Nashville Predators Talk - 2024/2025 Season II

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McCarron and Smith are #8 and #9 in avg TOI/gp amongst our forwards. So indeed, they are 3rd liners. (Sissons is 6th so he snuck into being a 2nd liner I guess).
Well... i thought I could atleast argue that they weren't 3rd liners at even strength TOI/game.... BUT they are. Svechkov, L’Heureux, and Jankowski were the bottom of our forwards for even strength. Even post deadline, they're 3rd line. L’Heureux and Svechkov just can't get a promotion
 
Anyways on to which older dman we want for Josi next season


UFAS
Burns - 40 R
Ekblad - 29 R
Provorov- 28 L
Fabbro - 26 R - lulz
Schmidt - 33 L
Gavrikov - 29 L
Ceci - 31 R
Hamonic- 34 R
Petry - 37 R
Savard - 34 R



Most are terrible choices but that is basically the best of free agency. Don't really see anyone i would want to overpay.
 
Anyways on to which older dman we want for Josi next season


UFAS
Burns - 40 R
Ekblad - 29 R
Provorov- 28 L
Fabbro - 26 R - lulz
Schmidt - 33 L
Gavrikov - 29 L
Ceci - 31 R
Hamonic- 34 R
Petry - 37 R
Savard - 34 R



Most are terrible choices but that is basically the best of free agency. Don't really see anyone i would want to overpay.
Plus any that are actually "good" and "in demand" will go to contenders instead of bottom feeders like us. So we'll have to overpay extra or settle for somebody no other team wants.

That's why I can see us getting somebody like Petry or Savard. But we'll still have to pay a premium on both term and $$$ even so. :help: Frankly I'd rather just ride it out with our incumbents. Except I know Trotz WILL sign some slow old guy regardless, so best to be ready for that inevitability.

Maybe if Ekblad's PED issue scares anybody off he'd come as something of a potential minor bargain option. Funny both him and Schmidt are on the list. We definitely need some performance enhancement after all... :sarcasm:
 
Here's the longest list of UFA D I could fit in a single screen grab...

1743010157210.png
 
Most posters have soured on Trotz as a GM. The team is in the worst position since its inception. The early teams sucked but were building toward being a contender, which happened in 2004. Beginning in 2004, we've made the playoffs 16 out of 19 years. We missed the shortened 48-game 2013 season and the 88-point 2014 season. The most recent miss was 2022-2023 with 92 points.

This year has no parallel in Pred History. We assumed we'd be better than last year's playoff team but instead our results will rival our 1998-1999 team. To make it worse, we're sucking with a veteran team on long term contracts. David Poile built a consistent playoff team for more than two decades, and Barry has destroyed it in two years. Any hope of turning it around is dashed every time we hear Barry explain why we are where we are and what he plans to do, or not do, in the future.

Question: Has Barry lost the average Pred fan, or do they still love him and want him as our GM because of his legacy and success as a coach?

He's lost the average hfboards posters but most of us are in the weeds. Has he lost Joe from Gallatin who comes to 4 games a year but watches all the games on TV?
 
Anyways on to which older dman we want for Josi next season


UFAS
Burns - 40 R
Ekblad - 29 R
Provorov- 28 L
Fabbro - 26 R - lulz
Schmidt - 33 L
Gavrikov - 29 L
Ceci - 31 R
Hamonic- 34 R
Petry - 37 R
Savard - 34 R



Most are terrible choices but that is basically the best of free agency. Don't really see anyone i would want to overpay.
I mean, if we're wholly committed to this whole overpaying folks and kids can go f*** themselves thing, Provorov has actually been pretty decent as an all-around guy. I wouldn't want him as our #1, tho; he'd be taking the role that Skjei was ostensibly brought in to fill. That and there's going to be a lot of demand for him.
 
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So why we waiving Del Gaizo and Bellows? All our injured are confirmed out for the season (Wilsby, Josi, Lauzon).

Paper transaction to prep for the end of the season and send them back to Milwaukee? Possible we see more after they clear as well for guys like stastney, etc.
 
So why we waiving Del Gaizo and Bellows? All our injured are confirmed out for the season (Wilsby, Josi, Lauzon).

Paper transaction to prep for the end of the season and send them back to Milwaukee? Possible we see more after they clear as well for guys like stastney, etc.
The AHL deadline was the 14th, so IDKWTAF.
 
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I mean, if we're wholly committed to this whole overpaying folks and kids can go f*** themselves thing, Provorov has actually been pretty decent as an all-around guy. I wouldn't want him as our #1, tho; he'd be taking the role that Skjei was ostensibly brought in to fill. That and there's going to be a lot of demand for him.
I'd take a flyer on Lindgren. Younger too.

On that note, how the hell is Ekblad only 29? Feels like he was drafted decades ago.
 
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Without going back and confirming, it feels like at least since Tolvanen, we've picked a lot of players who were "falling" on draft day compared to pre-season or mid-season rankings. I think we need to reverse that trend and start taking players who are "rising". I've seen enough recently to conclude that risers have a bigger potential to continue rising and becoming solid NHL players where falls have a bigger potential to stagnate.
This is just anecdotal to some of our specific players and their development. I don't think there's a systematic way to make that argument one way or the other.

Cole Caufield was considered a top 10 pick and fell to 15th because of concerns over his size. He's a consistent 20-goal scorer. Fil was the #1 ranked European skater his draft year, fell to #11, and has wound up the best forward, and in the argument for best player, from his draft year. Debrincat was considered a mid- to late-1st rounder and fell to 39th.

There are fallers who will be steals and fallers who will bust. There are risers/reaches that will be genius picks and those that will bust.

Incidentally there was nothing wrong with the Tolvanen pick. At 30th overall you hope to get an NHL player, and he'll usually pan out as a bottom 6/bottom pairing guy if you do. Any perceived decline from Tolvanen was due to the overhype from that KHL season and Finns pumping his tires.
 
So why we waiving Del Gaizo and Bellows? All our injured are confirmed out for the season (Wilsby, Josi, Lauzon).

Paper transaction to prep for the end of the season and send them back to Milwaukee? Possible we see more after they clear as well for guys like stastney, etc.

IMO yup, the Preds are prepping to eventually assign them to the AHL now or later for the playoffs.
 
So why we waiving Del Gaizo and Bellows? All our injured are confirmed out for the season (Wilsby, Josi, Lauzon).

Paper transaction to prep for the end of the season and send them back to Milwaukee? Possible we see more after they clear as well for guys like stastney, etc.
It does seem like weird timing. I noted earlier in the Ads thread how they were passed down for clear day to be eligible for the AHL playoffs. But I don't know of any reason to waive them down today.

Maybe they're worried that some of Milwaukee's AHL playoff rivals might claim them out of spite if it was right before the playoffs, but this way NHL teams at least have to keep them around and pay them for a couple more weeks if they do claim them? Or maybe they think it's important for Milwaukee to compete for 1st in the division and they'll help with that.

I imagine if they clear, we'll see a couple of waiver-exempt guys come up to replace them so we aren't short-staffed. Or they just stick around and get sent back at the end of the season.
 
This is just anecdotal to some of our specific players and their development. I don't think there's a systematic way to make that argument one way or the other.

Cole Caufield was considered a top 10 pick and fell to 15th because of concerns over his size. He's a consistent 20-goal scorer. Fil was the #1 ranked European skater his draft year, fell to #11, and has wound up the best forward, and in the argument for best player, from his draft year. Debrincat was considered a mid- to late-1st rounder and fell to 39th.

There are fallers who will be steals and fallers who will bust. There are risers/reaches that will be genius picks and those that will bust.

Incidentally there was nothing wrong with the Tolvanen pick. At 30th overall you hope to get an NHL player, and he'll usually pan out as a bottom 6/bottom pairing guy if you do. Any perceived decline from Tolvanen was due to the overhype from that KHL season and Finns pumping his tires.
The only thing with the Tolvanen pick was not picking Robertson who went shortly thereafter and then not trying to move him to acquire Stone was mistake number 2.

Hindsight is a tricky thing and we can over analyze this to death.

My biggest concern is our inability as a franchise to draft and develop top 6 talent. I’d settle for that at this point and the next step is drafting and developing top 3 talent.
 
It does seem like weird timing. I noted earlier in the Ads thread how they were passed down for clear day to be eligible for the AHL playoffs. But I don't know of any reason to waive them down today.

Maybe they're worried that some of Milwaukee's AHL playoff rivals might claim them out of spite if it was right before the playoffs, but this way NHL teams at least have to keep them around and pay them for a couple more weeks if they do claim them? Or maybe they think it's important for Milwaukee to compete for 1st in the division and they'll help with that.

I imagine if they clear, we'll see a couple of waiver-exempt guys come up to replace them so we aren't short-staffed. Or they just stick around and get sent back at the end of the season.
Theyre ufas to be and can't be used in the playoffs anyways if claimed. Waivers are good for a couple weeks so we can keep em up. I reckon Noone will grab em
 
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The only thing with the Tolvanen pick was not picking Robertson who went shortly thereafter and then not trying to move him to acquire Stone was mistake number 2.

Hindsight is a tricky thing and we can over analyze this to death.

My biggest concern is our inability as a franchise to draft and develop top 6 talent. I’d settle for that at this point and the next step is drafting and developing top 3 talent.
The trouble with drooling over Dallas's picks is that it is far from clear that if they had been drafted by the Preds that they'd have ended up anywhere close to where they are at with Dallas. Dallas gets these guys ready, staples them to veterans on a line, lets them play through the jitters and mistakes, and lets them grow into their roles on the team. If we had drafted Robertson, he spends more time in Milwaukee to become a better defender, gets a token chance in the top 6, and then its in and out of the pressbox, revolving door with some joker we pick up out of the recycle bin. It's hard to put up Robertson numbers when you get developed like an Evangelista.
 
The trouble with drooling over Dallas's picks is that it is far from clear that if they had been drafted by the Preds that they'd have ended up anywhere close to where they are at with Dallas. Dallas gets these guys ready, staples them to veterans on a line, lets them play through the jitters and mistakes, and lets them grow into their roles on the team. If we had drafted Robertson, he spends more time in Milwaukee to become a better defender, gets a token chance in the top 6, and then its in and out of the pressbox, revolving door with some joker we pick up out of the recycle bin. It's hard to put up Robertson numbers when you get developed like an Evangelista.
Agreed. The Preds have drafted pretty well over last several years. It’s post draft development where we are extremely lacking.
 
The trouble with drooling over Dallas's picks is that it is far from clear that if they had been drafted by the Preds that they'd have ended up anywhere close to where they are at with Dallas. Dallas gets these guys ready, staples them to veterans on a line, lets them play through the jitters and mistakes, and lets them grow into their roles on the team. If we had drafted Robertson, he spends more time in Milwaukee to become a better defender, gets a token chance in the top 6, and then its in and out of the pressbox, revolving door with some joker we pick up out of the recycle bin. It's hard to put up Robertson numbers when you get developed like an Evangelista.
Something I also wonder about is the personnel in place to help cultivate a player. I don't know I've heard a ton about the leadership of Benn, Seguin, Heiskanen, but guys seem to have success playing with them while we've heard and speculated on the "country club." I wonder how great an environment it is for the young guys to thrive in for us--do we have leaders and mentors that put young guys in a spot to succeed? It seems telling to me that Josi has been impossible to find a consistent partner for and our ability to develop and cultivate defensemen has dried up. Now Fabbro and Carrier have both go on to do well in new situations.
 
Something I also wonder about is the personnel in place to help cultivate a player. I don't know I've heard a ton about the leadership of Benn, Seguin, Heiskanen, but guys seem to have success playing with them while we've heard and speculated on the "country club." I wonder how great an environment it is for the young guys to thrive in for us--do we have leaders and mentors that put young guys in a spot to succeed? It seems telling to me that Josi has been impossible to find a consistent partner for and our ability to develop and cultivate defensemen has dried up. Now Fabbro and Carrier have both go on to do well in new situations.
Pavelski was a great leader. Guys would run through a brick wall if he asked them to.
 
Any info on Stamkos possibly retiring after current season? This news was broken in a Finnish NHL podcast which is co-hosted by ex-Pred Kimmo Timonen who obviously has good intel on things and talks to Trotz from time to time etc. They told it quite non-chalantly, too. I was intrigued as Stammer is only on year 1 of his four year contract and he'd leave quite a bit of money on the table. Besides, while he hasn't been a top50 player this season it's not like he's Brett Hull in 2005 either. Tried googling it but can't find anything. Quite bizarre.
 
Any info on Stamkos possibly retiring after current season? This news was broken in a Finnish NHL podcast which is co-hosted by ex-Pred Kimmo Timonen who obviously has good intel on things and talks to Trotz from time to time etc. They told it quite non-chalantly, too. I was intrigued as Stammer is only on year 1 of his four year contract and he'd leave quite a bit of money on the table. Besides, while he hasn't been a top50 player this season it's not like he's Brett Hull in 2005 either. Tried googling it but can't find anything. Quite bizarre.
Where can we find this source?

I'm sure this season is not what Stamkos was expecting and, speculating, but, for a player who has been a star his whole career I wouldn't be surprised if he was embarrassed. However, as long as his health holds up why would he walk away from 24 million? This is the last big contract he is getting.
 
Any info on Stamkos possibly retiring after current season? This news was broken in a Finnish NHL podcast which is co-hosted by ex-Pred Kimmo Timonen who obviously has good intel on things and talks to Trotz from time to time etc. They told it quite non-chalantly, too. I was intrigued as Stammer is only on year 1 of his four year contract and he'd leave quite a bit of money on the table. Besides, while he hasn't been a top50 player this season it's not like he's Brett Hull in 2005 either. Tried googling it but can't find anything. Quite bizarre.
Maybe he realizes this team is pretty dead in the water and his contract is a hard move or that his heart is in Tampa. First I've heard anything about it. Stamkos hasn't been excellent but he is 2nd in goals and 3rd in points as well as our only other vet top 6 center outside of RoR. If he retires, I hope trotz realizes the state of the team and stops throwing good money down the drain. But who am I kidding.... big money will be tossed at Marner, Nelson, and Ekblad.
 
Where can we find this source?

I'm sure this season is not what Stamkos was expecting and, speculating, but, for a player who has been a star his whole career I wouldn't be surprised if he was embarrassed. However, as long as his health holds up why would he walk away from 24 million? This is the last big contract he is getting.
He'd walk away because he has a sense of self-respect?
 
The trouble with drooling over Dallas's picks is that it is far from clear that if they had been drafted by the Preds that they'd have ended up anywhere close to where they are at with Dallas. Dallas gets these guys ready, staples them to veterans on a line, lets them play through the jitters and mistakes, and lets them grow into their roles on the team. If we had drafted Robertson, he spends more time in Milwaukee to become a better defender, gets a token chance in the top 6, and then its in and out of the pressbox, revolving door with some joker we pick up out of the recycle bin. It's hard to put up Robertson numbers when you get developed like an Evangelista.
If I had access to a stats analytic engine, I'd love to take all Pred high-level draft picks starting with Tolvanon and chart their minutes and percentages on Top 6 and Bottom 6 lines while playing with the Preds and who they were playing with. It feels like they don't stick with them on Top 6 lines, but I'd love to have the data.

Their deployment of #68 this year is frustrating. He showed a scoring flair for the Admirals, yet he's being used as a poor man's Jordan Tootoo for most of this year. Before we stereotype players as Bottom 6 Energy guys or checkers, can we please give them a long look on the Top 6?
 

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