A group of STHs who spend time reading and replying to messages on HFJets might be a non-representative sample.
I don't see one negative response here, but I'm sure guys like Darth Monty will be offered seats this offseason or next - there's going to be some turnover as the contracts expire over the next few seasons. 179/5000 = 3.6% non-renewal rate over the next 3 offseasons combined (5000 STH's holding 13000 seats: 3 per owner on average - just a back of the envelope ballpark figure).
Oh absolutely there will be turnover, no question. I'm sure there's a segment that is tired of the losing/mediocrity to this point. The bloom inevitably falls off the rose.
I wouldn't be surprised to see it to the point where we don't have an actual wait list at all, though I don't think that'll happen until we hit the next set of renewals 6-8-9-10 years down the road.
The renewal deals for the P-5-7 groups will be very informative this year as to what will happen when the P1-4 groups come up. We've considered trying to move to the P2 group from P3, but that will depend on pricing and what the "guaranteed" increase percentage is.