us to do it again it's going to require us to once again be one of the better teams in the league down the stretch.

The underlying numbers for the team are much worse than last year 19 games into the season.

2024 vs 2023 (through 19 games)
2.42 vs 3.37 Goals/game
3.21 vs 3.26 Goals Against/game
21 vs 38 5v5 goals
15 points vs 18 points

So 19 games into the season:
We are scoring almost a full goal a game less
Allowing just as many goals against per game
Scoring 1.105 5v5 goals a game vs 2 5v5 goals a game
Actually somehow have 3 less points in the standings
All this with Saros actually putting out decent numbers (excellent if you compare them to last season at this point)

Saros 2024 vs 2023
.914 vs .894 sv%
2.55 vs 3.13 GAA
5-8-2 vs 6-9-0
Saros is a top 10 starter this season instead of a bottom 10 like last season (more than 10 games played).

 

[Legionnaire11]

There's been a lot of talk about how we brought in a bunch of slow, aging players and many point that as the main problem with the team. However, if you look at them relative to the team, aren't they performing as expected?

Among forwards, when they were signed, we pegged Stamkos and Marchessault as 2nd liners here. Implying that they should be somewhere in the 3-6 range of forward scoring with the team. Currently they are tied for 3rd in forward scoring behind only Forsberg and O'Reilly. Really, exactly where they were expected to be.

Skjei was expected to be the second best defenseman on the team, either anchoring the second line or supporting Josi on the first line. And indeed, he is currently second in defense scoring, exactly where he was expected to be.

However, it's not their position of success relative to the team that stinks, it's the overall numbers that really stinks. Stamkos for example, for all of the talk about how old and slow and cooked he is, he still went over point-per-game each of the last three seasons with 104, 84 and 81 point seasons. Now he's on pace for 43. Did he somehow regress that horribly with the stroke of a pen? or is Brunette just not getting the most out of this roster?

I know which answer seems more likely.

 

[Predsanddead24]

The underlying numbers for the team are much worse than last year 19 games into the season.

2024 vs 2023 (through 19 games)
2.42 vs 3.37 Goals/game
3.21 vs 3.26 Goals Against/game
21 vs 38 5v5 goals
15 points vs 18 points

So 19 games into the season:
We are scoring almost a full goal a game less
Allowing just as many goals against per game
Scoring 1.105 5v5 goals a game vs 2 5v5 goals a game
Actually somehow have 3 less points in the standings
All this with Saros actually putting out decent numbers (excellent if you compare them to last season at this point)

Saros 2024 vs 2023
.914 vs .894 sv%
2.55 vs 3.13 GAA
5-8-2 vs 6-9-0
Saros is a top 10 starter this season instead of a bottom 10 like last season (more than 10 games played).

We've also to this point played one of the easier schedules in the league and according to Tankathon's method have the hardest remaining schedule in the league. Definitely not much there to suggest a turnaround is coming.