Proposal: Nashville-NYR

One Winged Angel

You Can't Escape
May 3, 2006
16,562
3,487
Long Island
Hertl didn't have to shoot 30% on scoring chances to do so.

Miller shot 16.3% last year. 22 goals on 135 shots on net, 253 total shots attempted, all in 1233 total minutes, averaging 15:02 a game.

Those numbers are not exactly mind-blowing or completely unsustainable.

As he gets better, his minutes will go up, his offensive zone starts will probably be about the same or maybe a little less (57% - depending how Vignuts uses him), the shooting percentage will probably go down his total shots (on goal and attempted) will probably go up a little and compensate for what you're alluding to as an anomaly.

Not only that, but JT Miller isn't some sort of guy like Ovechkin who fires shots from all over the place, a lot of his shots are in high danger scoring areas where he has better chances of scoring from. That's part of why that percentage is so high. You don't even need advanced statistics to see this.

I'm not saying he's going to be a 40 goal scorer, but calling last season an anomaly due to a somewhat higher shooting percentage is ridiculous.

I expect more of you.
 

Kanneda

Registered User
Aug 10, 2014
998
14
Madrid
Right now we are waiting for Bitetto to come back and hoping he can play at least 40 games or we're really in a bind when it comes to the expansion draft. If Bitetto plays 40 games he can be our defenseman exposed at the draft. If not, we have to expose one of the top four, and they will certainly be picked.

Not saying it's likely, but if we traded Ellis and then Bitetto couldn't play 40 games we would almost surely lose Ekholm. That's a ****ing HUGE hole in our defense all of the sudden for not enough gain.

You could just play one of Carle or Y.Weber for 40 games (one of them almost certainly will), and then resign him no?
 

Machinehead

HFNYR MVP
Jan 21, 2011
147,937
126,699
NYC
Ok, so you're telling me that JT Miller will never score 20 goals again because he won't shoot at or about 30%?

That's ridiculous.

No he won't.

Ovechkin doesn't even score on 30% of his individual scoring chances and he has the best pure shot in the league.

He might score 20 again as he develops but last year was very flukey.
 

AdmiralsFan24

Registered User
Mar 22, 2011
15,009
3,935
Wisconsin
You could just play one of Carle or Y.Weber for 40 games (one of them almost certainly will), and then resign him no?

Would have to re-sign them before the season ended and we don't know if they're worth re-signing. Carle for sure definitely looks like a no and Weber a maybe. We'd definitely prefer not having to do that though.
 

stpn47

Registered User
Feb 10, 2012
126
3
Would have to re-sign them before the season ended and we don't know if they're worth re-signing. Carle for sure definitely looks like a no and Weber a maybe. We'd definitely prefer not having to do that though.

When the alternative is potentially losing Ellis to the expansion draft, it's most certainly worth it to re-sign them for another year.
 

One Winged Angel

You Can't Escape
May 3, 2006
16,562
3,487
Long Island
No he won't.

Ovechkin doesn't even score on 30% of his individual scoring chances and he has the best pure shot in the league.

He might score 20 again as he develops but last year was very flukey.

You're comparing JT Miller to the most extreme example of a volume shooter.

Apples to oranges.
 

Dijock94

Registered User
Apr 1, 2016
1,454
1,023
No he won't.

Ovechkin doesn't even score on 30% of his individual scoring chances and he has the best pure shot in the league.

He might score 20 again as he develops but last year was very flukey.

His shooting percentage was 16% not 30% if he shot 30 percent he would've been a 40 goal scorer last year.
 

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